What does it mean that the U.S. no longer has a permanent tax code? That every major tax Americans pay, including income tax and the payroll tax covering Social Security, is now a temporary measure subject to — effectively — mandatory revision by Congress in the next one to two years? With passage of the Obama-McConnell “stimulus” package, American government is entering a fun-house period like no other in its history.
The tax cut/stimulus bill passed, of course. Indeed, the skids were really greased on this baby (to use then-Treasury Department official Bob Rubin’s choice phrase) like nothing since the 1983 Amendments to the Social Security Act. Here’s how the Wall Street Journal describes the situation we’re about to be living under:
Welcome to the world of the temporary tax code.
In the late 1990s, there were typically fewer than a dozen tax provisions that had just a limited lease on life and needed to be renewed every year or so.
Today there are 141.
Now Congress, taking up a deal worked out between the Obama administration and Republican leaders, is poised to turn the whole personal income-tax system into something of a temporary structure. The plan embraces a broad range of provisions—an extension of Bush-era rates, a new estate-tax formula—but for only two years. A payroll-tax cut in the bill is for a single year.
This means that if the compromise passes largely intact, the U.S. will have no permanent regime governing levies on salaries, capital gains and dividends, the Social Security tax, as well as a slew of targeted breaks for families, students and other groups. This on top of dozens of corporate-tax provisions that already were subject to annual renewal.
Word on the street in Washington is that the Obama-McConnell deal, which includes a one-year, partial payroll tax holiday – the first such interference with the revenue stream for Social Security in the program’s history – is just the first of a series of deals between the White House and the Republican leadership. The next step will be a deal to be concluded as part of negotiations to raise the debt ceiling – a necessary act of Congress if the federal government is to keep funding its activities past this coming spring.
As described by Robert Kuttner in Politico.com, the deal will be for the president to propose adopting much of the agenda the co-chairs of his deficit commission paid out, including cutting Social Security. doubtless, this will raise a torrent of opposition. Roger Hickey of Campaign for America’s Future is calling for working Americans to flood the White House with faxes, emails, and phone calls demanding that he stop this exercise in self-immolation and refuse to be blackmailed over the debt ceiling increase.
The problem is the situation set up by the Obama-McConnell deal. To put this in perspective a bit, payroll taxes have always been a thing removed from the rest of the tax code. Changes in payroll tax rates have never been negotiated in tandem with any other federal tax, because they’re dedicated to one purpose only: funding Social Security.
Today, we’re being told that payroll taxes should be reduced. This despite the fact that the program is expected to face a shortfall at some point in the future, and for a reason that has nothing to do with Social Security itself: economic stimulus. Of course, getting the economy moving again is a worthy goal, and Obama is replacing the lost funds out of general revenues. But the point is that this is a breach of faith with the millions of people who pay payroll tax with the understanding that it will be used to insure them against poverty in old age, as survivors, or in account of a disability.
Thanks to this exercise in bipartisanship, there will no longer be anything sacrosanct or special about payroll taxes. They will be merely one more set of chips in the now endless poker game over how to manipulate the U.S. tax system. This year, and next year, and every year after that. The Republican leadership has made clear that the only way to end this state of flux is to permanently extend the Bush tax cuts, abolish the estate tax, and begin phasing out Social Security and Medicare.
That’s not going to happen right away. But the way is being prepared. Because the inevitable result of putting payroll taxes in play is that Social Security itself will stop being regarded as singular either. It will be just another government program, not a social insurance system built on collective trust and participation.
Perhaps this shouldn’t be surprising coming from Obama. Historically, he can be seen as the third of America’s post-New Deal American Democratic presidents. The first was Jimmy Carter, who once surprised one of the program’s godfathers, Wilbur Cohen, by saying, “But Social Security is not sacrosanct.”
Carter had to scuttle an attempt to cut the program that his HHS secretary cooked up; Bill Clinton came close to making a deal with Newt Gingrich. Both had to be persuaded not to go down that path by a vigorous grassroots campaign against such a move. An even stronger effort is going to be necessary this time, because the payroll tax has already been compromised, and because the discussion is no longer a relatively simple one about Social Security. It’s about the entire U.S. tax code.
In this fun-house discourse, the inevitable question is, If we can reform the tax system be reducing income tax rates and eliminating tax loopholes, why can’t we “reform” payroll taxes as well? The slippery slope leads from there.



65 Comments

Word on the street in Washington is that the Obama-McConnell deal, which includes a one-year, partial payroll tax holiday – the first such interference with the revenue stream for Social Security in the program’s history – is just the first of a series of deals between the White House and the Republican leadership. The next step will be a deal to be concluded as part of negotiations to raise the debt ceiling – a necessary act of Congress if the federal government is to keep funding its activities past this coming spring. [cont'd.]
obama has made it clear he wants ss “fixed” even though there is nothing wrong with it
he clearly wanted to deconstruct this program, now he proves it and accomplishes what no republican president could have dreamed
welcome to tail wagging the dog
Thank you for posting. I am so angry I have no viable words to add. America is shameful.
I join you in your anger. I don’t see that “America” is shameful though. For me, it’s those without empathy for regular peoples’ concerns.
I think he/she means when he/she says “America,” those who claim to speak for the people of America. In other words the America oligarchy which actually runs things. Peace
America is no longer a republic. What now?
138,000. We are told that the Afghan army has 138,000 (up from 6000 in 2001) members today. The gross domestic product of Afghanistan was $27 billion dollars in 2009. It cost the United States $100 billion dollars each year to maintain the 100,000 troops we have in Afghanistan. Even if the cost to maintain the Afghan army is 1/2 of what it costs the US to maintain its force, it would still cost Afghanistan $70 billion dollars a year. That’s almost 3 times its gross domestic product. So who’s really paying for the Afghan army? And who’s going to keep paying for it on past 2014? Anyone supporting the war in Afghanistan is deganged as Alice said of those living in Wonderland? Peace
Any idea how much money the SS fund stands to lose by imposition of this “PR Tax Holiday?”
Welcome to the US of Kleptocracy.
… as Obama and his fellow Republicans “starve the beast,” via the capitulation of congressional Democrats.
Roughly $120 billion, which is to be compensated by general funds, i.e., money borrowed from the Chinese, who increased the interest they demand by 33% during the past month because of this tax bill.
Gotta love the sleazy deals between Obama & the GOPers (with subsequent yea votes by CONgressional Dems). Maybe this time voters will finally wake up to the kabuki bullshit that has been our phony “2 party” system for decades.
Wigwam – I’m so angry that it took me 3 times to enter my username – I used yours, instead!
Roger Hickey is calling for us to flood the WH with everything that we have been flooding them with on every major issue since the Public Option. I have called, faxed and emailed as much as anyone but I think I am done with it!
I’m not snarking at you, please understand. I just have to vent. The WH doesn’t give a tinker’s damn how many communications we send. The Senate and House don’t even pretend any longer. Their message to us is loud and clear, “We don’t give a F&$% what you think or want. Keep pissing in the wind, losers”.
They are so up the ass of their corporate and military masters that we don’t rise to the level of irritation of gnats.
What is it going to take, Wigwam? WTF is it going to take? Is democracy really finished in this country. I am not so sure any longer.
It’s typical of the increasingly Orwellian country we live in that this porker was sold on the basis of taking the uncertainty out of the tax code. Fasten your seatbelts; we’re in for a rough ride.
David Dayen has a fresh cross-post up: GOP Gets Chance to Cut Spending in February After Omnibus Collapses
“Now Congress, taking up a deal worked out between the Obama administration and Republican leaders, is poised to turn the whole”
Shouldn’t that read “taking up another handout to the rich as a result of yet another conspiracy between Obama and the Republicans to destroy the middle class and punish those below?”
Bluewombat- I want to get off!!
Yes — “Stop the World…”
The Trojan condom is turing out to be the best Republiscum President ever.
When I see these concerns about what the Gov. is doing to the middle class it makes me wonder what it must have been like for the indigenous people many years ago.
The SS fund is already paying out more than it’s taking in because of the number of unemployed people in this country. Stealing $120 billion from the fund only makes the situation worse. Which allows those who have hated the system for 70 years to attempt to destroy it. 1920′s anyone? Peace
What this means is the neither businesses nor wealthy individuals can do tax planning. So the entire tax planning industry (including estate planning) has been reduced to palmistry.
It also means the decline of contributions to non-profit institutions from homeless shelters through high-profile art museums and symphonies.
The MOTU are not only craven; they are stupid and infantile beyond belief. It will eventually bite even them. The only question is how long that “eventually” will be. In the meantime the informal economy will be what will be supporting the majority of Americans. And that will bring new MOTU, like we haven’t seen for 90 years.
A plutocratic, slaveowning republic is still a republic. That’s why they call themselves Republicans.
The payroll tax cap should be raised, not cut or lowered.
Boy are we citizens being screwed on this one. Obama’s goal is to gut Soc Sec & Medicare.
Excellent diary and excellent question.
You mean all those Indians that they slaughtered to make room for the “white man?” How many of us will the oligarchy take out to give themselves some breathing room? Didn’t some crazy man in the 30′s and 40′s show us all the direction that the future would take? Peace
Agree. For anyone with any amount of savings, it’s really hard to know what to do, how to plan, etc. Believe me, I’m not *complaining,* as I know far too many are starving or on the brink.
But, that said, yes, it’s an insane “world” that the Oligarchs have created. Not sure if it’ll ever come back to bite them in the butt though. I think they are all criminals with a conscience, and they’ll do whatever it takes to make things work for themselves.
These are not “regular” folks; they have no ethics, no morals, no values, and quite simply, they really truly don’t give a sh*t about anyone or anything… THAT is what citizens really need to grasp and quickly.
I am sure employers will factor in this payroll tax “holiday” when calculating their employees’ salary increases for next year. An altogether horrific idea.
That’s the goal of the oligarchy. Obama is simply their paid agent. Peace
Well done my friend. This “compromise” is loaded with hidden traps for the average wage earner. Peace
White Europeans engaged in genocide of the Native Americans quite proudly & happily… based mainly on the “notion” that they weren’t really human, didn’t believe in god, so EFF ‘em. Just ask any Native American (as I have).
Certainly that is a good analogy. Take good notes. The Oligarchs do NOT give a sh*t about you, me or anyone else. Period.
Yes. Exactly. This sucks; not a “boon” to anyone by the wealthy.
This is just the beginning of what we can expect from this guy the next 2 hrs. He’s already made it clear he’s going to pretty much do whatever the GOP wants.
I can’t get over what a venal, duplicitous, corrupt, and morally bankrupt bunch of Mother-Fuckers they all are. I mean, before the advent of the internet you knew it on a subliminal level and you saw it when an occasional instance became so outrageous that the MSM could no longer ignore or paper over it. But now it’s on display 24/7 in all its pig-wallowing, shit-smelling, money-grubbing, deal-making, back-stabbing, sell-out ignoble glory. The kicker is that they aren’t even embarrassed about it and don’t even pretend to be ashamed about anymore. And if you aren’t financially independent, there’s no place to hide or live that you won’t be affected by them. Must be how the serfs under the Czars felt.
I dare say that most of those in the streets of Chicago in 1968 or in the streets in Birmingham, Alabam in 1963-64 knew how corrupt the system was. Unfortunately, most of “moderate” America was told by the oligarchy that all of those people were communists trying to destroy America. And the moderates believed them as they do today. Peace
Thanks for the post, Eric
Hello to everyone. I am new here, but I have been reading this blog for about 2 years now. I am just an ordinary citizen who is concerned and wants to do something to help the progressive cause. I was hesitant to sign up for comments because most of the comments I have read here are made by people who really are more knowledgeable than myself. I admire the depth of thinking here. I have written and called my elected officials concerning the Tax package and the first step in underfunding Social Security but to no avail. I am at a loss. I live in St. Louis and the people of Missouri have been voting against their own interest ever since I have lived here. I am 56 years old and on disability so I am deeply concerned. I would like to pose this question, can Obama win re-election without the support of the liberal base? I myself am unsure. The one thing I do know is that I will not be voting Democrat or Republican. Some sincere insight would be appreciated. Thank you for taking the time to listen.
IMHO, Ralph Nader and/or Bernie Sanders, with support from George Soros, have to threaten to Nader this president if he signs this bill.
…and it will bite them again like it did in 2008 (before TARP) and this time it will bite harder.
The Great Depression started in agriculture in the early 1920s; it took 9 years to crash the paper economy and the new urban middle class; it took another 3 years to begin to get emergency policies in place to turn it around.
We are definitely in the Herbert Hoover phase.
Welcome aboard. Obama will win if nobody votes for him. He is the oligarchy’s man and they control the voting machines. This whole thing is a magic show run by the insane. By expressing yourself in words you have displayed a keen insight and intelligence. The Left needs people like you. The Right is filled with sheep who do what they’re told. So again, welcome my friend and keep on expressing yourself. Peace
Thank you for your kind words. I hope I am found to be worthy to be apart of your group.
I’m 62 and remember well all the crap that went on back then. Selma, Birmingham, Bull Connor, the stuff you mentioned, Kent State, etc.
Like I say, now it’s all in-yer-face all the time. The scales have fallen from many more eyes these days. Sad thing is, there is so little outrage anymore. The sheep continue to accept the shearing and even the butcher’s knife.
And that’s why the new favorite activities — soon to get teevee programs — will be gold plated McMansions, exotic vacations, driving 6-ton SUVs, getting free passes to drive DIU while killing pedestrians and other motorists, and fucking the slaves….
Oh, they already do all of that.
$15-billion a year = total budget to train and implement Afghan army
– minus
$12-billion a year = contractor money to U.S. Republican traitor-companies
——————————— leaves ————
$3-billion a year that goes out to bribe Karzai & Co. and pay troops
That’s accurate to 9 decimal places.
How’s about support from The Wizard of Omaha ?
And every other CEO in the country ?
This is the worst thing to happen to American capitalism since the Big bubbles 1994-2000 and 2003-2008.
Obama looks to have gone into doing this because every single Establishment figure on both sides of the aisle told him is was the bast deal available.
Meanwhile, both Sanders and Dean objected… plus every single Wall Street guy and banker.
This deal is a horrendous, incompetent disaster.
BTW: a child of Larry Summers ???
How’s chances of that being true, not media rumor mill pap ?
Bowles-Simpson came through with 100% sensible proposals.
They got hit with facefulls of shit pie.
Now this goes through on a rail !!
The ultimate deal is vastly worse than the cuts that you’d have seen with the OPTION # 2 scenario in the Bowles-Simpson proposal.
BTW: Bowles-Simpson OPTION # 2 also chops off all the major tax loop holes that favor the wealthy. It is heavily progressive in its tax burdens and benefits.
That was your last chance to rein in the plutocracy.
As letsgetitdone keeps reminding us, the US has a fiat currency and the entire deficit debate has been bogus anytime since 1971. We need to say that over and over and over again.
I ran the numbers on Bowles-Simpson OPTION # 2.
There are no cuts to Social Security apart from adding one more year to the rise in retirement age (for non-manual labor people) in the 2075 time frame.
In fact, the bottom level payment in SS is raised to %125 of poverty. That would be the best single thing to happen for the rural black poor in the South since 1865.
1. Read the Bowles-Simpson prop
2. Compare Bowles-Simpson with anything at all likely to come out of this KKK-wannabee pack of GOPer bastards in the House.
Shut down the government ????? We’ll be lucky if they don’t start doing lynchings.
I walked from Alachua, Florida, down to Gainesville in one of the King SCLC Freedom Marches.
What’s really happened over 30 years froom 1980 to today is that high school degree and drop-outs, particularly the drop-outs, have been taken down to the level of lower-skilled Blacks.
Meanwhile for college grads the unemployment rate is holding at 5%.
Meant to say, “whites with high school degrees…..” etc.
Just because the tender is “fiat” and hence can be printed, you should not think that running up the M1, M3 quantities of money in circulation would not damage the economy.
A deficit also has to be financed by borrowing as a matter of law.
You would have to change Federal law to avoid having to borrow money to cover a deficit.
The “fiat money” argument sounds reasonable on the surface. But it is both impractical and illegal to implement.
I don’t believe even Bush could have made such a deal for the republicans…give me Alan Grayson for president.
And the polls say Democrats still support Obama – especially those Democrats who are also blacks. No wonder that in the last election seniors stop voting in the majority for Democrats – better the enemy you know that the friend that stabs you in the back.
SS fund is already paying out more than it’s taking in” – Well, No, not really
but your point is valid – the recession has reduced income – and a few months had more outgo than income – a point loudly mentioned by the right and those on the deficit commission and by our mainstream media.
We may be left with “A Social Security retirement benefit is not welfare because retirees have earned their benefits, not by paying taxes but rather by working, contributing to the production of the goods and services needed by past and present generations of retirees. Those retiring today and tomorrow should be proud of the contributions they made to the accumulated annual produce of American workers.”
again – no- not really
Option 2 – the look alike to Wyden-Gregg – moves taxation from the rich to the middle-class. And while Wyden-Gregg taxes corporate income overseas immediately, option 2 never taxes such income. Option two is the more “progressive” option – but I am not into chosing the “not as bad as the other change” if I can chose “no change”.
We may be left with “A Social Security retirement benefit is not welfare because retirees have earned their benefits, not by paying taxes but rather by working, contributing to the production of the goods and services needed by past and present generations of retirees. Those retiring today and tomorrow should be proud of the contributions they made to the accumulated annual produce of American workers.”
or we accept individual accounts – -
the lower tax rate forces the above choice
Unbelievable.
Thank you for keeping us updated. I also just read the politico article you cite. How sad.
It is also sad that I’ll bet the WH is putting a lot of effort into how to frame this so as to persuade the American people (especially Democrats) to accept the cuts and say thank you for them. All this effort could have been put in another direction– the direction we expected when we elected President Obama.
What’s Robin Leach up to now? Seems like his kind of shows.
Black male life expectancy if they make it to 65 is 2 years less than White. As of 2003, Table A2. At age 50 it was 4 years less.
aging.senate.gov/crs/aging1.pdf
Tuff, you are living in the past.
The high water mark of any American was in the early 70′s discounting technology. Automation has eliminated manufacturing jobs, and the demand for skilled professionals has fallen sharply.
Just ask any degreed or advanced degreed professional currently out of work, or in a dead end job suffering indignities just to keep paying the mortgage. With peak oil, economic predators run amuk, and economy based on exponentially increasing debt, we have exponentially increasing debtors and debt burdens. Will go downhill from here as measured in dollars and cents. Better give mammon back to the devil and get a life.
You are too humble but it is refreshing. I’m new too, first time to read this. You’re spot on when you are concerned about the reduction in Social Security funding [the cut from 6+% to 4+%]. This is the start of “starving the beast” to kill it. This is a bigger threat than raising the retirement age another year in my opinion. This will destroy it by a thousand little cuts instead of long knives.
“How’s about support from The Wizard of Omaha ?”
Good idea. He’s a very bright fellow. But, I’ve never seen him take a strong stand politically. Rational, yes. But, strong, no.
There may not be cuts in the current Social Security benefits being paid now but of much more concern is the underfunding of it by the cut in payroll taxes from 6+% to 4+% for a year. Temporarily they say but when they try to reinstate it, IF they do, it will be called a “tax hike” like the 2001 Bush tax cuts were/are, and will be hard to do. Everybody wants to cut taxes and nobody wants to increase them. This is the start of destroying Social Security I’m afraid with a thousand little cuts instead of using the long knives.
“Temporarily” cutting the payroll tax for Social Security is the first step in destroying it. This is how they will “starve the beast” by cutting the funding for it. They know that once a tax(es) is cut, it is almost impossible to reinstate it. It’s portrayed as a tax “hike.” [Witness what has just been done with the "temporary" 10 year Bush tax cuts.]
Then the lie that’s been said repeatedly that it is broke [Bush said this] will become the truth. The several trillion dollars that’s been built up in it’s trust fund since 1985 to finance the baby boomers retirement will be squandered because what should be being paid into it will not be. Not fair to our kids and grandkids who will be paying into it and may not be able to collect what they should. Scummy and shameful.
The FED can buy Treasuries from the government. The FED gives it’s profits back to the US Treasury anyway so Treasury bonds held by the FED basically cost the government absolutely nothing.
No laws need to be changed.
Federal taxation doesn’t really fund anything. The purpose of federal taxes is to regulate the value of the currency.
And anyway, the biggest problem right now is massive debt leveraging in the private sector… not the government debt or deficit.
The thing is, we need more government spending. All these deficit plans are focused on reducing government spending.
Massive debt deleveraging in the private sector is gonna crush the average Joe if government isn’t actively keeping unemployment low.