It looks like reports of an escalation’s demise have been greatly exaggerated.
This weekend, Obama’s National Security Advisor, Jim Jones, went on CBS’ "Face the Nation" to let us know that he never told commanders in Afghanistan that they’d have to make do with what they had. And, General McChrystal gave an interview to the Wall Street Journal to raise alarms about Taliban momentum, interpreted by many as laying groundwork for a troop increase request. However, MSNBC reported on Monday night that McChrystal is pushing back hard against the WSJ’s characterization of his words, which raises questions about the WSJ’s agenda. Regardless, multiple analysts and commentators in multiple media indicate that McChrystal will likely require more troops to implement what is known of his upcoming strategy recommendations.
In other words: unless we push back, hard, another escalation could be on its way.
There are a million reasons to oppose a troop increase in Afghanistan, but if you need just one, you might as well go with "cost." Here’s a quick video using excerpts from Rethink Afghanistan Part Three: The Cost of War to drive the point home:
Here’s a chart from War Resisters League showing the rising cost of the so-called "War on Terror," which includes Afghanistan:
Much of this spending is financed through debt. As Geithner’s comments show, we do not have the luxury of indefinite deficit war spending. In fact, such spending helped create the economic crisis in the first place, as Stiglitz and Bilmes show in The Three Trillion Dollar War. As I wrote last month, "We have limits. Failure to consciously decide on those limits before we make further decisions does not mean those limits do not exist; it only means that we will be incrementally pushed toward and then past them, painfully and to our regret, before we discover them."
We cannot afford continued war spending in Afghanistan, much less an escalation.



3 Comments







More troops will not make up for bad or no policy. Afghanistan started out as a police action but has morphed into an imperial war. The old saw about Afghanistan is the place where empires go to die is only incidentally true. Afghanistan is on the periphery of a periphery. When empires go there it is about the overextension of their power. There is nothing there, and lots of it. So while the occasional police action by an imperial hegemon or its proxies may be in order, there is no reason to stay there and many reasons not to. Resources, power, and prestige that go to Afghanistan are unavailable for use in far more important and strategic regions. Afghanistan is not about the futility of empire, but the stupidity of empire.
McChrystal probably does want to ask for more troops. There is certainly a lot of behind the scenes infighting going on at the moment that we are not seeing. It is the outcome of that which will determine the size of the request. If Anthony Cordesman’s take is representative of what McChrystal wants, it looks like this fourth Afghanistan policy review is as poorly and unrealistically put together as all those which preceded it.
Chris Floyd over at Empire Burlesque has a new piece on Afgahnistan.
Superb writing and info as always.
thanks, derrick.