Those that want a trigger for the public health insurance option are saying, "Let’s give the insurance industry one more chance to clean up its act." We’ve been there and done that, fifteen years ago.
That was the same argument the insurance industry made in 1994 and we’ve seen what happened since. Premiums are rising four times faster than wages. People are going bankrupt at the rate of one every 30 seconds due to health care costs. 95% of the insurance markets around the country are anti-competitive. And 14,000 losing their coverage every day.
They didn’t clean up their act last time, and they won’t this time. And this time, an individual mandate will require us to purchase insurance from these very same companies while we’re waiting for the trigger to be triggered, if indeed it ever is.
When the idea of a "trigger" for the public health insurance option was floated a few months ago, I and others explained why the proposal was not a public health insurance option and not health care reform. In fact, a trigger would be nothing but a win for the insurance industry because it serves to kill the public health insurance option outright. The case is the same now that it’s being floated again.
Why? There are a multiple reasons.
1. By any rational measure, triggers have already been triggered
Finally, given the depth of our health care crisis, with bankruptcies every 30 seconds due to health costs, 95% of the insurance markets around the country being anti-competitive, and 14,000 losing their coverage every day, haven’t requirements to trigger a public health insurance option already been met?
Chuck Schumer put it best when he said (emphasis added):
"Some who have been skeptical of a public plan have been calling for a "trigger," that would introduce a public plan some time down the road if certain conditions were met. Today’s report [on the non-competition of insurance markets] blows away the idea that we should wait for a trigger.Today’s report seems to suggest that any reasonable criteria for triggering a public plan has already been met.
After all, if we were to write a trigger into comprehensive health care reform, what would it look like? The main criteria would be market share and premium price. This report today shows that in many states, both conditions have already been met. Premiums are high, and either one or two insurers dominate the market. As we’ve seen with Medicare part D, a trigger option has so far meant no public option at all."
A trigger proposal asks America to wait for the health insurance crisis to get worse before fixing it.
We already have skyrocketing prices. Insurance is already unaffordable. Insurance companies are already gouging us for more and more money while denying us for more and more care.
Trigger conditions around the country have been met. These companies need some honest competition. And the only way to give it to them is a national public health insurance option, available everywhere on day one.
2. Triggers as proposed would make the public health insurance option non-functional
The proposal for the trigger indicates that:
…a new government corporation would offer health insurance in any states where affordable coverage was not readily and widely available from private insurers. The corporation would not be part of the Department of Health and Human Services, although federal officials would serve on its board.
The public insurance plan would be offered in any state where fewer than 95 percent of the residents had access to affordable coverage.
The problem here is similar to the problem with the co-op. Under a trigger, public health insurance plans would be created, but only on a state-specific basis. You’ve have different plans popping up at different times around the country. In short, the public health insurance option would be fragmented.
For example, in rural areas with few choices for health insurance, the situation is stark. People will be forced to buy unaffordable insurance from the only option (private plans) available in their area, all because their state doesn’t meet the requirements for a triggered public health insurance option. It’s discriminatory.
And, this fragmentation means the public plans created under this proposal wouldn’t have the clout to compete with private insurers. Think about it: Private insurers are national mega-corporations, with huge amounts of cash and predatory business practices. They already collude with each other and with providers to drive out smaller players or force them to play by their rules. How would a state-based public option be able to take them on?
3. Triggers will never be triggered
We’ve tried triggers before. In fact, we have a trigger in place in the Medicare Part D program. It hasn’t done anything to stop big PhRMA from gouging seniors:
[Medicare Part D] didn’t help a large minority of the senior population deal with drug costs because of the massive "doughnut hole" problem. There are millions of seniors caught in the so-called doughnut hole, where thousands of dollars in annual prescription drug costs must come directly from their individual pocketbooks, or they will go without the often life-saving medications.
The legislation had a "trigger" built in to supposedly protect consumers and taxpayers against huge cost increases in the program. If the bills became too large, a "public option" would kick in and tell Big Pharma what’s what. Unsurprisingly, that threshold has not yet been reached.
As a result, Big Pharma got a big windfall (a whopping $3.7 billion in the first two years alone) from Medicare Part D.
Tim Foley at Change.org continues the argument:
The trigger may be set up so, in effect, it never happens, similar to the Medicare Part D trigger that would have created a public prescription drug plan – but never did. The threshold would be low enough that it could be easily, and superficially, met. Throughout those “several years,” the insurance plans would receive all of the uninsured who enroll through a National Health Exchange, pocketing what we can hope are generous government subsidies, with very few changes to their behavior.
What the trigger does, in effect, is tell the insurance industry the exact bare minimum it must do to keep the status-quo. The insurance industry will undoubtedly step right up to that line but not cross it to avoid a public health insurance option in that state, and they will undoubtedly lobby to change the trigger minimum so they can keep up with their practice of turning your health into shareholder profits.
Plus, that trigger will be set at a lower level than current conditions, allow the insurers to make even more money at your expense. It’s a win for them, but not for you.
The trigger will never be triggered. Instead, the trigger proposal is a plan to kill the public health insurance option outright.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
A trigger for the public health insurance option would create underpowered public plans that would be swallowed whole by the insurance industry. A trigger would also tell the insurance industry the exact minimum level of care and service they need to provide (a level worse than they provide now) before they face competition, giving them incentive to stay at that level and no better. That trigger will never be triggered – instead, it will kill the public health insurance option. But most importantly, a trigger wants us to wait for our crisis to worsen before we fix it.
That’s not a compromise. That’s not even a rational proposal. Waiting for the crisis to get worse does nothing but help the insurance industry at the expense of our wallets, our health, and our lives.
The trigger kills the public health insurance option. It is not health reform. It should be rejected.
(also posted at the NOW! blog)
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40 Comments







So Jason, why is such still being considered? Especially in view of the reports that Obama is having conversations with Snowe?
I think everyone knows that answer: politics over policy, right?
I’d phrase it differently; money over courage.
I think everyone knows that answer: politics over policy, right?
which works equally well for the question “why are fauxgressives supporting the public option, rather than single payer?”
Just curious Jason — what if the “trigger” was constructed in a way that it made the “public option” inevitable. Would you support it?
The idea of triggers are to ensure there never is a public option.
And what’s to stop a future congress from repealing the triggers at some future date
Triggers are a con game
Thats not a valid question. If it were ineveitable they wouldnt be calling it a trigger. they are calling it a trigger to make it impossible.In order to beleive any trigger would actually kick in you would ahve to beleive they are going about this in good faith, which demonstrably they are not.
In theory you could create a “workable” trigger, but I find it impossible to imagine that you could find the votes for that instead of a real public option.
the other problem is that it is very very easy to make a trigger useless with a simple 5 word change in the bill. If it does not happen right away, maybe it will in conference, maybe it will two years for now as a last minute admendment in some cotton tarriff bill.
I’m not sure how you could ever design such a thing without hitting the pitfalls I describe above, other than just saying that the public option will come into existence after a set period of time no matter what, which is exactly what HR 3200 says. So….
So tell me, all knowing one, how you would go about getting single payer through the Senate. I don’t want to hear any ideological bullshit, just how you’d get it through the Senate.
actually, there is a way to do this… but not through legislation. what I call the scorched earth trigger. I need to run now but will try to comment on it later.
Nice run down of points against the trigger. Thanks!
Thanks, Jason.
Obama and Rahm know this also. So does Snowe.
It’s all to make progressives STFU.
No PO, no bill. They still don’t get it.
No, they dont get it. WHAT they dont get is we know that its all about them. “public policy” has become a sad punchline. public policy now = private profit. They a desparate to hang onto their patronage and their cushy jobs. They are not public servants they are profiteers.God what a monumental struggle were facing.
No PO, no bill, no money, no nothin’ but hell on earth for these people.
The trigger (since it will be set up to never be pulled) is really the worse of all possible ideas. It is worse than having nothing because it creates the illusion of reform without any reform.
Actually, I think it’s better than the co-op, because it’s so much more easy to argue against.
Right. This stymies real reform. This can’t even be called gradualism. It’s a sell-out.
Thanks for the great post, Jason.
Oh get ready for nothing. It seems pretty clear now that CO OPS were a red herring too! can you BELIEVE this shit!? what they hope to cram down our throats is everyone is forced by law(enforced by the IRS) to buy private insurance..thats it, and cost will go down..magically,the invisble hand is gonna jerk everybody off and its a WIN for obama. HOW IN THE FUCK can they have convinced themselves of this??The ACTUAL PO, the one that most on here think were fighting for, translated thats “co-ops” a bargaining chip. I think the reps are saying PO but they mean CO. when will we reach the bottom of this swamp. Im guessing by the end of all this a PO will mean refundable tax credits for about 5- 8 million people -to buy private insurance. I not only hope this “ends the obama presidency” i hope he steps into an open sewer hole.
Isn’t a 97-year trigger long enough?
Trigger or a long ACME CO. fuse as seen so many times in the classic ROAD RUNNER/COYOTE cartoons.
Obama WH truly is earning a heapful of scorn and contempt for being this craven.
Finally some “transparency” shows up at Obama WH — total unprincipled money politics are framing this Obama WH sellout on the PO choice which was the fallback position from the first compromise of no Single Payer Plan being allowed to the table by Obama WH.
What a bunch of jerkoffs!
Barack Obama should be voted out in 2012 if this is the “change” he brings to the WH. What a bunch of A-holes!
Make all Americans pay into the for profits ripoff plans!? No PO choice so where is there any constraint,reining in of costpush?
What was the point of rolling out this so called BS “reform” if the cost growth is allowed to continue upwards for another ten years?
The real kick in the ass here is how Obama WH has gamed PO all along and choked off the only real reform — Single Payer Plan/Medicare For All — just to be jockey on the damn for profit insurers money politics.
Reform American healthcare — Single Payer Plan starting in 2011.
Reform American national politics — Full 100% Public Funding of Campaigns
Reform American Public Education (Arianna’s idea today at HuffPost) and put it on full National Funding Plan — remove from helter skelter property tax funding scheme.
Reform the WH — Barack Out in 2012!
I’m curious what you all think of Clyburn’s public option only like 10 states for the first 4 years as a test case.
See point #2 above. If you do state by state, how are they going to compete?
Well if the public option can piggy back on Medicare it is fine if it is state by state because it really is just Medicare. It would need to be a Medicare buy in or like a Medicare buy in that pays Medicare rates plus 10%.
If it was Schumer’s level playing feild option it would struggle from being too small, unless the test region was say CA, NV, OR, WA than you are talking about a plan that would be large enough.
Compete, maybe yes, but be large enough and broad enough to drive down prices overall? That’s the idea with competition, really. Done right, the public option makes private insurance better.
” Done right, the public option makes private insurance better.”
Reform should be sold using this message , those that have insurance really aren’t onboard with us,convince them that their insurance will get better and cheaper and support for reform will grow among the public
again, it is important to note that this is NOT about insurance, except insofar that the insurers are the ones most active in blocking reform. In theory we could reduce all premiums to zero for all Americans, provide universal coverage, and we would still be right back to where we started in 3-5 years time. And the system will still be bankrupt in 15-25 years time.
The real underlying issue is the containment of double-digit growth rates in the underlying cost of healthcare services, equipment, and medication. As long as these growth rates double or treble the growth rates in our incomes, the system will evenually fail. Remember that the baseline (where we are today) already has us paying twice as much for the same level of service as they have in even the most expensive OECD countries (other than ourselves, of course). The PO would be one means to establish a set of incentive mechanisms that MIGHT start to contain these underlying growthr rates. My personal suspicion is that, in the long-run, the only remaining option for stopping this very slow moving national train wreck will be system nationalization. Can you imagine what the other side will be saying then?
The insurance industry knows all this, of course.. they’re just bargaining that short term profits will preserve their margins over the next few years, letting them take what they can and run, while the entire system starts to crack and fail. Their behavior pattern is basically identical to that of Madoff. These people have every wingnut in America fighting rabidly for a system that they know with absolute certainty is doomed in a few short years.
Which makes me wonder (yet again) – why are we spending so much more?
I mean in actual health care, paid by me and my insurance company. Not advertising or lobbying dollars that I seem to be contributing whether I want to or not.
I’d really like to understand that bit – we spend more and get worse results because…??? Too many unnecessary procedures? Paying for procedures rather than outcomes? Not enough focus on prevention? ???
Is there someplace where this is analyzed in great and gory detail so I can read it?
Thanks to anyone who helps enlighten me!
I think its because the insurance companies that dominate our system (including Medicare) have failed to create an effective mechanism for controlling waste and abuse. The price elasticity of demand for healthcare service is nearly flat – meaning that people will, up to the point they go broke and have to drop out of the system altogether, pay any cost required to secure the level of service their doctors recommend. Thus there is no intrinsic mechanism for ensuring that services are efficiently and cost-effectively delivered.
This mechanism has to be synthetically created, by putting competitive pressure on the insurers (among themselves) and their margins, which in turn will force them to pressure the drug companies and healthcare providers to control spiralling costs (since they can’t very well maintain their margins while competition prevents them from raising premiums and yet the payments they make to service providers and drug companies keep on going up). For its part, Medicare offers no real competition for the private insurers since it caters to a different single-payer market segment (seniors) AND, simultaneously, the government has failed to exercise the requred political will to have Medicare contain underlying costs within its own single-payer market segment (by negotiating better deals with hospitals, doctors and drug companies than it has).
The result of these two simultaneous failures (separately by the private insurers and by Medicare) have created a perfect storm of drug companies, doctors and hospitals running amock. Basically, some mechanism needs to be created that will force drug companies, doctors and hospitals to run their businesses efficiently and cost effectively, not compromising on service levels but rather by delivering quality services at lower cost. This means massive pay cuts for surgeons, for example, less unnecessarily expenditure on fancy but probably unnecessarily medical equipment, less money wasted on paperwork and thievery, lower margins for the drug manufacturers, etc.,etc.
yes.. as long as PO administrators are attentively, judiciously and continuously apply increasing margin pressure on the private insurers, forcing them, in turn, to apply pressure on service providers. It may be too little too late but at least it would be a start. The only other alternative is system nationalization followed by brutal cost cutting.
But if we can’t get a deal done here, I think we should focus on revenge – break the insurers. Pass HR 1583, enact harsh regulation, open anti-trust investigations, open them up to denial of service and other lawsuits in Federal court from citizens… make them understand that there is a price to obstructionism.
I very confident in the power of a robust public option (piggy backing on Medicare) to hold down cost, If the plan was truly just buying into Medicare it would not matter that the number of people in the public option at first was only a few million. Medicare is already the largest insurer out there. More importantly I think people will just like the service better and it would grow quickly.
In 1994 I became self employed and started paying my own health insurance premiums. My monthly premium was $360 per month for HMO Blue a so called Caddilac of health plans That same health plan would cost me $1400 per month now if I could afford it
We’re supposed to trust this industry to clean up it’s own act ?
Where is the incentive to change if there is no public option?
So where’s the change we were promised?
I’m sitting here in New Zealand and shaking my head in disbelief. Try explaining this insanity to people who don’t live there. One person asked, “Don’t people think there? Are they not educated?”
No public option probably means I won’t live in the US of A again. I just don’t see putting myself in the avenue of bankuptcy should I have a health problem. There is a certain sadness to that realization.
How’s the job market down there ?
Perhaps I’ll be joining you
It depends on what your skills are. My husband recently advertised to fill three positions. Two drew applications from around the world, partly because there is little to no tertiary education in the field (hydrogeology). The third position drew 160 applicants.
I’ve been told that carpentry, plumber, and electrician (called sparkies) are in demand. Someone in immigration is always fiddling with the requirements for immigration so they change frequently.
Coming here means a slower pace of life in many ways and fewer amenities. However, my husband has had me living all over and this beats the place we lived on an island in the Beaufort Sea (off the north coast of Alaska) in that we have running water and grocery stores. Of course, the caribou, moose, and arctic char made for very good eating up there….
If and when this thing falls apart, we should consider pushing hard hard for deFazio’s HR 1583, which is now stuck in committee.
http://frwebgate.access.gpo.go…..ih.txt.pdf
Give the insurers the ultimate pyrrhic victory: scorched earth, and mutual assured destruction.
OT
Jane, I think I’ve finally got an audio file from Anna Eshoo’s town hall that you’ll be able to hear. I’m very displeased with Palm’s Voice Memo software… and have worked around its limitations to get an mp3 to you.
Can you or FDL tech staff confirm that you got something usable by responding to one of the emails. I’m willing to keep working at it if need be, but I don’t want to waste time if you’ve got something usable.
After watching Big Finance simply rub their hands together with glee as they DROVE THE ECONOMY OFF A CLIFF (and got EVEN RICHER in the process) (and don’t tell me they didn’t know what they were doing), I have ZERO DOUBT that the Insurance Industry will continue down their current, insanely profitable path until exactly ten people in America will have health insurance that costs $1B a month.
Seriously, when are we going to stop giving Corporate America second, third, and fourth chances? Do people dying for lack of insurance get second, third, and fourth chances? Does the insurance industry react with anything less than pitiless wrath when people get sick or cannot pay their bills? Man, I am FED. UP.
Thanks Jason, I understand it so much better now. Of course it just makes all that more angry. I don’t see how any sort of compromising on the public option will do any good. I’m afraid we’re in big trouble because Obama can’t seem to get all the dems behind the PO. Do you think reconciliation can work?
That’s the thing. There is not compromise on the public option that will work because the public option is the compromise!
we can say this, but in my mind the PO is not the compromise to single payer. It’s actually the only alternative that works short of creating the National Health Service. Given Medicare’s historical performance (its underlying covered costs of service track those of private insurance almost precisely), single payer would not solve or even address the cost-containment issue.