This is part of a proposal outlining one possible way to redistrict California.
This post will concentrate on the Bay Area.
The North Bay
Population – 68.4% white, 1.9% black, 21.4% Hispanic, 4.7% Asian, 0.5% Native American, 3.1% other
California’s sixth congressional district is barely changed from its previous incarnation. As in the past, it consists of a Marin County-based district which then stretches north into Sonoma County. It is also surprisingly Hispanic. The wealthy, somewhat rural communities here have a distinctive nature: if one is on a quest for hipster companionship, California’s 6th congressional district is probably the place to go.
CA-7 (Dark Gray):
Population – 43.3% white, 11.2% black, 26.5% Hispanic, 14.0% Asian, 0.4% Native American, 4.6% other
Majority-Minority District
This is an ugly district. It basically puts together all the leftovers that weren’t placed in other Bay Area and Central Valley districts. The core of the population is in Solano County. Substantial population also comes from the northern parts of Contra Costa County. The district finally reaches an arm into Central Valley, between Stockton and Sacramento, to scoop up left-over population from CA-3 and CA-11. The communities do have some things in common, but not much.
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San Francisco and the East Bay
CA-8 (Slate Blue):
Population – 46.3% white, 5.9% black, 13.4% Hispanic, 30.4% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 3.7% other
Majority-Minority District
San Francisco. Enough said.
CA-9 (Cyan):
Population – 36.3% white, 16.5% black, 21.2% Hispanic, 21.1% Asian, 0.3% Native American, 4.6% other
Majority-Minority District
This is another one of California’s great melting-pot congressional districts. It’s composed of a core of inner East Bay Area cities: Oakland, Berkeley, and Richmond. Generally these cities are considered the “poorer” parts of the Bay Area, although in reality they are richer than the national median. Indeed, there are pockets of great wealth here. Finally, these communities are famous (or infamous) for their liberalism, second only to San Francisco.
CA-10 (Deep Pink):
Population – 57.2% white, 5.4% black, 19.7% Hispanic, 13.4% Asian, 0.3% Native American, 4.1% other
This district is composed of East Bay suburbs, including the Tri-Valley. This region, one of the richest in America, has long been carved up, for political purposes, into separate congressional districts. Here, for the first time, they will be in one compact district.
CA-13 (Dark Salmon):
Population – 33.0% white, 13.7% black, 29.8% Hispanic, 19.5% Asian, 0.3% Native American, 3.7% other
Majority-Minority District
This district is somewhat of a hybrid between the two districts above. Part of it is composed of the inner East Bay: Hayward, San Leandro, and part of Oakland. The other part is composed of East Bay suburbs: Dublin, Pleasanton, and Livermore.
To be honest, the East Bay suburbs and the the inner East Bay cities should be in separate districts. Unfortunately, trying to actually put those communities where they belong creates some very awkward-looking districts.
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The South Bay
CA-12 (Cornflower Blue):
Population – 39.6% white, 2.3% black, 21.5% Hispanic, 32.8% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 3.7% other
Majority-Minority District
This district is somewhat difficult to see, since it’s not fully in the picture. It goes from South San Francisco into San Mateo County, which is the core of the district. Silicon Valley is the main word associated with this district.
CA-14 (Olive):
Population – 42.7% white, 2.6% black, 20.5% Hispanic, 30.4% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 3.6% other
Majority-Minority District; New Majority-Minority
Like CA-12, this district is the center of Silicon Valley. Its extremely wealthy San Jose suburbs are home to many of the technology industry’s most famous companies.
CA-15 (Dark Orange):
Population – 23.1% white, 3.2% black, 18.8% Hispanic, 50.9% Asian, 0.2% Native American, 3.8% other
Majority-Minority District; New Majority-Asian
Here we encounter the first district in which whites do not compose the largest racial group. The San Francisco Bay Area is home to the largest population of Asian-Americans in the United States, and this district is intentionally drawn to be majority Asian under the VRA. Over 99% of the population lives in the western half of the district; the eastern half is simply mountains whose purpose is to make the district look more compact.
One ought to note that although Asians are the majority of the district’s population, the actual electorate will almost certainly be majority-white (given low Asian voter participation, registration, and citizenship rates). However, because Asians are very spread out in the Bay Area, it is impossible to increase the Asian percentage much further without very obvious gerrymandering.
CA-16 (Lime):
Population – 33.7% white, 2.8% black, 38.4% Hispanic, 21.9% Asian, 0.3% Native American, 2.9% other
Over-18 Population – 37.2% White, 34.2% Hispanic
Majority-Minority District
The second district in which whites are not the largest ethnicity, CA-16 is plurality Hispanic (and there are many more districts like it to come). Like CA-15, this district intentionally draws Hispanics together. However, the over-18 population is still plurality white; there are just not enough Hispanics in the South Bay to effectively create a compact, Hispanic-controlled district. The district itself is essentially composed of downtown San Jose.
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Here is a picture of the overall Bay Area:
The next post will take a look at California’s Central Valley.
–Inoljt







7 Comments

Does this reflect the latest info from the redistricting commission or is this something you are proposing?
Just going on what you have said here and my intimate knowledge of the North Bay, I would disagree about two things:
1) CA-7 is not ugly at all. Those communities something big in common: the Sacramento river. Moreover, compared to all the other North Bay districts, it is far and away the most middle class district ranging from lower middle class to upper middle class.
2) CA-13 is definitely a mix. But it is also more or less coextensive with Alameda County. One get used to thinking in terms of it if one lives there. And if one wants to be partisan about it, this suits Democrats better as it boxes in the Republicans out towards Pleasonton, Livermore and the Natl. Lab.
It’s something I’m proposing.
The redistricting commission has finished its final draft maps, which can be accessed at this link:
http://swdb.berkeley.edu/gis/gis2011/
I don’t know about CA-13 benefiting Democrats that much. I mean, I guess if you call drawing 80% Obama communities with 60% Obama communities it benefits Democrats. But if you drew all the 60% Obama communities in Pleasanton, Livermore, etc…you’d still get a 60% Obama district.
Well, I dunno. How about prior to 2008? What happened in 2000? You have the numbers. Also, you have to look what you would get if you hitched Livermore to communities to the south and east. Livermore is the end of the Bay Area. Beyond is the Central Valley. Something very different.
Not sure what the criteria are supposed to be, but few who live in Alameda County think of it is a hybrid. It is the 580 corridor.
I’m not debating you. You know much better the issues. But I know those communities pretty well.
This seems to be a huge amount of work, so, I gotta say thanks for it in that regard.
Why did you undertake it?
How close is YOUR mapping to what’s being done in real life by the committee’s?
N to close, aside from rcc’d, wtf does it all mean for ’12?
It’s too big for me to sort out . . . I’m convinced we will see the BIGGEST stay at home vote from both parties, in CA. ever.
The ReTHugs will turn out more % wise, as they normally do under such climes (Dim disenchantment), but both parties will suffer huge declines.
Indies? I bet in CA them and ‘undecideds’ will also stay at home more than ever . . . with more voting GOP than DIM, n more showing up (oh, say 3% more) for nontrad party votes across the nontrad spectrum.
But I just do not get what redistricting is gonna do in ’12 . . . not given the horrid state of the affairs of we the people across the board.
So, thanks again for your work . . . not sure what it means tho . . . maybe I need to catch up fast at Calitics . . . been months since I checked in there . . . I’m way out of the CA political loop.
I’m pretty familiar with the area as well.
If you hitch Livermore to Central Valley, then that’s a Democratic gerrymander. Livermore’s Democratic strength is stronger than Central Valley’s Republican strength.