Today’s Initial Unemployment Claims report for last week is out and the initial claims have jumped back up over 400k. Via Reuters:
A second report from the Labor Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 412,000, well above economists’ expectations for a fall to 380,000.
The four-week moving average of unemployment claims — a better measure of underlying trends – climbed 5,500 to 395,750.
The first report the article covers is the Producer Price Index, defined here. Also from the linked Reuters article:
The Labor Department said on Thursday its seasonally adjusted index for prices paid at the farm and factory gate — excluding volatile food and energy costs — rose 0.3 percent after gaining 0.2 percent in February. Economists had expected core PPI to rise 0.2 percent in March.
David Dayen at FDL News this morning says this:
But the bad economy only makes this worse. There’s a ton of idle capacity in the economy, a demand shortfall that forces millions of potentially productive workers to the sidelines. USAT estimates 27 MILLION non-working adults; that’s inexcusable. And they will not be helped by contractionary fiscal policy that lowers demand even further.
Now the official Unemployment rate at 8.8% is roughly 14 to 15 million people with the Underemployed getting the number up to 25 – 30 million . Dayen’s numbers reinforce my contention over the last few months that the official numbers have been woefully understated (see here and here for example.)
Today’s Washington Post had this article on the increased hiring of veterans in a ‘good news, bad news’ kind of way:
Veterans made up more than a quarter of new hires by the federal government in the last fiscal year, registering a slight increase since the Obama administration pledged to bring more servicemembers returning to civilian life into the civil service.
Office of Personnel Management Director John Berry attributed the progress in the employment of veterans, including those disabled in combat, to an “aggressive” effort to find them good government jobs.
But despite efforts by the private sector and the government, 27 percent of veterans in their early 20s were unemployed in February, while 9 percent of veterans overall are without jobs, several senators and veterans groups said Wednesday as they opened a hearing on Capitol Hill on the high employment barriers veterans face.
We keep reading about how the economy is improving through articles like this one from today’s NY Times and this one from Reuters. From the Times article:
Economic activity in the United States continued to improve over the last month, helped by the manufacturing and retail sectors, but the disaster in Japan and higher energy prices created new uncertainty about the outlook, according to a survey of the Federal Reserve’s 12 districts released on Wednesday.
The central bank report on economic activity, called the beige book, reported a “steady improvement” in manufacturing, often including hiring, and at least 10 districts cited “slight gains” in consumer spending.
From the Reuters article:
(Reuters) – Surging inflation pressures and the natural disasters that ravaged Japan last month look unlikely to stall an ascendant global economy, a Reuters poll of around 350 economists showed on Thursday.
The survey of analysts from all over the world again showed the United States leading a rich-world recovery along with Canada, while respondents expect a jumble of strong and weak performances from the top European economies.
So I guess things are getting better, except for the long term Un and Underemployed, who are seemingly being forgotten by most of the people in power. One possible exception just might be Representative Joseph Crowley (D-NY) who gave this “speech” this morning on the House floor:
No additional snark required.
Cross posted from Just A Small Town Country Boy



29 Comments

27 MILLION non-working adults??? That’s beyond inexcusable, but I can’t think of a strong enough word to describe it. It’s a tragedy, that’s for sure.
I am one of those 27 million. I personally know five people (just off the top of my head) that haven’t had a job in over two years! I personally know four adults (myself included) who have had to “double up” with family or friends because they were no longer able to be self-sufficient!
There is a huge emotional toll on those jobless folks, too. I find myself being way too young to retire (I’m 49…) yet feeling that I’m “too old” to be hired and wonder if I will ever work again. I am finding it hard to come to grips with this “new reality”, so I just feel lost.
These “jobs” that the private sector has added are primarily in the service sector (translation: retail and fast-food), health care (translation: low-wage nurses aids and home health care aids) and manufacturing (translation: daily (on-call) temporary, low wage assembly jobs) as actually claimed by some economist or other when pressed by Congressman Elijah Cummings last week. I am guessing that most of these jobs are not full-time and do not offer any benefits.
We need to not just be asking “Where are the jobs?” but also “What kind of jobs?” because the majority of the types of jobs that are being added are as unacceptable as the unemployment situation itself is. Just getting “the numbers” down is not good enough, not good enough at all!
What do we want? Dignified, living wage jobs! When do we want them? NOW!
Thanks for posting, dakine01!
the corporations have bought all the productive industry, and starting from that, begun layoffs to squeeze profits from the investments. There’s no room for us.
At least the American indians had a dust heap of a reservation to lay their dying bones on. Don’t even have that.
I can’t help but notice that every time there is a drop off in unemployment, however slight, it is trumpeted by every major news and opinion outlet regardless of ideological bent and every time there is an increase in jobless claims, those same outlets ignore it, however large. Thanks for covering this.
Yep. I’m in that same boat. I’ll be homeless soon. I have nobody willing to take me in so it will be me and my cat in my car.
Another “economist surprised” story…
Yeah, I’ve kinda noticed that as well. they bury it in amongst other news tidbits and hope no one is paying any attention.
There is a pattern of that happening.
These are becoming as common as the, “cia has screwed up again” stories.
Sometimes silence is Golden.. Let the written words speak for themselves!
Unfortunately I’ve always had problems being silent. Although the written words are becoming one of the means for me to shout it out at the top of my lungs.
recommended and tweeted dakine
Thanks Suz!
I have to say that the Crowley video just blew me away when I saw it this morning. He might turn out to be standard “Gee, I can’t wait to cave on things” Dem but for one minute this morning, I saw a Congressman standing up for people on the floor of the House and asking about jobs.
By the time this one is history it’s going to make the last one seem as if it was a walk in the park, just my guess.
Bad reporting on the 27 million.
I couldn’t get thru the USA today ad to see what their source was, but here’s the emp-pop ratio, where only adults are included, a much more meaningful number. Still includes a baseline of retirees, permanently disabled, etc., so still not a great way to look at it. FWIW, here’s a chart going back to 1982 http://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet (I reset it but if you get a shorter interval, there’s a date option at the top of the page.) As you can see, it is cyclical & was lower during the Raygun recession, when the unemployment rate peaked a percentage point higher than in the current recession. But this time, owing to an anemic recovery, it’s stayed down longer.
Link on longer chart didn’t work when I clicked on it. So here’s a link to the shorter chart. Then go to the top of the page and change the start date to 1982. http://data.bls.gov/pdq/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=LNS12300000
Having provided some perspective on the emp-pop ratio, two substantive points about current policy:
1. Jobs are off the policy list; codeword is that unemployment is “structural.”
2. The victims are at fault bc they are lazy or “not trained” (another code word) for the actual jobs that are really really there.
Mind you, NOT my position, but O’s position, and the Rs of course.
Well even the official rate of 8.8% equates to 14 to 15 million unemployed. If you add in the folks who have given up, the people that are now temps and considered “self-employed” or “independent contractors” and might be in between temp work where they are not considered among the official unemployed, it is quite easy for me to believe 27 million unemployed, without even going into the underemployed.
Then you can probably add in folks who gave up and took an early Social Security and 27 million becomes more and more reasonable
Yeah, I didn’t link to any of the articles I’ve used to refute that but there seems to be about one article refuting the “structural” or “new normal” for every four or five articles trying to push the point.
Oh sure, we’re going to believe the politicized Fed when it says that “economic activity in the United States continued to improve over the last month” when “at least 10 districts cited ‘slight gains’ in consumer spending.”
I’ve got this bridge. . .
eMeg was on cnbc, think it was yesterday morning. She’s a member of some wingnut group with jobs program, or maybe it was deficit. I have stomach to watch that junk for only a couple of minutes. To the anchor’s credit, after letting eMeg get away with her laudatory talking points for how great the plan was, s/he kept pressing on what the emp plan actually was. After several tries for details, presto-changeo, you guessed it, lower tax rate for corps and training for the jobs that are really there, if only the unemployed boobs (my word, not hers) are unqualified for.
More reasons to primary him next year.
They’re not interested in actually fixing the economy, they just want us to grovel before our ‘betters’. (Not that they actually are better than us, but they think they are.)
I have friends who are going to talk to a BK lawyer on Monday. They’re going to lose their house anyway, unless they win the lottery this month.
Actually jobs are on the policy list, but it’s not jobs in the U.S. It’s job outsourcing that increases corporate profits so that’s what the U.S. government is dedicated to. That includes primarily the State Department with their Commerce desks, and also USAID which disburses U.S. taxpayer funds directly or via American Chamber overseas offices to train foreign workers to take U.S. jobs.
U.S. ambassadors are enthusiastic proponents for overseas corporate investment. And what better example do we have then Jeff Immelt, the Obama job growth guru who has been ecstatic about outsourcing to China and India?
They torture Bradley Manning when the government itself is criminally undermining U.S. employment?
If you want jobs then start a business and hire some people. Don’t see what’s the problem.
FWIW I also notice that the trad. retail jobs, like at Macy’s, are beecoming highly competitive, whereby the sales assoc. have to meet certain sales levels and such or then they lose their jobs. Even those types of jobs aren’t all that easy any more. A lot of pressure to produce in certain ways.
It’s pretty disgusting how the PTB are no also intent on attacking the public sector and forcing many of those jobs to be cut as well. If there’s “waste,” that’s fine. But a lot of good jobs are being cut for the wrong reasons, which ends up a lose-lose-lose situation all around.
The problem with you Libertarians and Right-wingers is that you all have NO CLUE what you are talking about (in addition to being huge hypocrites and experts at revisionist history and making up your own science).
(Note to Mods: I make the above statement with the utmost respect. What I say is an observation, not an insult. I know too many hypocrite “small government” right-wingers and libertarians who owe their careers and wages to public education and who just plain piss the hell out of me off.)
First, why don’t you take your own advice and start a business and hire some people?
Second, if you want to start a business, you need capital for that. People who are unemployed, on the verge of foreclosure, and are depleting their savings DO NOT HAVE ANY CAPITAL to start a business. Do you expect them to starve or stop paying the electricity bill in order to start a business? Or do you expect them to walk into a Wells Fargo and easily get a loan? Maybe you could give them a loan…hmmm?
Third, maybe I will take your advice and open a lemonade stand. You don’t need much capital for that. I hear that is the economic activity that all of you right wingers want the middle class to pursue after your privatization policies have effectively shut people out of the educational system, out of hospitals, and out of the workforce.
Republicans are cowards beholden to big money. Democrats are ever so slightly less cowardly and beholden (theoretically). Who wins? How about neither? Third Party.
With so many of those dumb bastards in Congress millionaires, they do not have the slightest idea of what is happening down here in the ditches. When any of them, including the Pres. says anything that starts with the phrase, “The American people want/believe/say/think…” They are lying. Remember when R.Raygun saw a scanner in the grocery store and thought it was a good idea for Star Wars…what a maroon! Most of these guys can’t hit their ass with both hands, some not even with one hand. I wonder how much they pay some illegal immigrant to wipe their acres of ass.
I wasn’t really really serious with that comment but I expected something like your reply. Your reply reads like someone who is in denial of this tax slave system you and I were born into.
One of the most important things in a business is missing from your comments. Won’t tell you what it is though.