Back in 1997, Jim Hightower informed us that "There’s Nothing in the Middle of the Road but Yellow Stripes and Dead Armadillos", but recent events show us that those tending toward "the middle" are treated quite differently by the two major political parties.
Voters go to the polls today in New York’s 23rd Congressional District. With just two days to go before the election, Republican Dede Scozzafava stunned her party:
An intensely watched Congressional race here that has become a battleground over the future of the Republican Party took another surprising turn on Sunday, when the Republican candidate — who ended her campaign a day earlier — announced that she was endorsing the Democrat.
/snip/
“She basically put aside any pretensions and threw in with the Democrats,” said Dick Armey, the former Republican House leader, who was among an ever-growing group of conservative leaders opposed to Ms. Scozzafava’s place on the Republican ticket. Those leaders embraced Douglas L. Hoffman, the candidate on the Conservative Party line.
What were Ms. Scozzafava’s sins that led to the Republicans flocking to Hoffman? The New York Times article continues:
Ms. Scozzafava had been under siege from conservative leaders because she supports gay rights and abortion rights and was considered too liberal on various fiscal issues.
In the Republican Party, then, a candidate who moves away from the party line, toward views that actually are more popular in the general population, is shunned in favor of an extremist third party candidate. Wingnuts such as Sarah Palin and Dick Armey led the charge in condemning such heresy.
Contrast that treatment with the situation back in early August, when it was first revealed that those who are pushing hardest for a public option in health care reform were running ads attacking Blue Dog Democrats in Congress who oppose it. As Jane Hamsher and Greg Sargent reported, Rahm Emanuel called liberal groups together and cursed at them for daring to attack those who would block the public option. Here’s Sargent:
Sources at the meeting tell me that Emanuel really teed off on the Dem-versus-Dem attacks, calling them “f–king stupid.” This was a direct attack on some of the attendees in the room, who are running ads against Dems right now.
There are several differences I want to note here in how dissenters within the two parties are handled. As I stated above, Scozzafava actually was taking positions that put her closer to majority opinions, but because those positions clash with cherished positions of the extreme portions of the party, she was quickly drummed out of the party. In contrast, the Blue Dogs, in attempting to block the public option, are moving away from majority opinion and toward the form of corporatism more in line with Republican policy. In order to protect the Blue Dogs, then, Rahm is siding with Republicans and going against majority opinion.
I think Hightower’s admonition so many years ago applies equally well in this case. Let those Blue Dogs stay out there in what they perceive to be "the middle" [but which is quite a bit to the right of public opinion] and become the proverbial road kill with a yellow stripe down their backs. If the Blue Dogs want to side with the Republicans, let them join with a party that has been thoroughly trashed in the last two elections and has a favorable opinion level now at 36%. I’ll join with the majority and stick with the principles that favor the well-being of people over the well-being of corporations.




18 Comments







In grappling with the implications of NY-23, I’m thinking this was more of a pragmatic move by the GOP establishment. Given the 3-way split, they had to go one way or the other. If they hadn’t, Owens could actually win. Putting ideology aside for the moment, Hoffman was polling slightly better, and I’m assuming they thought had a better shot in the general (which seems more questionable to me, but what do I know…). So, their goal is more to keep the seat, than to move right.
The right fringe of course sees it differently–they’re crowing.
I couldn’t agree more regarding blue dogs. If Owens actually wins this, I see no gain for DEM. The blue dogs are just killing us, and anything that increases their numbers in the house is just simply bad by definition.
I believe the Democrats would rather throw the race to the Republicans than have a socialist or progressive get elected in a similar situation, don’t you?
Exactly. But it is also their mouthing off that sent Scozzafava’s numbers into the toilet in the first place so that they could be pragmatic in supporting Hoffman. This was a very different race before Palin got involved.
Let’s chew on this for a minute, if you will. How big an effect did Palin, Armey, et al. have in this local race? Did they really bump it that much?
Here is the historical polling data from RCP. Scozzafava was ahead back in August, but Owens surged to the lead in October. Palin’s endorsement appears to have been on October 22. It looks to me like that is when Hoffman jumped in the polls. We went from Owens +5 to Hoffman +5 immediately after Palin endorsed Hoffman.
That is interesting, and something I hadn’t appreciated before. As Jane says this AM, NY23 isn’t all that red of a district, in spite of its GOP tradition. So if Palin can have that kind of an impact in a fairly close district, the district race does have clear national implications–something I didn’t think was the case before.
Another consideration of national significance is that 3rd parties can apparently run pretty strong in NY state, where in other areas of country they can not. So that would tend to leven the wingnut ability to swing races as they’ve done here. In other words, there wouldn’t be a strong third candidate like Hoffman in many parts of the country.
Jim, going O/T here, have you seen this Scott Ritter article on McChrystal?
Thanks. I’m happy to see more push-back on McChrystal. Here’s the link to the original post of Ritter’s article. (I avoid WND.)
It only looks like a contrast (oxymoron) if you think that the Democrats are to the left of center. If you see both parties as right wing then their behaviour is just the same. In both cases running to the left, ie running towards the great majority of the country, will get you attacked by the party.
No. Actually, I think this race is getting far more attention than it warrants. That this district would do anything other than go with Hoffman is no surprise and frankly, this is a gift to the Democrats. Hoffman is a dope and if diva Sarah Palin wants to throw in her hat as empress of the confederacy of dunces, then all the better. The real question in my mind is do the Democrats know what to do with the gift once they’ve got it? Because really, the Republican party is perhaps beyond the beyond.
One interesting thing to note, the GOP’s forcing out of the moderates makes them less electable. Us forcing out a few Blue Dogs, though, might make us more electable…
I agree. Look at Alan Grayson. His district went for Obama by the same 52-47 as NY23. Rahm would say put in a Blue Dog. I think Grayson will win again next year. The R’s still don’t have a declared opponent for him even though it’s clear they will funnel lots of money that way.
Isn’t that Rahm’s answer to just about ANY question?
This seems likely. But if, in the process, folks who are actually GOP moderates become bluedog Democrats, it hurts both parties in the longer run. The downside for the GOP is obvious–they migrate to insanity-land, and the constituency for that is relatively small.
But over the longer run, this hurts the Democratic party as well. It puts people like Owens into the Democratic caucus when they really should not be there. This in turn results in bills being overly compromised before they get out of the caucus. This in turn leads to policy mistakes–like single payer not even being on the table–because the party has been pulled too far right.
in the 6th district of Ohio Former Governor Strickland was our Rep for years. Congressman Wilson who rode in on the coattails of Strickland said he would follow Stricklands voting record. Many folks in the area of Athens and surrounding area are extremely disappointed with Wilson I think there will be an Independent Contender that will pull votes from him. I think the Dems are going to have more of a race than they think they will in this region in 2010.
Talked to a bunch of folks today who are furious with Wilsons vote for H Resolution 867. Ros Lehtinen,s Berman and Ackermans successful effort to take a shit on the Goldstone Report. I think Wilson is going face a few challenges the next time around
There are several retired college professors who are considering running against Wilson as Independents. The Dems are going to be in shock if they lose Space and Wilsons district in Southeastern Ohio
I agree with this article on the long-term prospects of the Repugs as long as the extreme right keeps forcing itself into Repug elections:
Beyond Tuesday’s Results, Republicans Facing Long-Term Decline
http://airamerica.com/politics/11-02-2009/republicans-facing-long-term-decline/?p=all
Given the district, Hoffman probably is more in line with the electorate, although I suspect that the wingnut brigade probably hurt him . ( & maybe people have been hit upside the head by reality enough, to go the other way. )
Ps. Happy Birthday, Jim. :)