Steven Pearlstein, the Washington Post business columnist, often writes insightful pieces on the economy, not today. The thrust of his piece is that we all should be hopeful that a group of incredibly rich CEOs can engineer a coup.
While the rest of us are wasting our time worrying about whether Barack Obama or Mitt Romney are sitting in the White House the next four years, Pearlstein tells us (approvingly) that these honchos are scurrying through back rooms in Washington trying to carve out a deficit deal.
The plan is that we will get the rich folks’ deal regardless of who wins the election. It is difficult to imagine a more contemptuous attitude toward democracy.
The deal that this gang (led by Morgan Stanley director Erskine Bowles) is hatching will inevitably include some amount of tax increases and also large budget cuts. At the top of the list, as Pearlstein proudly tells us, are cuts to Social Security and Medicare. At a time when we have seen an unprecedented transfer of income to the top one percent, these deficit warriors are placing a top priority on snatching away a portion of Social Security checks that average $1,200 a month. Yes, the country needs this.
The most likely cut to Social Security is a reduction in the annual cost of living adjustment of 0.3 percentage points. While that might sound trivial, the effect accumulates through time. After ten years, a typical check will be about 3 percent lower, after 20 years it will be 6 percent lower, and after 30 years it will be about 9 percent lower.
Social Security amounts to 90 percent or more of the income for one-third of seniors. For this group, the proposed cut in benefits would be a considerably larger share of their income that the higher taxes faced by someone earning $300,000 a year as a result of the repeal of the Bush tax cuts on high income earners. The latter is supposed to be a big deal, therefore the proposed cuts to Social Security are also a big deal.
The most likely Medicare cut is an increase in the qualifying age from 65 to 67. Those who pay attention to policy issues know that the health insurance market for people in their sixties is a disaster. And, if they could be bothered to look at the Congressional Budget Office’s analysis, they would know that this change would hugely increase the cost of care for the country as a whole, even if it saved the federal government money. In other words, it is exactly the sort of budget cut we would expect from a group of cynical rich people.
Just about everything in Pearlstein’s piece is upside down. Of course the major problem facing the country at present is massive unemployment. If the economy was near full employment we wouldn’t have a big deficit. The long-term story behind the deficit projections is of course projections of exploding private sector health care costs, as every budget analyst knows.That should lead to a discussion about fixing the health care system, not a discussion of the budget.
Pearlstein even bizarrely brags that his deficit fighting crew has been warning about the problem for the last decade. Well, we haven’t had a deficit problem for the last decade. We had a housing bubble problem. And because the Washington Post and other elite media outlets obsessed in reporting about the deficit non-problem, the housing bubble continued to grow unchecked.
Eventually the housing bubble blew up and wrecked the economy and also gave us large deficits. So now who does the Post turn to as authorities on the economy, naturally the people who ignored the housing bubble. And they wonder why the country has contempt for the Washington elite.
Dean Baker is co-director of the Center for Economy and Policy Research. He also writes a regular blog, Beat the Press, where this post original appeared.




71 Comments

Thanks Dean for the warning.
Not that Social Security and Medicare will be around for much longer anyway–since I’m relatively young, I feel cheated whenever my paycheck comes to me short because of it.
But anyway, I say just let the rich people steal everything. The sooner their greed crashes the market economy, the sooner the paper they’ve stolen will become worthless. And after that happens my chickens and rabbits will be in high demand.
Raising the Medicare retirement age from 65 to 67 (and higher) was the plan all along and Obamacare will herd these people into the private insurance corral.
If Obama and Capitol Hill Democrats cut Social Security and Medicare, the Democratic Party might as well disband because it stands for nothing anymore.
A 76-y/o man from California is living in his truck in my neighborhood because he lost his pension. I really don’t know how much more suffering some of the “you people” will be able to endure. I am so sick about all of this.
It is hard to believe that the 1% can really believe that they will be able to isolate themselves from all of the “you people.” Eventually, there is no place to hide.
I have little hope and am mostly filled with despair.
We’ve been seeing this coming for a couple of months now, an all out assault during the lame-duck session.
They’ve tried and failed in the past, but this time they have congressional Democratic leadership on their side, e.g., Nancy Pelosi. I don’t see anybody stopping them. Certainly not Barack Obama or that other guy.
Dean,
Thank you for the post and the warning.
Not once in all of these discussions has the suggestion been made to raise the cap on SS, not once and if that was raised above the $206,000 earning level (I believe that is the number) there would be no problem at all. You know, when I wrote that number, it jarred me and my memory, once again the upper income people are exempted from paying for SS so again, it falls on the “little people.”
I am truly disappointed in Obama,(understatement) but Romney scares the hell out of me in everything he says or does.
All roads lead to Grand Bargain-ville.
Meanwhile:
If a congresstwerp retires early they get their Social Security BEFORE they are 62 – paid by taxpayers. It’s a special deal. They can retire anytime after about 55, and with lifetime medical at ridiculously low prices. http://www.senate.gov/reference/resources/pdf/RL30631.pdf
Egads, Erskine has a face that makes me want to punch him in his Bowles.
Gosh, just think — enough austerity and we can be like Greece!
If not standing for anything constitutes the benchmark for dissolution, the Democrats should dissolve now and let another party fill the niche they used to fill.
just get the guillotines already,enuf is enuf
http://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=QsY066wa08E&feature=endscreen
Yep. And yesterday, Melissa Harris-Perry was nodding like a marionette in approval of a bunch of “third way” Republicans and blue dogs whose agenda seemed to be focused on passing Simpson-Bowles legislation.
Can’t stand her. So sweet and demure and teaching at Tulane, all the while the poor people in New Orleans are going hungry. She is a tool.
These F-N gangsters are not going to rest until they’ve plundered every corner or every account everywhere – give or take a few bucks.
Cornel West and her (apparently) have some bad blood. Check this out…
thank you for bringing that up.
the deficit scolds need to look here, too, for cuts.
how about some ‘shared sacrifice’ by those who can afford it?
Actually, Dean, due to the Rule of 72, the .3% decrease results in doubling every seven years, so after 30 years, that would be 12, not 9, % less benefits.
ANY cut is unconscionable, but I am certain a good sized cohort of the cretins running this country will see cuts as a good thing for all of us. Meaning the MOTU.
Oh no, she been well trained for that.
great link.
g-d bless brother west. melissa h-p is a tool.
Amazing, isn’t it? All this talk about the deficit, and the Democrats shy away from doing something about the two biggest contributors to it: the Iraq and Afghanistan wars and the Bush tax cuts. Instead, the Democrats propose to exacerbate the poverty of their most loyal supporters.
Survey says 55 percent disagree with West (that Perry is a Fraud).
I just voted for West. West needs more votes.
I wonder if those taking that poll are so-called liberals. I suppose they are.
What you mean here is that it is difficult to imagine people’s democratic credulity can survive these shenanigans.
Don’t worry, Dean, we’ve already passed that corner.
There is an elite consensus you are masking. Have you revealed it somewhere?
so depressing.
where’s the survey?
i’d like to support west.
whoops, nevermind.
found the survey! (bottom of that link)
But everybidy gets what he means.
Daily, any legitimate media would pose this Q to any (Legacy Party, particularly) Candidate:
Are you willing to cut Social Security and Medicare or raise the eligibility age, you elitist, one-percent-serving prick?
No long winded bullshit is acceptable. YES OR NO, Q.
Note: Oilbomber has already begun defunding Social Security. 2 percent less is collected from every American paycheck.
The dollar amount retained in the paycheck and rec’d by the earner is not stimulative. It is absorbed by price gouging.
It’s just insane. No other word for it, even one that may be more factually descriptive. Just nucking futz!
The payroll tax holiday was a very bad idea for two reasons: (1) employers pocket the unpaid tax and don’t hire any more workers; and (2) the Social Security Trust Fund gets less revenue, prompting even more calls to “reform” an “unsustainable” system.
There is some really cool video on YouTube of Muammar Gaddafi being captured by rebels. Love it!
The elites are going to do this unless they fear the masses.
The masses need to make it very clear to these criminal elites that when they push us over the cliff we are bringing them all along.
X 2
x 3
Absolutely.
This is one of the most important issues
of this kabuki election.
We can’t let them dodge this with the usual shiny objects.
If the low-info masses heading toward retirement catch wind of this, they might even wake up.
Are comments open @ Pearlstein’s article? If so, folks should hop on over there and give him an earful.
I suspect the WaPoo is too cowardly to permit that.
Your paycheck is short because the government stopped taxing rich people and corporations and dumped their tax burdens on you:
http://rdwolff.com/content/who-really-pays-taxes
They won’t let any thing post that would really upset their elite masters. In other words—it’s censored.
But we can try and see what gets through.
This.^
Of course, people’s lives will need to become much much much more uncomfortable (the will need to lose their bread and circuses) before such a thing will happen, but this is the only thing that will end this sort of behavior. Better if it happens sooner rather than latter as well since the 1% won’t feel quite as entitled to the theft they have been perpetrating.
You think this can last. There’s a storm coming Mr. Wayne. You and your friends better batten down the hatches, because when it hits, you’re all going to wonder how you ever thought you could live so large and leave so little for the rest of us. The Dark Knight Rises
SS was pay as you go until the early 80′s when there was no longer enough pay to go around. Then the withholding was increased and a permanent trust fund was generated.
Now here is where you have to pay attention. Every excess dollar over what is paid out goes to the Treasury to pay current bills. In return the Treasury issues SS a promise, on paper, to pay it back with interest. The SS withholding excess in other words is treated by the Treasury as ordinary income to them like income taxes. So the $1.5 trillion (don’t quote me on that number) of excess contributions have gone to reduce each years reported deficit. It is only after each fiscal year ends that the money as a loan to the Treasury is recognized and thrown into all calculations of the total debt.
Anyway one point is that the rich are not here to steal that money since it is already gone. What they want to do is to default on its repayment. One thing that will be done with it is to pay off the holders of GSE MBS paper. That used to have an implied government guarantee but Geithner made the guarantee explicit in late December 2010 and so far congress hasn’t balked. Every time the Treasury comes along and asks for 5 or 8 billion to bail out FNM or FRE, which means lets them pay off the holders of their MBS paper in full, congress does it without even a tiny peep of protest.
That, comrade, is a vicarious revolution.
The culture of illusion lacks imagination.
Here’s hoping entertainment can help.
They’re going to “save” it by reducing benefits ad nauseum . (the exact terms Warner’s office was using.) With Democrats it is going to be death by a million paper cuts instead of the outright knife to the kidneys that the GOP favors.
So much better don’t you know.
Bingo!
The rich are projecting when they call the poor a bunch of deadbeats. They took the money from Burger King workers and Hilton hotel maids to fund their little excursions and now they don’t want to pay it back.
It’s actually only $106,800. The maximum contribution from anyone is $6,621.60.
Another variety of stealth attack on Social Security involves making it more “progressive,” either by means-testing or by fiddling with benefit levels. Either approach will make SS look more like a welfare program, which would be easier for the right wing to attack.
In fact, the SS Trust Fund has been invested in $2.6T of special U.S. Treasury Bonds that can be redeemed only to cover SS deficits (i.e., shortfalls in on-going revenue). Like the proceeds from all other bonds, e.g., those the Treasury sells to China, the proceeds from the bonds sold to the SS Trust Fund have gone to paying for wars and tax cuts for the rich.
That $2.6T is sufficient cover all SS deficits for the next quarter of a century, after which there will be a 20% shortfall in revenue each month, unless benefits are cut and/or revenue is increased. But there is NO NEAR-TERM PROBLEM that needs to be fixed.
So why the panic now? That’s because the upper 1% pay 40% of the income tax and the upper 10% pay 70% of it. They feel that they stole that money from the working class fair and square, and they should not have to pay it back and won’t have to if they can fix/strengthen SS so that there are no shortfalls over the next quarter of a century.
It’s a point of pride with them. Screwing the lesser people is what they do for a living, and they were very proud of themselves when they worked this SS Trust Fund scam. It would diminish their self-esteem to have to pay it back. That’s all there is to it. And, four days before his inauguration, Obama declared that he’s on-board for that “entitlement
cuttingstrengthening” agenda.If the young people of America permit this, they are giving their tacit approval to those who intend to victimize them. None can wait for another to resist first, and none can afford to be right rather than informed. Enslavement isn’t something that only happens in history. Where have all the hippies gone?
The commodification of revolution?
Ho ho.
Bullshit. Go on the offense, comrade.
You’re right. They don’t want to pay it back.
As Senator Tom Coburn said on the floor of the Senate, Congress stole the surplus and there is no way to pay it back.
To which we 310 million have to say, the 16 TRILLION DOLLAR U.S. DEBT benefited only the elites and they must pay it.
Because WE WON’T PAY!
Yes indeed. Use the tools you have.
The DEMS/REPUGS have stolen 2 years of our SS money with the PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY.
Obama said he would pay for the 2% PAYROLL TAX by taxing the millionaires. When the Repugs said no, he said that’s ok.
We should have taken to the streets at that point. This is the first step in getting rid of SS or we could give it to WALL STREET outright.
Our country is governed by the BANKSTERS/CEO’S OF CORPORATIONS.
All POLITICIANS AND MEDIA PUNDITS SHOULD BE REQUIRED TO WEAR NASCAR ADVERTISING ON THEIR CLOTHES WHEN THEY APPEAR IN PUBLIC.
“Our country is governed by the BANKSTERS/CEO’S OF CORPORATIONS.
All POLITICIANS AND MEDIA PUNDITS SHOULD BE REQUIRED TO WEAR NASCAR ADVERTISING ON THEIR CLOTHES WHEN THEY APPEAR IN PUBLIC.”
hilarious! the banksters should get some
free ads – along w/everything else.
whoops, should read:
“Our country is governed by the BANKSTERS/CEO’S OF CORPORATIONS.
All POLITICIANS AND MEDIA PUNDITS SHOULD BE REQUIRED TO WEAR NASCAR ADVERTISING ON THEIR CLOTHES WHEN THEY APPEAR IN PUBLIC.”
hilarious! the banksters should get some
free ads – along w/everything else they’ve BOUGHT.
whoops, should read:
hilarious! the banksters should get some
free ads – along w/everything else they’ve BOUGHT.
very sorry about editing mess over here.
jgordon–
If you feel cheated now, imagine how “cheated” you’ll feel, when you wind up “changing your parents’ diapers,” day after day, because the Medicaid program, which provides long-term care for the elderly (after a spenddown) has been defunded, and virtually destroyed..
That is apparently what the Washington Establishment (lead by President Obama and the Democratic Pary) has in mind for our entire social safety net.
I don’t mean to sound harsh, but IMHO, you might want to rethink your somewhat shortsighted position.
Blue
Forbes, 1 in 2 Americans Are Poor Or Low Income
The tax holiday just made the shell game more apparent. The money from the general fund is being utilized to fund social security in much the same way that social security surpluses have been utilized to shore up general funding.
It’s one of many reasons I call bullshit when some moron tells me that 40% of the country doesn’t pay taxes as if income taxs have been the sole source of revenue for funding.
marymccurnin–
Spot on.
And just watch the rest of the Democratic Party shills (on MSBNC and elsewhere) fall right in line, with their usual perfunctory period of protest, before caving. So predictable. So pathetic.
Blue
CNN, 46 Million Americans On Food Stamps
They aren’t the little people. Rules are only for the pledian working class not their betters./s
This post coupled with Wigwam’s on wealth distribution just frosts my cookies. If the Dems are going to be Republican lite, then maybe we need the demise of the US as we know it, a crisis if you will, to purge the system. And, hopefully like the phoenix rising from the ashes a newer better nation will emerge. I have never felt so discouraged and betrayed by an ineffectual and traitorous leadership. But then, look at the bewildering onslaught by the 1%. “You people” have no money and therefore no rights. Get over it.
Here’s a link to the “kickoff” of The Campaign to Fix the Debt. Hope to post a diary soon, with some detail as to their plans to propangandize “the American People.”
http://www.c-span.org/Events/Cmte-for-a-Responsible-Federal-Budget-Launches-Debt-Reduction-Campaign/10737432391-1/
This video is sort of lengthy, but very telling. So please take time to view it.
In the Q&A segment with reporters, after the remarks, former Senator Judd Gregg is almost “giddy” as he talks about the possibility of seeing the top marginal rate go down to 23%. Gregg also admits that of the 1.3 Trillion dollars of revenue that would be generated by closing mostly “middle class” tax deductions, or expenditures, the bulk, 1 Trillion Dollars, would go toward paying for the lowering of the top marginal tax rates for the wealthy and corporations.
Thank you, Dr. Baker, for bringing up this all important topic.
It’s the logical conclusion to money being equal to speech. The more money you have the more time at the podium you can purchase. Those without the means don’t get to have much of a voice.
Oh don’t worry, Dems will just do what they always do and lose by a couple of votes and then pretend like they tried to stop it. They are paid to do just that. “bank” on it.
Of course, the one percent want to stop everything that helps the elderly hold onto their homes and properties into old age. Can’t have these people passing on properties and messing up their debt slave formulas. They want people completely vulnerable and they know this will do it better than anything.
Time for a revolution, time to arrest the people that work to cannibalize the people. Kochs must be arrested and this bastard rich kid nepotistic loser “journalist” sociopath Pearlstein needs to be kicked out of America asap. What a complete and total inhuman scum.
Do you think Ed S and Rachel M will talk about his anytime soon? Don’t hold your breath they would rather bitch about Mitt R’s haristyle! Hopefully Dean Aylona will have you back on her show as I think RT will be the only channel that will be willing to dicuss the Dem sellout. Bowles and gang are people whp could not make on their own…lets see them get a job w/o bribing anyone! Pigs!!
old news.
the deal has already been made.
massive cuts well beyond these will go into effect as soon as the election is over.
america is a banana republic.
the people to stupid to even act in their own best interests.
expect major civil unrest including food riots and armed mercenaries patrolling the streets in the near future.
and then it will get worse as they bring us to ww3 in a futile effort to deal with the world wide economic depression.
smart people already know this.
the rest are just starting to talk about budget cuts.
sheeshhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
It would seem that the people age 65-67 on Medicare would be the cheapest beneficiaries in terms of cost. The older you get, the more you cost in health care