This RT Youtube is dated from August 10, 2010, Ray McGovern and VIPS had just released a Memorandum, in which they had raised the alarm about this Repugnant bill, HR 1553 (6 pg. PDF!), that was sent around to House members…
Expressing support for the State of Israel’s right to defend Israeli sovereignty, to protect the lives and safety of the Israeli people, and to use all means necessary to confront and eliminate nuclear threats posed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the use of military force if no other peaceful solution can be found within reasonable time to protect against such an immediate and existential threat to the State of Israel.
Earlier this month, another member of VIPS, Philip Giraldi, wrote; “The Iran Report”
…The last NIE on Iran, released in late 2007(PDF!), was controversial in that it concluded that Iran had abandoned its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and had not resumed it. The document was immediately attacked by neoconservatives and the media, who responded that the Iranians might have a secret program and were intending to revive their efforts. Israel and its supporters have since been insisting that there is, in fact, a hidden program and have been constantly sending out alarms suggesting that a nuclear weapon is only six months or a year away. They keep revising forward the date whenever six months or a year passes without a weapon actually making an appearance.
The new Iran NIE has been delayed a number of times because of conflicting demands from the CIA analysts involved and from the White House. The analysts, badly burned by the heavily politicized 2002 NIE on Iraq, which led to a war, and also nervous about the barrage of criticism of the 2007 NIE on Iran, want the estimate to be completely credible and very tightly analyzed and reviewed. The Obama Administration wants, instead, a document that will give it whatever option it seeks to pursue vis-à-vis the Mullahs…
Yeppers… Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old…! Can you say ‘Stovepipe’ and ‘Cherry Pick’…! *gah*
Anyways, I chose to write about this all-important topic because there’s currently a long lull in the Peace Farce talks, and, even in the unity talks between Fatah and Hamas. Also, while partaking in my usual perusal of Haaretz and the other Israeli dailies, I came across this interview with ex-IAEA henchman, Olli Heinonen…
Behind the scenes of UN nuclear inspection of Iran
It’s only been two months since Olli Heinonen left the IAEA, where he worked for 27 years. In a first interview with an Israeli media outlet, he cautiously explains what is known about Iran’s nuclear program
…”The challenge faced by the international community in coping with Iran’s nuclear effort is huge,” he states in the interview. “We have about a year, until the end of 2011, or perhaps the start of 2012, to solve the problem.” [...]
“The centrifuges are not operating well, and some of them are failing,” Heinonen said. “They are losing materials because of this; and so, with this defective equipment, they will have a hard time enriching the material to a level high enough to enable the production of nuclear weapons. They have a lot of problems, and they are not there yet.”
So, which is it Olli…? *gah*
Now, fortunately there’s a few individuals that are wise to Olli’s wily ways. For instance, Iran Affairs’ Cyrus Safdari has been chronicling his mischief for some time. Here’s Cyrus shortly after Olli announced his resignation…
Spinning Olli Heinonen’s resignation from IAEA
IAEA Deputy Director Olli Heinonen has apparently announced his plans to resign from the IAEA. It is interesting to read how the media are trying to spin this news.
For example, the BBC claims:
Mr Heinonen’s department’s five-year investigation drew on Western intelligence to help to build the IAEA’s case that Iran was working to develop a nuclear-armed missile.
Actually the IAEA has never made any such claim about “nuclear armed missiles.” These are part of the so-called “Alleged Studies” claims that the US has made against Iran based on the “Laptop of Death” computer it claims was obtained from a secret source in Iran. Quite the contrary to what the BBC claims, there is reportedly a lot of controversy within the IAEA about the authenticity of these “alleged studies” claims, and the IAEA has consistently stated that it has no actual evidence to back up the claims. This is what former IAEA head Elbaradei had to say about the documents:
And I have been making it very clear that with regard to these alleged studies, we have not seen any use of nuclear material, we have not received any information that Iran has manufactured any part of a nuclear weapon or component. That’s why I say, to present the Iran threat as imminent is hype.
But spinning Heinonen’s resignation continues. The Jerusalem Post says:
Heinonen, a 63-year-old Finnish radiochemist, caused great international worry in February 2008 with a power-point presentation to diplomats showing links between Teheran’s efforts to process uranium and Iranian tests of high explosives and modifications to missiles to deliver a nuclear payload.
Well, again, during that presentation Heinonen was simply presenting the content of the “alleged studies”, and not vouching for them nor presenting independently-obtained evidence by the IAEA. The US gave (some) of alleged studies claims to the IAEA, Heinonen presented the information in a powerpoint to the diplomats, one of whom then (conveniently-enough) leaked it to the press — thereby allowing the press to misrepresent the matter as if the alleged studies claimed originated with the IAEA rather than with the US. They basically recylcled the allegations to hide their true source.
Antiwar’s Muhammad Sahimi details some of the hijinks and more on the ‘Nuke Laptop’…
A New Judith Miller for
Iran Hawks?[David] Albright’s contact at the IAEA, with whom he is “extremely tight” (in the words of several sources), is Olli Heinonen, the IAEA’s deputy director for safeguards, who is in charge of the current inspections in Iran. Heinonen, whose Finnish nationality may lead people to believe that he is impartial, is leading a crusade against Iran. He constantly acts outside the IAEA’s protocol by leaking sensitive information to the press and spreading unproven allegations about Iran’s nuclear program. A February 2008 report by ElBaradei to the Board of Governors of the IAEA declared that Iran’s six minor breaches of its Safeguards Agreement had been addressed to the IAEA’s satisfaction and that the IAEA had a better understanding of the history of Iran’s nuclear program. Heinonen immediately made a presentation to the Board of Governors that was entirely based on the laptop, four years after the IAEA had obtained it, calling its contents “alarming.” He expects the Iranian government to explain a document it has never seen. The solution is straightforward: present copies of the documents to Iran and analyze the laptop’s digital chain of custody.
Now, wouldn’t you be a little skeptical about an Iranian Scientist’s laptop that is all in English with no Farsi…
…Tehran rejected the material as forged, and there are still reservations within the IAEA about its authenticity, according to officials with knowledge of the internal debate in the agency.
“First of all, if you have a clandestine programme, you don’t put it on laptops which can walk away,” one official said. “The data is all in English which may be reasonable for some of the technical matters, but at some point you’d have thought there would be at least some notes in Farsi. So there is some doubt over the provenance of the computer.”
IAEA officials do not comment on intelligence passed to the watchdog agency by foreign governments, saying all such assistance is confidential.
It is insane how determined they are to ‘Bomb, Bomb, Iran’…!
*gah*
One other noteworthy I/P article I saw today…
Israel army chief says forces fired 308 bullets on flotilla
Israeli commandos fired 308 live bullets aboard a Gaza-bound aid ship in May, Israel’s army chief said on Sunday as he testified again before the Tirkel panel investigating the incident.
Gabi Ashkenazi said the navy’s killing of nine Turkish nationals on the Mavi Marmara had been unavoidable, British news wire Reuters reported.
God help us all…!



11 Comments

Which is exactly why the Likudnik neo-cons did everything they could to squash Obama’s Chas Freeman appointment. They couldn’t have him in charge of the NIE. His appointment would have stunted their ability to cherry pick intelligence on Iran the way they did on Iraq.
Charles Freeman Fails the ‘Loyalty Test’
Glenn Greenwald
http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2009/03/10/freeman
Nice post, recommended.
They never stop.. Hopefully Chuck Hagel will tell Obama that the road to peace in the Middle East does not end in
BaghdadIran, just like he did before.Honestly, I don’t know if ending DADT is such a great thing. Who wants to die for Israel? Raise your hand!
I’ve looked up some stuff. Iran has very limited uranium resources, and they’re poor.
The Teheran Research Reactor (which produces medical isotopes for cancer treatment) runs on 19.75% enriched uranium, and 116 kg of this was supplied from Argentina about 1993 – enough for 10-20 years depending on how the reactor is operated.
Their supply had nearly run out in 2009.
They’ve developed a way to enrich their own Uranium for medical isotopes, but molybdenum and other impurities will make it very difficult to enrich for other uses, like bombs and such.
And Russia can’t just take Iran’s uranium and enrich it, according to CFR:
sorry, my blockquotes didn’t take which makes me look like a plagiarist. Good diary tuttle.
If you’ll indulge my curiosity, how many here think Iran does have a nuclear weapons program? How many think they they do not?
They have a nuclear program, not a nuclear weapons program…! ;-)
Mahalo, Shek…! Nice work…! ;-)
*heh* And lest we forget…
AIPAC Backs Our New National Security Advisor
Expanding on why it’s not practical or viable for the Iranians to be pursuing a weapon is the fact that their entire inventory of approximately 3 tonnes of LEU (19.2%) water would need to be utilized and enriched to HEU (of 98% or higher grade) and would only make one bomb…! They would need to test that weapon and then what…? Then they have no more uranium whatsoever…! If Iran did test a nuke, no country would sell them more uranium afterwards…!
So that’s a “No”?
I don’t see any proof that they have a nuclear weapons program. In a worst case scenario, if they were to somehow manage to get nuclear weapons, I don’t believe they’d pose any threat whatsoever to the US, Israel, or Saudi Arabia.
Israel Defense Minister Ehud Barak has been quoted as saying this exact thing to Haaretz on many occasions. Iran’s ambitions to obtain nuclear weapons does not pose an existential threat to Israel.
It’s all about Israel hegemony in the region. At the moment they can bomb civilians and civilian infrastructure in Gaza, Lebanon, or wherever with absolute impunity. If someone takes a single soldier as a prisoner (to be used as trade bait for Lebanese or Gazan prisoners who’ve been held for years without trial) Israel can just bomb their entire country and murder thousands — no repercussions. Israel enjoys this hegemony and they use it often.
If Iran became nuclear and proceeded to sign defense treaties with Lebanon and Syria that they would defend them against any Israeli attack, that would give Israel pause about attacking its neighbors so flippantly. This is what Israel fears — losing it’s untouchable ‘bully’ status in the region. As the only nuclear power, they enjoy complete hegemony.
I think if Iran got nuclear arms it would do more to end unnecessary bloodshed — mostly inflicted by Israel — in the region, and it would give Israel an incentive to forge peace with the Palestinians, and all other Arab states (as has been offered to and rejected by Israel for over a decade).
Article 2 of the UN Charter states that threatening to use military violence, and the use of military violence, is prohibited unless there exists a legitimate need to act in self-defense. Therefore, to threaten Iran with conventional bombing or a nuclear attack under the transparently false pretext that Iran has a nuclear weapon, or might develop a nuclear weapon, is a violation of international law: a crime. Of course, under the Charter, current US military actions in Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia, Iraq and Pakistan constitute a pattern of systematic criminal activity.
Of course, the US chooses which laws to obey.
If the Obama admin. actually cared about the faux “Iranian threat” he would be pushing to establish a nuclear weapon-free zone in the Middle East, including Israel, and applying it to any UK/US forces deployed in the region. Unfortunately, it seems there is zero chance of this happening; Obama would rather continue committing crimes.