
Map of the east coast of Japan showing the distance between Tokyo and Fukushima Daiichi, 150 miles to the north.
A new independent report on the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear disaster reveals that Japan’s Prime Minister Naoto Kan feared events following the March 11, 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami would require the evacuation of Tokyo. The report, conducted by the Rebuild Japan Foundation, a new policy organization comprised of college professors, journalists and lawyers, sheds new light on just how in-the-dark many were in the wake of natural disasters that left the Fukushima nuclear facility with damaged safety systems and without internal or external power.
The investigation underscores the conflicting interests of the Japanese government, the directors of Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO–Fukushima’s owner and operator), and those on the scene at the crippled nuclear plant. Masataka Shimizu, president of TEPCO, is said to have ordered all of Fukushima Daiichi’s employees to evacuate the facility in the days after March 11, but Daiichi’s plant manager, Massao Yoshida, argued that he could get the damaged reactors under control if he and nuclear workers remained. PM Kan eventually ordered a skeleton crew to stay at the plant, fearing that Fukushima Daiichi, the nearby Fukushima Daini and a third nuclear facility could spiral out of control and start what has been translated as a “devil’s chain reaction” or a “demonic chain reaction” that would necessitate evacuation of the nation’s capital, a city of 13 million people, 150 miles south of Fukushima prefecture.
Given this new window on internal deliberations (far too nice a word–these were likely frantic, heated arguments) in Japan, the decision made by US Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chairman Gregory Jaczko within days of the quake to recommend evacuating American citizens from an area 50 miles around Fukushima seems downright conservative. In recent days, nuclear power proponents have used this action as their latest volley in their ongoing push to oust Jaczko and replace him with a more servile chief regulator.
Interesting, too, the objections of TEPCO’s president to the plan to pour seawater on the melting Fukushima reactors and boiling spent fuel storage pools. This last-gasp measure, apparently the idea of Yoshida, the Daiichi manager, is believed to have somewhat cooled the reactors and at least kept the fuel pools from completely emptying–which would have resulted in a much more serious outcome (hard to believe, but true)–though it should be noted that the radioactive runoff is now contaminating the ground, groundwater, rivers and the ocean around Fukushima. TEPCO brass no doubt did not want to use seawater because its corrosive effects would make it impossible to ever restart any of the Daiichi reactors (again, ridiculous in hindsight, but not hard to imagine inside the profit-above-people distortion bubble that exists at companies like TEPCO). (UPDATE: Japan Times reports Kan was reticent to use anything but fresh water, but Yoshida ignored him and went ahead with the use of seawater.)
Other recent revelations–about how close Fukushima Daini came to a meltdown of its own, about how the Fukushima region is now more seismically unstable, and that the government had dire assessments of the disaster that it worked hard to keep secret–serve to buttress Naoto Kan’s fears that a string of nuclear disasters was a distinct possibility. And it should also serve as a warning that those fears are still a possibility if the region’s nuclear plants–whether or not they are still functioning–are not decommissioned and contained.
And all this information, and the new details on the lack of trust between the Japanese government and TEPCO, also paints a more nuanced–and, honestly, disturbing–picture of the environment in which US officials had to make decisions.
But, perhaps most importantly, this latest report is yet another data point against the absurd assertion that Fukushima Daiichi somehow proves nuclear power’s “defense in depth” safety systems work. The assertion that Fukushima isn’t a massive disaster, just as it stands today, is ridiculous, but reading about the lack of good information in the early days of the crisis, the internal fights and the government’s fears makes it clear that things could have easily been much, much worse. While there are still real concerns about just how much radiation residents throughout Japan will be expected to absorb, and there are still many technical questions that remain unanswered, it now appears that it was only a combination of an occasionally assertive PM, the heroism of about fifty Daiichi workers and maybe some dumb luck that gave the world the relative luxury of calling Fukushima an ever-metastasizing disaster, rather than an almost-instant hell on earth.



15 Comments

Alexander Higgins posted an interesting story yesterday on the fruits of a FOIA request from Friends of the Earth (FOE), the Physicians for Social Responsibility (PSR), and the Nuclear Information and Resource Center (NIRS). Apparently PSR were keyed into wanting to know more when the US NRC chief and the NRC itself were showing signs of a rift immediately post-Fukushima.
What the documents appear to show is direct WH involvement (apparently Obama was in on some meetings) in how information about spreading radiation and what that might mean was handled:
Link:
http://blog.alexanderhiggins.com/2012/02/27/blockbuster-documents-reveal-fukushima-coverup-deception-86561/
I have doubts about our ability to handle something like this any better than the Japanese did. I read yesterday that seawater 400 miles of the coast of Japan is contaminated. What are the people going to do – starve or eat contaminated seafood? We need to have a much closer watch on our own plants, not build any more of them, and phase out the old ones for sure. Thanks, Gregg, for keeping your eyes on this.
It was a very close call. If they’d evacuated the plant, they’d have lost Tokyo. Of course, you can make the case that Tokyo is still in trouble. Assuming you could get the radiation data, which the government won’t release.
The question is: Where are we now?
Well, we’ve got melt outside of primary containment in 4 reactors. In at least one case, the melt has reached the underfloor and burned into the concrete. It MIGHT have burned through into the ground, can’t be sure because once again no data is being released that could tell one way or the other.
One reactor supposed to be in cold shutdown is showing sings of recriticality. But Tepco has stated that was faulty readings. They seem to have lot of that where bad news is concerned. That was a lot of boric acid pumped in just for a bad reading, eh?
Still no data released about impact to the ocean near the plant. No data released about groundwater. No marine life samples near the plant. And so on. You might think someone was trying to hide something.
Boxturtle (in all probability, our children will not live long enough to see the cleanup complete)
We knew there were meltdowns within 20 minutes of the time our drone overflew the site. That was, what, the 2nd week? We sat on that data, along with all the other data we collected. Request of Japan? Decision of Obama? Some midlevel flunky?
I’m amazed that there isn’t more outrage about what was hidden (or denied!) and for how long. MSM too close to the US nuke industry, I guess.
Boxturtle (now we’ve got a brand new reactor approved!)
We’d actually handle it worse, IMO. Too many conflicts of interest, too many short cuts taken. And our reactors are located much closer to large population centers.
If it happened to Davis-Besse, we’d still be trying to finish evacing Cleveland, while assuring Detroit that there was nothing to fear.
Boxturtle (But the Easat coast put up with our acid rain for so long, what’s a little U-235?)
I shudder when I think of this event. I live with 40 miles in a circle of where I’m sitting right now with three of the oldest nukes in the country if not the world. Any one could wipe us out and odds are in the next 30 yrs. one will do just that because they are all in dangerously exposed locations and are leaking radioactive elements daily already , plus all three are loaded massively onsite with pools of spent fuel rods , another major disaster waiting to happen. Yet, the Gov’t recently recommissioned all three again recently.
I still say this was both the most foreseeable and preventable disaster I’ve heard of.
“Let’s not put the emergency generators on the nearby hill and put the cables to the reactors in covered trenches. We’ll plop ‘em down right on the beach! That way, you see, all we have to do is unload them from their barges and put ‘em in their final positions! A six foot sea wall, (that doesn’t even surround the facility), will be fine, just fine! Not to mention much less expensive. Don’t worry about the three converging crustal plates 60 miles offshore! It’s not like those ones have made a tsunami since I’ve been alive. What could go wrong?”
The only thing more criminal than the power company cutting that particular corner is the fact they were allowed to, (I smell bribery), and the fact that they haven’t been jailed for designing and approving it.
So recently you said it twice? ;)
Sorry for revisiting this but as I was sitting here thinking, I thought of a simple and much cheaper way to safeguard the emergency generator than putting them on a hill or on towers. WWII submarine technology. A fully immersed diesel engine will essentially run forever, as long as it has uncontaminated fuel and air. The snorkel, invented by German submarine designers, (and shared with the Japanese in fact), is a flexible tube with floats that automatically unreels as the water level rises, (or the submarine sinks), thus keeping the airflow going to the engines. A sump equipped with a pump at the bottom prevents any random water splashing going into the injector manifold. A flapper or ball valve prevents accidental immersion from flooding the engine, allowing for fast restart should the snorkel become fully immersed. This is old technology. This is cheap technology. This is fully transferable technology and there is no excuse for not incorporating this simple solution into such an
importantVITAL safety system. Perhaps the engineers that didn’t think about this can still get their money back from their respective universities. Barring that, there is always seppuku…Three General Electric scientists were so strongly opposed to the design of Fukushima-style reactors that they resigned:
http://abcn.ws/haieYy
They did the right thing, although apparently at least one of them felt those design flaws had been addressed by the time Fukushima was built.
P.S.: Daichi manager Yoshida sounds like a hero.
Yeah, I’m hep but I wasn’t addressing the reactor design. Rather I was addressing the decision to plop the emergency generators on the beach less than six feet above the high tide line without a way to ensure a steady air and fuel supply in case of tsunami. These generators are necessary to run the cooling pumps if there is a loss of power. You see, the plant went into shutdown mode as a safety feature when the earthquake hit and the tsunami took out both the emergency generators and the electrical infrastructure TO the plant. No cooling water = big melt down, (3 Mile Island, Chernobyl, etc). The elephant in the room here is that THIS WAS FORESEEABLE. After all, the word “tsunami” was coined in Japan so it’s not like this was a freak accident out of the blue like TEPCO loves to insist.
‘ At the highest levels: There is plenty of evidence the White House knew everything and played a ‘lead’ part. ‘
The White House didn’t know squat. Nobody knew squat. I can comprehend the WH wanted to stay on top of discimination of information. There were hundreds of people who knew a little ‘truth’ but there were no people who everything, or at a minimum, most o9f what was going on, which is typical of a chaotic situation like the Fukushima disaster.
There does not appear to be yet a PDF available of the report. The Japanese and non-Japanese press are all over the place with regard to interpreting what it means. There appears however very little beyond what is known from concurrent reporting. And it is very disappointing that they could not get Tepco employees to speak because of the company gag. I would suspect there are some who made very good decisions way down the management ladder during the crisis.
It is not as though Kan (who seemed to have non-drunk lucid moments, to everybody’s fortune) was the only one thinking of worst case scenario. As would be obvious there would have been a majority of observers thinking what if it kept getting worse and worse. Why this is a news or novel is beyond me.
The decision not to cause public panic and stampede, to the extent such was considered, is commendable. This is where NRC action at the time is problematic. It is perfectly fine to have US citizens advised to evacuate, given the different obligation the US government has to its nationals. It is not fine to speculate about the spent fuel in pool#4 in absence of any real substantial objective knowledge. And if this false premise led to the larger evacuation than what the local national authorities deemed adequate, then it is just politically cautionary BS dressed as technical information. As to suitability of Jaczco, it is not as though he is not a friend of the industry, maybe he is less a friend than the other characters in NRC but that does not make him a hero.
There has been too little criticism of government entities that one would expect not to be tainted by the nuclear industrial imperative. Those who are in charge of education, science, sumo etc (Monkasho) failed in a big way and continue to fail in a big way with SPEEDI and general scientific analysis of the situation. Those in charge of crops,fish and whales(Norinsuisan)continue to bumble along with contamination issues though are they are getting better.
In the meantime of the 53 (I think, 57 minus the 4 that are truly goners) reactors only two are operating. It appears that government both local and national are really getting cold feet as to nuclear. The best news is that Monju is now has uncertain future. If anything is scary, it is a breeder reactor with no option of pouring water if it goes south.
As to whether or not government is giving real information on contamination and extent, this is only a problem if one believes that there is a conspiracy of purpose as opposed to conspiracy of general ineptitude. There are enough civilians and local (very local) government officials with instruments.
When jars of long forgotten storage of radium tainted waste turn up in Tokyo, totally unrelated to Fukushima because someone is walking around looking at a flicking needle, there really is nothing to worry about in terms of what the government is hiding. One does worry about the quality of the instruments as to calibration and general trust worthiness, as it is a business bonanza of sorts.
I’m sorry, but the entirety of Japan is a goner from this. The worst is not over by a mile.
Much (more) destruction of the oceans and of us all, just from this one Fukushima complex.
Skyrocketing cancer.
TV: everything fine!
After the worst is over we’ll find out what to do . Till then the lies will have to do.
O course we may not be close to the worst yet!