I recently happened to be at an event where billionaire George Soros was being interviewed. The right wing hates Soros because he is: (a) liberal, (b) rich, and (c) fearless. [I could also make a case that they hate Soros because he is (d) Jewish, but I leave that up to you.]
Soros said a lot of things, but he said two sentences that I wish that everyone could hear. This is what he said:
“You can’t cut your way out of a recession. You have to grow your way out of a recession.”
The simple truth in those nineteen words seems to have eluded our policymakers, both Democratic and Republican, for the past four years. Here is a chart that proves it:

The chart has been featured regularly at Daily Kos, but it comes from the Calculated Risk Blog. It graphs job losses during and following each post-WWII recession, month by month, as a percentage of total employment.
As you can see, the job losses in America since 2008 are not only the worst in postwar history, but also feature the weakest “recovery.” In every single other recession, employment returned to peak levels in less than four years. (In fact, leaving aside the Bush Recession of 2001, employment returned to peak levels in less than three years.) Yet here we are, four years after the Great Recession started, still almost four percentage points under peak employment.
Which is five million jobs. Five million people who can’t find work. Five million people with no income.
So, as Soros and I might ask on Passover, “why is this recession different from all other recessions?” There is a simple answer: the austerity fetish. The bizarre notion that cutting is healing.
The Wall Street Journal recently confessed that without local government layoffs – police officers, firefighters, teachers and others – unemployment would be a full percentage point lower. I think that that’s an underestimate. If those police officers and firefighters and teachers still had jobs, we would be safer, and our children smarter. But beyond that, as those public employees spent their earnings, a lot of carpenters and waiters and real estate agents and cashiers would be able to get back to work.
And we have no one to blame but the cut-cut-cut policymakers, in whichever party. As Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman put it three weeks ago:
Consider, if you will, the current state of our nation. Despite hints of economic progress, we’re still in the midst of an immense disaster, in which unemployment and underemployment are devastating millions of American lives. And none of this need be happening! There has been no plague of locusts; we have not lost our technological know-how. Americans should be richer, not poorer, than they were five years ago. Yet economic policy across the board has become almost passive, has essentially accepted this disaster instead of trying to end it.
Soros and Krugman are right. It’s time to end this man-made economic disaster. It’s time to stop slashing our own economic wrists. It’s time for jobs.
Courage,
Alan Grayson



10 Comments

Zero leadership from Obama and the Democrats couldn’t possibly have anything to do with it.
Maybe the result we have is the result its architects wanted. If you are a MOTU (and a sociopath besides) what could be better than a poor, frightened, under-educated, sick population, one that’s effectively cut off from information that could help it make sense of the world?
I think they have us where they want us and will do what they have to do to keep us there.
And what could be more useful than disinfo agents who divide us along partisan lines, while ignoring the vital role of the other half of the duopoly.
Also useful would be promoting such diaries to prominent visibility.
Drive-by
Austerity. That’s why. And I’m sorry but I see precious few Party Democrats renouncing austerity and too damned many embracing it. I’m sick of politicians telling me what I want to hear and then kowtowing to the monied people in this country. Wanna get my support again? Behave like Democrats, not Republicans light. No more votes for Vichy Democrats. Period.
Austerity is low taxes on the rich and that is all the rich care about.
So they sell the Germans, and the Germans believe, that the southern EU has excessive gov and higher wages than justified by productivity and growth of their economy. The German’s know that they got out of their economic downturn with a gov stimulus (program to share jobs at full pay so as to avoid layoffs – the state paying that portion of full pay that was not paid for hours worked. Two 40 hour jobs cut back to only 40 hours total for 2 guys, so each works 20 hours and still gets paid for 40 hours). So they know austerity just makes it worse – but they think more pain is the only way to get southern EU to focus on productivity and fight increased wages not “justified” by increased productivity.
In the US it is not that complicated – cut taxes on the rich is job one – so we hear about the need to cut down the size of government.
Sorry to see you use the ‘five million unemployed’; that is such a massaged and tweaked-by-government number it’s not even funny.
And sorry; not gonna be taking Soros-advice to heart, and even Krugman still puts all his eggs in the basket of Keyensian capitalism as workable long-term, no other thoughts need be entertained.
Another inappropriate drive-by post.
Flagged with extreme prejudice.
The 1% have created the myth that govt debt is unsustainable and has to be paid back essentially fooling people to think that the govt budget is similar to household budgets. The biggest problem in public analysis is the economic illiteracy of mainstream media, congress, president and neo-liberal economists who confuse (deliberately?) the budgets of USA (the currency issuer) with budgets of everybody else (currency users). Scare words like “unsustainable debt”, “living beyond our means”, “debt crisis” etc. are used and comparisons made to household budgets, a totally incorrect analogy. The dollar is basically a token that keeps the economy running.
Modern Monetary Theory is true. Lots of data is conformity with it. Deficits are good, surplus is bad, govt debt implies private sector wealth, national debt need not (and can not) be paid back, USA does not need taxes to spend, the (debt/GDP) means the same thing as (private wealth/GDP)for a monetarily sovereign nation, China does not fund our economy, inflation is not a risk until full employment is reached, USA can afford to bailout the states and stop all austerity. Almost everything said in the mainstream media is wrong. The congress and the president repeat talking point economics as does Fox News. It is a shame!
http://my.firedoglake.com/pshakkottai/2012/04/20/misunderstood-deficits/
The 1% talk always about cutting deficits and adjusting taxes which prevents the true solution, viz., more deficits.
Europe is not monetarily sovereign but USA is. Balancing the budget means different things to sovereign money creators and non-sovereign money users.
(Federal Deficits = Net Private Savings+ net imports), applies to USA and other nations that have their own currencies. The above is an accounting identity and is used by the treasury and fed and is shown numerically in fig 4 of
http://pragcap.com/resources/understanding-modern-monetary-system
States have to balance the budget all the time. USA, the money creator has to be in deficit to keep the economy alive, the more the deficit the better. Without deficits there is no growth (unless net imports are negative). The deficit is extremely inadequate. There is no need to be afraid of a deficit, because it is nothing but peoples’ wealth. I have shown this in numbers
http://pshakkottai.wordpress.com/2012/02/27/national-debt-and-national-wealth-compared/
Federal deficits are the source of money and taxes are the sink. See a diagram of money flows in
http://pshakkottai.wordpress.com/2012/03/21/157/
Govt-debt is equal to peoples’ wealth and can be anything. 100% of GDP is not a limit. Japan’s is 230% now and it can get much higher. Japan knows how modern monetary theory works and pays no attention to dire warnings by “bond vigilantes”. Japan has been deficit spending for more than a decade with no austerity. USA should do the same.
The debt limit debate by the congress which wasted an enormous amount of time was all kabuki!
Agreed………
I’ve made this point before, but I think poor people, know this intuitively and those who are wealthy, or who have taken on a fear of losing the ability to pay their bills…have forgotten…there comes a time in extreme poverty and debt, when every poor person must go in to over draft to buy groceries, or to buy a tie for the job interview, or take out a student loan to go to school, or borrow money from someone to put air in your tire to get to work. There is no way that people make it out of the bottom…without relying on the good will of others, or without taking risk by investing in the next step. Borrowing for the tank of gas that gets you to the interview or the bus money. Borrowing for the outfit or maybe you get the outfit free but you need shoes…or borrow to make copies of your resume.
One way or another, those of us, who have lived it, know it. When you are really poor, there is only one way to get out…and it’s not to cut spending. It’s to spend money you don’t have, in hope that this move will help you have money later.