Governor Romney’s decision to select Paul Ryan as his running mate has condemned the country to 90 days of ridiculous news stories and columns about a choice on the size and role of government. The debate is silly because its explicit assumption is that Paul Ryan wants a small role for government. There is no evidence to support this assertion.

Missing the point by a mile on fiscal policy (Photo: Mike Sheridan / Flickr)
The impact of the government on the economy goes far beyond the amount that it taxes and spends. The way in which structures markets has a far more important impact on the economy. For example, government granted patent monpolies for prescription drugs raise the price the country pays for its medicine by close to $270 billion a year (1.8 percent of GDP). This is every bit as much a big government intervention into the economy as if the government raised taxes by this amount. The total cost of all the monopolies that the government grants as “intellectual property” could run as high as $1 trillion year, or roughly a quarter of federal spending.
The government structures the economy in many other ways as well. The implicit “too big to fail” insurance that it gives to the largest banks is a transfer of more than $60 billion a year to their executives and shareholders by some estimates.
The selective protectionism in trade policy, which deliberately puts manufacturing workers in direct competition with low-paid workers in the developing world, while leaving highly paid professionals like doctors and lawyers largely protected, has the effect of redistributing an enormous amount of income upward. And the Federal Reserve Board’s policy of raising interest rates to increase unemployment among less-educated workers, and thereby depress their wages, as a way to keep inflation at its 2.0 percent target also has an enormous impact on the distribution of income and the economy.
It is incredibly misleading to restrict a discussion of the government’s role in the economy to its tax and spending policies. These policies are at least moderately redistributive, but they don’t come close to offsetting the impact of upwardly redistributional policies that the government imposes when it structures the market. (This is the topic of my non-copyright protected book, The End of Loser Liberalism: Making Markets Progressive.)
While Paul Ryan is a vocal opponent of the policies that the government has in place to protect low and middle income people, he has never indicated any opposition to the massive interventions, like patent monopolies for prescription drugs and the Fed’s policy of using unemployment to fight inflation, that redistribute income upward. For this reason, it is flatly wrong to describe Mr. Ryan as a supporter of small government. He is more accurately described as an opponent of government interventions that redistribute income downward and a supporter of government policies that redistribute income upward.
Needless to say, Robert Samuelson pushes this line in his column today. The headline of his piece touts the prospects of a “meaningful debate.”
Samuelson also gratuitously throws in a couple of false or misleading assertions. He tells readers:
There would be huge deficits even had there been no Great Recession.
Nope, that ain’t true, unless Samuelson has information that he hasn’t shared with the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Its projections in early 2008, before they recognized the downturn coming, showed very modest deficits for the decade ahead. This would have been the case even if the Bush tax cuts had been extended over the whole decade. (It’s Table 1-1, read it and you’ll know more about the federal budget than anyone at the Washington Post, since they apparently do not have access to CBO projections.)
Samuelson also tells readers:
It’s impossible to close long-term budget deficits simply by taxing the rich and cutting defense (liberal dogma) or eliminating “waste” and “unneeded” spending (conservative dogma). The “conversation” conducted by Obama and Romney needs to conform to economic and budget realities. If it doesn’t, Americans will discover after the election that they’ve been had.
Of course the reality is that the projected long-term budget problems are a story of a broken health care system. The United States pays more than twice as much per person for its health care as people in other wealthy countries. If its health care costs were remotely comparable to those in Canada, Germany, or any other country with comparable or better health care outcomes we would be looking at long-term surpluses not deficits. To use Samuelson’s phrase, the country will be had until the public realizes this simple fact.



7 Comments

The more I look around this country the more I am convinced that space aliens have taken over! The only other explaination is the water supply has been spiked with “dumb pills” Maybe Klatu will return w/Gort and straighten us out!
So, this increase in the amount we pay for medicine translates into profits for drug companies, right? Looks like both Obama and Ryan are happy to use the power of government to ensure private profits at the public’s expense.
Don’t forget about all the U.S. diplomats around the globe doing the bidding of U.S. companies. Wikileaks showed our diplomats in Latin America are spending an inordinate amount of time trying to open political doors and new markets for U.S. companies in legal and illegal ways. It would be interesting to obtain an estimate on how much this costs U.S. taxpayers each year.
I’d really like to see Dean discuss more of the role of government in “structuring the economy.” Patent monopolies are certainly one area but how about the expansion of financial and commodity markets to encourage speculation? We seem to have arrived at a point where “Keynesian economics” is limited to the question of countercyclical spending (aka “deficit spending”), a subject about which Keynes himself never mentions. Keynes does have a few things to say about “speculation” and the role of government in “directing investment” to offset this evil, something he obviously considers a failure from what capitalism might be doing. He describes in the very way the New York Stock Exchange (or the other securities exchanges in existence at the time)were structured. That is, for “speculation” and gambling, something Keynes had personal experience and found enjoyable and fun, but not something for staking the future of your economy on.
It strikes me that the failure of markets in the last few years has been in the way markets are structured to rather encourage and fuel speculation rather than curb it and encourage “investment.”
When I studied economics in the early 1970′s, economics was taught as “macroeconomics” and “microeconomics” which subjects reflected the impact of Keynesianism at the time. I wonder if that dd not limit the ability of Keynesians to look at aspects of economics beyond aggregate demand and consumption function issues, like the structural impacts of the government. Lord knows the monetarist followers of Friedman with the Chicago school have completely remade antitrust law and really all of political economy in their own image. They have owned the field for about the last thirty years. In fact, Ward Bowman and his Chicago school colleagues redeveloped patent law and intellectual property law for this purpose without anybody noticing. Isn’t it time for a counter-movement to take it back?
Dean, you know large deficits are a function of ‘savings desires’ including the likes of tax advantaged pension funds, corporate reserves, ira’s, etc. and private sector credit expansion, and not a function of any of the rest of that nonsense!
Thanks!
Warren Mosler
http://www.moslereconomics.com
The folks who like to wear the most flags and eagles on their clothes support politicians whose allegiance is not to America but to whoever’s signing their pay stubs.
The whole “big government” “small government” debate is a joke. So are so many other political debates.
Elected officials of both Parties are working to make themselves and the rest of the 1% even richer and more powerful than the are now.
We need to grasp that and figure out what, if anything we can do about it.
If we can do something, please tell me exactly what and how. I do better with specifics and I am willing to die trying, literally.
If we can’t do anything about that, we need to resign ourselves and spend our hopeless time doing something less ulcer producing than agonizing over the latest red meat the media or the Republicans or the Democrats threw to us to distract us.