Senator John Kerry came back from Afghanistan calling President Hamid Karzai a “patriot” and supportive of a plan “closer to McChrystal than to Biden,” meaning he loves him some counterinsurgency, just not in the doses prescribed by Gen. McChrystal. Kerry’s Monday speech to the Council on Foreign Relations shows that in sipping the COIN Kool-Aid, he’s beginning to display the worst habits of internal contradiction prevalent among the counterinsurgency glitterati.
Kerry proceeds from a nonsensical definition of success:
I define success as the ability to empower and transfer responsibility to Afghans as rapidly as possible and achieve a sufficient level of stability to ensure that we can leave behind an Afghanistan that is not controlled by Al Qaeda or the Taliban.
Having the “ability” to do something is not success. Saying you’re going to do something “as rapidly as possible” tells you nothing about how quickly you will do it. What, you think there’s a plausible future where the president tells the American people that he screwed around a bit instead of getting Afghanistan done as “rapidly as possible?” Sloppy definitions make poor policy, and that’s what we get from the rest of the speech.
For example, take this goofy piece of self-contradiction:
Second, we simply don’t have enough troops or resources to launch a broad, nationwide counterinsurgency campaign. But importantly, nor do we need to.
We all see the appeal of a limited counterterrorism mission— and no doubt it is part of the endgame. But I don’t think we’re there yet. A narrow mission that cedes half the country to the Taliban could lead to civil war and put Pakistan at risk.
What a mess. We don’t have enough troop “for a broad, nationwide counterinsurgency,” but we can’t cede “half the country to the Taliban” without risking civil war. Following his warning about the dangers of ceding “half the country,” Kerry calls for “narrowly focused” counterinsurgency operations in less than 40 percent of the country. As ex-CIA man and current Georgetown scholar Paul Pillar noted in his recent House Armed Services Committee testimony:
Regardless of whether a renewed haven inside Afghanistan were attractive and useful to al-Qa’ida or any other terrorist group, there is the question of whether a counterinsurgency would preclude it. A haven would not require a patron with control over all of Afghanistan, which has an area of 647,000 square kilometers, but instead only a small slice of it. As described in General McChrystal’s assessment, a “properly resourced” strategy would leave substantial portions of the country—those portions not deemed essential to the survival of the Afghan government—outside the control of that government or of U.S. forces. In short, even a counterinsurgency that was successful, in the sense of accomplishing the mission of bolstering the government in Kabul and stabilizing the portions of the country where most Afghans live, still would leave ample room for a terrorist haven inside Afghanistan should a group seek to establish one.
In other words, don’t adopt the premise that you need counterinsurgency for counter-terrorism objectives unless you’re willing to go whole-hog; otherwise you’re just talking nonsense. If Kerry is right about his alarmist civil war scenario, he indicts even General McChrystal’s counterinsurgency strategy, which Kerry already told us in the speech “reaches too far, too fast.”
Kerry then opined about the importance of pairing a troop increase with development. As much as I hate to say it, Senator Kerry needs to take a page from COINmonger Anthony Cordesman, who recently said, “We need to stop talking about smart power as if we had it.” Ann Jones’ excellent piece on women’s rights in Afghanistan notes:
[M]ost American so-called development aid is delivered not by USAID, but by the military itself through a system of Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs), another faulty idea of former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld. Soldiers, unqualified as aid workers and already busy soldiering, now shmooze with village “elders” (often the wrong ones) and bring “development,” usually a costly road convenient to the PRT base, impossible for Afghans to maintain and inaccessible to women locked up at home.
[W]e have found little evidence that aid projects are “winning hearts and minds,’’ reducing conflict and violence, or having other significant counterinsurgency benefits.
In fact, our research shows just the opposite. Instead of winning hearts and minds, Afghan perceptions of aid and aid actors are overwhelmingly negative. And instead of contributing to stability, in many cases aid is contributing to conflict and instability. For example, we heard many reports of the Taliban being paid by donor-funded contractors to provide security (or not to create insecurity), especially for their road-building projects. In an ethnically and tribally divided society like Afghanistan, aid can also easily generate jealousy and ill will by inadvertently helping to consolidate the power of some tribes or factions at the expense of others – often pushing rival groups into the arms of the Taliban.
In other words, military-controlled aid is a liability, not an asset, and if our dessicated diplomatic and aid services are supposed to save the day in Afghanistan, we are out of luck as long as we dump all of our funding on Defense and none on State and USAID. War generally involves spending, not accumulating, cultivated capabilities. We’re not going to be able to revive our “smart power” while our military is grinding gears in Afghanistan.
Kerry then went on to state the necessity of taking on corruption “at the highest levels” of the Afghan government immediately after he praised Karzai and Abdullah, the two greatest beneficiaries of election fraud in the initial August presidential elections, for their support for the runoff process. Excuse me, Senator, but since when did we not consider massive, million-vote election fraud “corruption at the highest levels?” And, the Karzai-picked head of the farcically named Independent Election Commission flat out said that Karzai is going to win the runoff election. That’s exactly the kind of thing I love to hear from my nonpartisan election officials in the weeks before the election, man. Legitimacy, here we come.
And here’s another knee-slapper:
Afghan women’s groups have fought hard to have a seat at the table, and we should support these indigenous efforts because one of the easiest ways to empower Afghans is to empower Afghan women.
I am whole-heartedly supportive of efforts to empower Afghan women, but this is throwaway, pandering, garbage language unworthy of the seriousness of the issue. “One of the easiest ways,” Senator? Is there some switch you know of that we can flip that changes pervasive cultural attitudes? You do realize that Karzai keeps his wife sequestered in the home, right? According to U.N. agencies, eighty-seven percent of Afghan women are beaten on a regular basis and rape is “an everyday occurrence in all parts of the country.” The government which the U.S. supports with our money, blood and violence has been termed by women’s advocates in Afghanistan as the Rule of the Rapists. But by all means, Senator, press that Easy Button and show us how omnipotent all that superpower super-powerful guns and butter can be.
If you’re looking for the man who once asked, “how do you ask a man to be the last man to die for a mistake?” you better keep looking. The senator seems to have left him behind. You should probably check in with Matthew Hoh or any of the Vets for Rethinking Afghanistan instead.
Note: Derrick Crowe is the Afghanistan blog fellow for Brave New Foundation / The Seminal. Learn how the war in Afghanistan undermines U.S. security: watch Rethink Afghanistan (Part Six), & visit http://rethinkafghanistan.com/blog.



35 Comments

I remember Kerry wanting pick a fight with Hugo Chavez’ government during the 2004 campaign to show off his bluster chops; that he’s as hawkish as the worst of that lot. It was disgraceful.
It is indeed ironic he so willingly pimps for Pentagon warmongers in a situation not unlike the situation he very rightfully pilloried before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in April, 1971.
This guy is a US Senator, not a diplomat. These guy’s are hired to represent the the people. We have thousands of problems in this Country that they aren’t addressing. Yet He and many others use our money and our time to go over there and stick His nose in like they were going to make a difference. They call them fact finding missions, but the ignorant bastards wouldn’t know the facts if they bit them in the ass.
When He called Karzai a patriot, that blew any respect I ever had for him.
Karzai has from day one has been nothing but a pompose assed crook. Flying all over the world on our dime playing like He was a great world leader in His green robes and funny Hat. While his family and buds ripped every dollar they could from us and our aid to his country.
We forget that guy’s like Kerry voted for these wars, funded them, and are in the nip pocket of those who keep it going. Don’t let the BIG D. infront of his name or past war protests, make him out to be the peoples defender on these wars.
He wasn’t there to see what was needed to end it, but what was needed to keep it going.
Why would we be building any nation other than America in 2009?
Most folks in Afghanistan realize that Karzai is corrupt.. But one thing you have to say is that Kerry was able to convince Karzai of more than anyone could get out of the Bush administration team in 2000.
Karzai agreed to a “run off”
The Bush team would not agree to a “recount”
So the U.s. Supreme Court selected Bush and Cheney. We could not even get a “recount”
Also related: Kerry’s now defending Karzai’s ultra-corrupt family against charges of corruption: http://news.rediff.com/report/2009/oct/27/kerry-denies-allegations-against-karzais-brother.htm
Why is when Kerry gives a speech, I keep thinking I am reading a precocious Freshman’s composition? He writes like his every word were to be parsed for all time to come.
Recounts are for sissies, unlike the draft dodgers who single-handedly ran the country into the ground.
LOL. exactly what I was thinking.
Politicians, esp Kerry, are loathed to define success. You’ll never get a measurable, quantifiable, date stamped MBO type statement from him.
When Kerry talks, I yawn. Sorry to Kerry fans.
Kerry is an opportunist, a liar (IMO), and a jerk.
Troops
Home
Now
Having the “ability” to do something is not success. Saying you’re going to do something “as rapidly as possible” tells you nothing about how quickly you will do it
Oh please – he’s a United States Senator, fer chrissakes.
(I’m going for the Guinness Book of Records for saying this the most times in one day)
You really expect him to know anything, other than how to properly entertain/be entertained by lobbyists and other assorted brown-noses? I mean – he’s got staff to take care of (*spit*) constituents and other related un-pleasantries.
Leave John Kerry Alone !! (*sniff*)(‘scuse me – I gotta go make a YouTube)
Proposed new motto:
“The United States Senate – What a Bunch of Rubes”/
But I thought Laura Bush said we were freeing Afghan Women? Maybe the Media can ask Her what happened?/s
I just can’t imagine Laura lying about Women getting raped I just can’t imagine that with her Husband George so firmly in control of the Presidency that any Pentagon official or Vice President would Dare Lie to her about something as important as this!/s
Just what facts were the VP and Rummy telling George and Laura about the war?
Agreed the right word Kerry needs is Puppet selected by Bush and like all Bush appointees Yes Man is his best feature.
So in Afghanistan they have a Funny vote but we are supporting Karzai anyway? I guess we have brought Democracy to Afghanistan Bush Style Democracy that is:(
Why who bought him military contractors or is he hoping to run for President as the Man who could have won the Afghan war? Why is he going against the majority who want out?
Also does he ever say how we are going to pay for this war? No plan to pay for the war then he’s not a Serious Player with a plan. Funny Healthcare must be paid for more war no talk of how we are going to pay for it!
Tax the rich and the war ends now! I gave at the gas pump!
This reminds me of Roman Senators who used to go on “fact finding” missions in their provinces; they usually came away with a big bag of gold.
Wonder what Kerry got from the oh so charming Karzai?
The phrase from 2004 springs to mind, one of the only Swift boat ads I couldn’t not laugh with “Whichever way the wind blows”. I used to LMAO when I saw that one. Seems pretty appropo now, doesn’t it?
For all those wondering why we are “nation building” in Afghanistan (remember Iraq), and not here at home…remember, we are now the military arm of the New World Order. McChrystal’s little visit to NATO proves it to my satisfaction.
(if not the crappy “healthcare “reform”", which we may not even get now that Harry’s meeting some “roadblocks ie Liebermannnnnn, Lincoln and Landrieu, that gruesome threesome)
………onward!
I heard kerry is starting a pro counterinusrgency think tank, chaired by him and supported by donations from the I lobby. It will study ways to half win a war, and almost stabalize Afghanistan. Its going to be called the Tactical World Alliance for Terrorism Studies. TWATS. Im sure President Obama will get an honorary directing chairmanship.
What Holy Joe will be so pissed he was not named their leader!
Oh im sure he’ll be deeply involved in some way. how could he not be?
8 years of war and now Kerry makes headlines about more troops where was he when the troops we had in Afghanistan all went to invade Iraq?
Hey Kerry I know how we can pay for the war all those tax free trusts rich people have to avoid taxes lets take half of all that money and pay for the war!
Heck lets take half the money of everyone worth a million dollars and use that money to pay for the war!
Think my idea is silly? Fine then you tell me how you plan to pay for the war?
And don’t even think of getting me and the middle class or the poor to pay for it!
Great post. Here’s my favorite line.
The Media Talking Heads all got on us for not being Serious about healthcare it costs to much!
Fine I hope they look at Afghan war spending the exact same way/s
Is that like Smart Bombs:)
gotta go
All politics is local. “Foreign” policy is about empowering elites at home, not about helping little brown people or even their elites abroad. It less to do with “the locals” and more to do with helping our elites get what they want from their elites. To a degree, that’s constructive self-interest. Narrowly defined, as it too often is, it means we alienate most foreigners and make their lives and our jobs tougher, whether in Afghanistan, Honduras, China or Iraq.
Mr. Kerry has come a long way since his testimony to Congress about the evils of continuing to wage war in Vietnam, testimony that put him high on Nixon’s enemies list because he was sincere and persuasive. He’s lost both qualities. These excerpts make him sound as if he’s as content as Joe Lieberman, if not as happy, for more war abroad so we can keep our generals and their contractors happy at home.
Perhaps Mr. Kerry should do without some of Heinz’s 51 flavors for a while. He should get out of his mansions in Massachusetts and Georgetown, outside his protective bubble, and travel with Sullivan for a few weeks. He might remember his former self and why he came to Congress in the first place. He is independently wealthy and can afford to rock the boat in order to pursue it. He won’t be taken any less seriously for doing it than not.
I’m listening to Dallek’s Nixon & Kissinger. We know exactly how they thought about VN because of the tapes. What they thought had no connection to reality, not only from today’s perspective, but knowable back then. B&B was published in 1969.
The kind of garbage one hears from PTB about Afghanistan sound just like the disconnected was they talked about VN.
Knowing nothing about insurgency seems to be a prerequisite to being a PTB.
Senator Kerry should be reminded that America is not omnipotent. He has seen this, all before… I have seen this, all before… Different names and different places, with the same deadly results for Americans. Dumb.
I, a not regular commenter hereabouts, got reminded by another commenter this morning (on the Hoh thread) that “At least Kerry wants to scale back.” I don’t seem to see that commenter on this thread, which seems to be more of the boo, hiss Kerry sort. Just to reiterate my view: Kerry, and the rest of the bumblemouth diplomatize stand-for-nothing crowd got us where we are today, and ought to have the decency to fade quietly into the background or (is this retro or what) grow a brain and a spine.
I agree, but let’s see that runoff election happen & see whether it appears to be any more honest than the last election. It’s not done until it’s done… Karzai is many things but he is not stupid.
clutching at f**cking straws.
john kerry is a skull & boner. a beneficiary of the opium[heroin] cartel[aka the russell trust].
i have always considered his run against his fellow “boner” a sham competition. “boner” versus “boner”.
a sham competition intended to prolong this latest installment of the usg’s opium war. though seldom recalled, one of the major projects of the taliban was to eliminate opium production in afghanistan. and by 2001,their islamic fundamentalism had eradicated opium production. this was a major “hit” to the us intell services “black” funding. as well as to the russell trust[aka skull & bones and its members].
karzai,appointed by the russell trust,was responsible for the reinvigoration of the afghanistan opium production. kerry was in afghanistan as the legate of his lodge, counseling karzai as to what he must do to keep the poppies growing.
afghanistan is an opium war.
and lastly, kerry is a member of one of the wealthiest, most secretive families in the world. the forbes family[not malcolm's]. a family whose fortunes were created by the slave trade and the opium trade, i think.
The Taliban didn’t eliminate the opium trade. They held back planting for a short time when they had a surplus of $3,000,000,000 worth of paste.
So hey remember up above when I said Kerry defended Karzai’s criminal brother? Well look out, because tomorrow’s NYT will lead with a story by Dexter Filkins–Karzai’s brother is on the $%%$#$ CIA payroll. Son of a….
Starting to get the idea that the administration is serious about having a legit government in Afghanistan, Derrick?
Starting to see what calling Karzai a “patriot” might mean?
show me your proofs mac.
i think that the record would show that the taliban went for the sequestration of opium production.
and that this program was not enjoyed by the “boners”.
and by the way, this does not mean that the taliban were successful in that effort. the cia’s allies were encouraged to defy that prohibition.
but, if you can believe it, i think that the who figures reveals the opium production was throttled back by the taliban until 2001. and that the revival in production was promulgated by the invasion of us forces – mandated by the russell truster, george walker bush.
this is a story similar to indochina in the 1960′s. in my view the definitive history is al mccoy’s, THE POLITICS OF HEROIN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA.
Start with this.
http://www.mail-archive.com/ctrl@listserv.aol.com/msg79430.html