Actually Matt Miller was ostensibly writing in the Washington Post about the “decadence of the Western governing class,” but he was inadvertently telling readers much more about the failure of people who pass for intellectuals in public debate. Miller passes for somewhat of an expert on economic and budget policy, yet this column posed two amazing questions for readers:
“According to the IMF, China’s GDP per capita is about $8,400. The United States’ is about $48,000. How can it be that a country nearly six times richer is relying on a country so poor to help finance its current consumption?”
“Related surreal question: What does it say when Europe, where most nations have per-capita incomes ranging from $35,000 to $45,000, is also passing the tin cup to much poorer China in an attempt to backstop its recklessly leveraged banks and governments?”
Of course these questions both have very simple answers that are 180 degrees at odd with Miller’s austerity prescriptions. In the first case, those who took intro econ know that if any country, no matter how poor, decides to deliberately depress the value of its currency against the dollar, then it will run a trade surplus with the United States. In other words, the answer to Miller’s question is that it is a deliberate policy of the Chinese government to support the consumption of the United States.
Miller apparently doesn’t know that China pegs its currency against the dollar. In order to keep the yuan from rising against the dollar, it has purchased over $1 trillion of U.S. assets over the last decade. The United States is in fact not “relying” on China to finance its current consumption. In fact, the official policy of both the Bush and Obama administrations was that we wanted China’s government to stop buying up dollars and thereby depressing the value of the yuan. [While this is the public policy, this may not be the actual policy, since many powerful interests like Wall Street banks and major retailers benefit from the over-valued dollar.]
This would allow the dollar to fall. That would make Chinese imports more expensive to U.S. consumers and U.S. exports cheaper for people in China. That would cause the U.S. trade deficit with China to fall, and possibly turn to a surplus, which is the textbook relationship between rich countries and poor countries.
In the case of Europe, the problem is that the German government and the European Central Bank (ECB) are trying to impose austerity across Europe. The ECB has all the euros it could possibly need to bail out Greece, Italy and anyone else in sight. However, rather than use its ability to print euros to save Europe’s economy, the ECB is trying to force cutbacks in social spending and protections for workers across Europe. The trip to China to seek support for a bailout was a silly diversion from the real issue.
The fact that Miller would be posing questions like these in the Washington Post shows the incredible decadence of the Western intellectual class. At least when it comes to economic policy, it is largely comprised of people who are either so ignorant of basic economics or so dishonest that they primarily act to confuse their audience and distort reality.
It says a huge amount about intellectual debate in the United States that almost no one lost any standing for failing to notice the housing bubble, the largest asset bubble in the history of the world. It is almost impossible to understand how an analyst who paid attention to basic economic data could fail to see the bubble and the distortions it created.
Yet, the experts who were completely surprised by the collapse of the bubble and its impact on the economy continue to dominate policy debate in both the United States and Europe. Now that is some serious decadence.
[photo: Geka/Shutterstock.com]



23 Comments

Matt Miller blows!
Sorry, forgot the best part: Donkey Dick!
Sinclair’s Law (“It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it”) has been the governing principle of the US press for so long that anyone who has actually made it to the top ranks has done so by being a stenographer and not a reporter.
Sorry again, thanks, Dean.
Matt Miller is what you get when you cross the Third Way with the Second Mile.
what pw said.
Slave labor, matt.
Matt Miller is the epitome of DC intellectual laziness. He’s a third string stand-in, anything he spouts, he’s heard from someone more notable than him. He’s made a career of go along to get along.
Matt Miller is an intellectual? I thought you had to know how to read to qualify.
Those who failed to foresee the housing bubble run economic policy.
Those who thought invading Iraq was a great idea run foreign policy.
And they run both parties.
“Opportunity” (opportunist)
“Commitment” (certifiable)
“Positive” (positively in it for el moi)
But he’s like a professor of something or other at Occidental…no, wait, he’s a “distinguished senior fellow.” And he’s an expert on education, or, at least, he’s a wannabe really rich like his handlers who’ve instructed him that he is to be an expert on education, because, well, why are millionaires and billionaires so interested in public education? For the same reason banksters
pimped mortgage loans. For the same reason Wall Street wanted to privatize Social Security. For the same reason Willie Horton robbed banks.
Related: WMD “finders” are still hunting for WMD’s!
“The ECB has all the euros it could possibly need to bail out Greece, Italy and anyone else in sight.”
Are you recommending bailouts or are you merely criticizing Germany’s insistence upon austerity in exchange for the bailouts? If it is the former, I wish you’d explain why.
I have no interest in defending the mediocre Matt Miller commentary, but here is Miller’s bio on his website:
“Mr. Miller, 49, was born in New York City and raised in Rye Town, New York, and Greenwich, Connecticut. He received his B.A. in economics, magna cum laude, from Brown University in 1983. (His junior year was spent at the London School of Economics.) He received his law degree from Columbia Law School in 1986, where he was a James Kent Scholar and book reviews editor of the Columbia Law Review.”
I figure he can’t help his economic ignorance. He was trained as an economist. Dean is a good guy, as is Krugman, to the extent each recognize the intellectual bankruptcy of most of the economists who dominate most universities and colleges, not to mention the corporate media.
P.S.:
Dr. Baker, I would love you hear your thoughts on what we should try to do with our economy if the existing Global Financial System crashes.
I have not had sexual relations with that man!
[:o0
Matt Miller is another know nothing Neoliberal who wants to gut SS Medicare and Medicaid and turn them over to his Wall st pals….Whenever I see him on the DR show I start channel surfing asap! Keep up the good work Dean!
“And they run both parties.” They run the entire country, both Public and Private sectors.
Just the denial raises my suspicions lol.
What a moron. The fact that China artificially depresses its currency to drive a trade surplus is pretty much common knowledge among everyone I know who spends any time thinking about current events.
However, there’s one more thing to consider — the dollar value of the US current accounts deficit (total) is very nearly equal to the dollar value of net US oil imports.
Miller worked for Alice Rivlin at OMB when she was Clinton’s budget director.
Decadence of Western Intellectual Class. And governing class. And financial/business/entrepreneurial class. And religious leaders. And media. And Universities.
When all institutions and power centers rot from within and collapse, what rude beast slouches toward Bethlehem? And how long do we have before it starts slouching?
I think Europe has a fear of printing euros to escape debt because the last time they tried such a policy it led to the rise of Adolph Hitler. Printing money to escape debt = higher inflation = economic depression = the rise of vicious morons like Michelle Bachman, Rick Perry and yes, Barack Obama.
Why is printing money okay today, but not in the 1920s?