Let’s see how broadly I can stretch the definition of “Good News” today. The weekly report of Initial Unemployment Claims was the lowest it has been since May of 2008:
There were 368,000 initial jobless claims filed in the week ended Feb. 26, the Labor Department said Thursday. That was down 20,000 from the week before, and the lowest since May 2008.
Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected initial claims to rise to 400,000 in the latest report.
The 4-week moving average of initial claims, which aims to smooth out volatility, also improved, falling to 388,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 401,250. That’s the lowest since July 2008.
Of course, this is before any of the threatened lay-offs due to federal and state budget cuts and the overall official unemployment rate is still stuck at 9% or higher so there are still roughly 15 million unemployed and 25 to 30 million un and underemployed.
Another bit of information in today’s news that can be considered “good” news is from today’s (Thursday March 3) NY Times is how the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), Justice Department, Postal Inspectors, and 11 state Attorneys General had investigated, fined, and seized assets of firms preying on the unemployed:
The investigation focused on businesses that lured financially unsophisticated retirees and the unemployed with opportunities to start businesses or gain access to job listings, often with little personal effort but hefty upfront fees, the authorities said.
…snip…
The commission announced more than 90 civil actions, including three lawsuits against companies the agency said defrauded consumers of more than $49.5 million. The F.T.C. said it had obtained judgments and levied fines totaling $14.6 million in six other cases.
The Justice Department said it had taken 48 criminal actions, most in conjunction with the Postal Inspection Service. In 36 criminal cases presented Wednesday, officials said there were 16 guilty pleas, three convictions and seven cease-and-desist orders. Nineteen sentences handed down to defendants total more than 56 years.
Now for the bad news. Apparently the 50 state attorneys general and the various banking regulators in Washington can’t decide on what the level of slap-on-the-wrist punishment will least offend the banksters for all of their various financial frauds that helped destroy the global economy. Also from today’s NY Times:
Even as state attorneys general and regulators in Washington approach the end of their investigation into abuses by the nation’s biggest mortgage companies, deep disputes are emerging over how much to punish the banks as well as exactly who should benefit from a settlement.
The newly created Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is pushing for $20 billion or more in penalties, backed up by the attorneys general and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.But other regulators, including the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which oversees national banks, and the Federal Reserve, do not favor such a large fine, contending a small number of people were the victims of flawed foreclosure procedures.
As the negotiations grind on, there are signs that the banks still have not come to grips with the problems plaguing the foreclosure process. These problems burst into view last fall with accounts of so-called robo-signers processing thousands of foreclosures at a time without the required legal safeguards. The resulting furor prompted the attorneys general and other government officials to step in. Some banks suspended foreclosures to review their processes before resuming.
Trillions of dollars lost to the fraud of the banks, no criminal prosecutions or jail time (as was pointed out by Mr Charles Ferguson at the Oscars Sunday evening) and the banks and financial industry are still whining about a fine of $20 billion dollars. To cover trillions of dollars in frauds and losses. How many billions did Goldman Sachs alone cost the economy yet all the Too Big To Fail banks are complaining about $20 billion total? I think the amount any one bank would have to pay (costs funded of course by the shareholders rather than the bank executives themselves) would be less than one quarters profits and more likely the profits of one month. Why it might even mean some individual bankster bonuses might fall to $10 million or maybe even $5 million and we just can’t have that now can we?
Of course, with all the economic problems all across the nation, all the various legislators all over the land are concentrating on pocket book issues right? That’s what Politico implies with this article on how the social conservatives in the Republican Party are having a “truce”:
For the first time in three decades, a wide-open Republican presidential primary is unfolding in the shadow of an economic recession. That means even in the heavily socially conservative GOP, voters are more focused on the pocketbook than the Good Book.
A host of leaders on the cultural right told POLITICO they don’t intend to fight it. Instead, they hope to protect their role in the campaign by ensuring that social issues are part of a larger conservative message.
Yep, that’s why the Ohio Senate is having a fetus “testify” in an anti-abortion hearing. Ohio, Wisconsin, New Jersey, and Indiana are all trying to bust the public sector unions. Republicans (and some Democrats) in the US House of Representatives tried to re-define rape. A Georgia state representative wants to make women prove miscarriages or face murder charges, abolish driver’s licenses, and declare rape victims as “accusers.” A couple of legislators in Tennessee want to ban the following of Sharia Laws by Muslims:
Tennessee State Sen. Bill Ketron (R-Murfreesboro) and state Rep. Judd Matheny (R-Tullahoma) introduced a bill last week outlawing the practice of Sharia, a complex set of religious laws that guide behavior for Muslims.
The bill, embedded below, attempts to define Sharia law and to make following it a felony punishable by 15 years in jail.
…snip…
So while the bill’s sponsors say that the legislation only seeks to stop Sharia practices that conflict with the Constitution, the legislation implies that Islam requires Muslims to subvert the Constitution through violent or criminal means. Tennessee Muslim leaders have rejected that interpretation of their faith.
Yep. Politico is absolutely correct that the social conservatives have called a time out so that everyone can concentrate on the economy. Or not. This is just a small sample of the bat shit crazy that has been in the news in the last couple of weeks – add your own faves in the comments if you wish.
And because I can:
Cross posted from Just A Small Town Country Boy




31 Comments

And we see why the phrase “and justice for all” is nothing but a lie.
Anyone bullish on our economy has an agenda, because it’s about to get seriously bad. When gas hits $5.00 a gallon, and food costs twice as much as it did just two years ago, the economy is going to tank like it’s never tanked before because any economy based on consumer spending dies when consumer can no longer, you know, spend.
At that rate, does that mean 1.6 million people were laid off in the last month?
This ‘initial claim’ number is a bit confusing.
By that calculus is it so that more that 12 million people lost their jobs last year? I think the calculation that 1 million were added last year.
Not only that, there will be close to 5 million more 99ers without support by May.
“Yep, that’s why the Ohio Senate is having a fetus “testify” in an anti-abortion hearing.”
They never run out of people to hate on.
I hope they do keep up the social issues meme. It is getting old for people that can’t find work and see our schools shutting down.
Of course our own Dems totally screwed themselves out of the JOBS issue. I have no idea what they are going to run on next year.
Well, even though the Rs ran last year on Jobs, they haven’t really done much and their rather blase attitude on public sector jobs (think Boehner’s “So be it” when it was pointed out that the budget cuts would cause lost jobs) means they can’t claim to be doing much – then adding in how the R governors have been cutting jobs programs and the wasted time on the social issues, neither side has much credibility left on jobs
True. I mean what can the Dems do to counteract the social issues they are running on. Guess, I didn’t say it well.
Anyway, they have both busted that walkway up with a jackhammer.
I think there’s a lot of holes over all in the Unemployment figures although the Initial Claims figure might be truer than most.
The official Unemployment figures and the un and underemployment figures are all probably understated. Folks who get forced into the Temp/contract arena wind up no longer being counted as “unemployed” because they are now “self-employed” A lot of older folks give up and start collecting social security early. A lot just give up.
So there are a lot of ways that the counting of the unemployed make the numbers look better than they actually are.
That inability for folks to spend has been a large part of the continuing high unemployment. while one of the TradMed themes has been a mis-match of skills versus jobs, there have been plenty of studies pointing out that the skills mismatch has not really been an issue during the last few years but that lack of demand for products (since folks are only spending for survival)
The Economy vs. David pic is perfect!
Guess which part of that sculpture is polished.
Rayne or whomever at MyFDL that “promoted” the diary gets the credit for the picture.
I just add the video at the end of all my posts. Any pics are added by someone backstage and are as much of a surprise to me as to anyone else.
Let’s see… in my little southern Westchester neighborhood, just touching the northern tip of NYC… we had a supermarket renovate a thrice failed huge restaurant six months ago replacing an AP displaced by a CVS. We needed the supermarket as there’s none in tone. The spanking new supermarket is closing next week.
The Greek dinner which had been on the corner was driven out by exorbitant rent and the property sat vacant for a year before another Greek dinner tried to make a go of it and closed after 5 months. A small butcher shop opened replacing the same that went out of business. This guy lasted 5 months.
We have one success. A Turkish fellow opened up a green grocery plus with super pricing and opened 24/7. He’s doing very well… the only store in the neighborhood that can make such a claim. Even the hair dressers and nail places look empty.
It’s a depression and it’s gonna get worse. This is rich Westchester county.
Plus the savings rate has roughly doubled — that keeps a lot of money out of the economy.
http://www.bea.gov/briefrm/saving.htm
That’s a big number (1.6m) but it’s only 1% of the employed workers. There’s always turbulence, more now than in the Good Old Days™.
Are you implying that it’s as endowed as this David?
Bull balls.
The polishing must serve some religious purpose.
It’s assuring to know that the state attorneys general are above reproach.
Any sign of tent cities yet in Westchester county?
The rich are out of touch with the people. I’m trying to develop some analogies to explain why. Please tell me if this works, the math is right and how to harden the analogy. I’ve got links for my “averages”
Today Hannity was discussing gas prices with some guy and it occured to me how out of touch Hannity is with his “Great Americans” so I did a little math and thought I could make this call:
“Sean The reason you can’t relate to the rest of Americans is because, like Charlie Sheen, you don’t live on the same planet as the rest of us. You are extremely rich, live in a $6.5 million dollar mansion on a private island surrounded by TV moguls, Wall Street multimillionaires and movie stars, THEY are your peer group and neighbors. Not your gardener.
The average Joe makes 36K a year and drives 12,000 miles a year at 20 miles to the gallon (like the Cadillac Hybrid Escalade you drive) at $3.50 a gallon that’s $2,100 per year or about 6% of his income in gas. Are you with me so far?
Now Sean, for you to feel the equivalent economic bite of your income in gas, 6% of your 40 million a year income, you would have to spend $2,400,000 a year in gas. For 6% of your income to be spent on gas it would take $4,000 per gallon and at 26 gallons per tank it should cost you just under $105,000 each time you fill up. But you don’t pay that, do you? No, because at the current prices gas only costs you .00005 of your income. If Average Joe only had to pay that much of his income it would take .08 to fill his tank. It wouldn’t hurt him much either and he could easily “pay the freight” for his gas consumption. You just don’t feel what most Americans feel anymore Sean. You are more like those Wall Street guys than your Average American.”
Mr. Hooker and the young lady rock.
Most that file for their first claim check will find a job before they out of benefits and move to “discouraged” and then disappear from the count.
So each week the states send in their new claims totals and the total is the number you see – but the number that have already been on the UE benefit (it is an insurance with its own benefit and payroll tax) for a while and have now found a job are not reported.
So the number released is not a net increase in not employed number – it is the gross increase only – and the rule of thumb is under 300,000 is “good” – just as it is “good” to have new jobs (the number released the first Friday of every month) at over 200,000 a month – as these two numbers would mean we are absorbing the latest high school graduating class – and slowly cutting into the recession layoffs.
The rich are now so rich that they do not respond to bad times by lowering rents – the welfare they get from the gov checks to their corporations can’t be spent in a year – so why worry – indeed raise the rent.
That’s great reasoning! The only thing I would say is you have to have the soundbite/punchline first, harshly, and then back it up.
“Gas would have to be $4k per gallon for you Sean before you felt the economic impact the average Joe does. You have zero clue about the Average Joe.”
And then barrel on. Fact arguments are lost on those people. Gut first, brain last.
All true – too true.
Your math appears correct. But to keep the price at .00005 of his income, Mr. Hanninty supports a worldwide US military presence. Mr. average Joe, paying .06 of his income, is not so keenly in favor so much militarism for his gas.
OT but spocko, in re: the phone call I hear you received from one of the Kochs wanting to make sure people pronounce his name correctly – I have known of four different pronunciations of that name so if he calls again you can tell him it’s a bit of a wasted effort.
The versions:
Cook (in college)
Cock (in the USAF)
Coke (the a**hats in question plys a former co-worker)
Cotch (former mayor of NYC)
Not that it matters at all
Excellent advice Kelly!
Also should I say .005 percent? Vs .00005?
I wouldn’t even say a number.
I’d say “Look, right now gas is about 1/2 an hour gross of minimum wage. What’s half an hour of YOUR wage, huh? That’s how much it’d actually have to be for you to actually feel it, Sean.”
The PTB have, over the years, moved employees from “on the books” to being contractors. If you aren’t on the books, you aren’t eligible to collect unemployment.
Thus, the unemployment figures don’t reflect those unemployed contractors, and there are a lot of unemployed contractors.
Failed conservative policy will have a presence as long as only 4 in ten voting age Americans vote.