Consider the “crowning achievement” of the neocons under George W. Bush’s “freedom agenda”. Because they were imposing freedom at the end of a gun, rather than through the actions of the people, Bush’s new governments in Afghanistan and Iraq have given us corrupt leaders in the form of Hamid Karzai and Nouri al Maliki, whose governments are, at best, only loosely engaged with their citizens. Laying aside for a moment the underlying agenda of the robber barons promoting the neocon agenda to enrich themselves, note just how disengaged these governments, formed under US leadership, are from their citizens. Karazai still operates as if he is a small time drug lord and is actively squirreling away assets and real estate in Dubai. Iraq was unable to form a government for over a year after elections, because there was no real mechanism built into the US-designed “democracy” for people to have a voice.
The US has long backed Hosni Mubarak, and as Marcy has noted, the new Vice President has been an essential cog in the US rendition-torture process, so he is a natural replacement for Mubarak as the typical thug repressing his people to promote US foreign policy. The US stumbles in considering Mohammed el Baradei, perhaps because he is not proposing to come in as a “strongman”, but is instead saying that all he wants is a voice for the people.
In 2009, the US was slow to support a popular uprising in Iran against a despot who is not in favor in Foggy Bottom. However, perhaps because we had not yet chosen a new “Shah”, the US did not provide enough signals to the people of Iran that we would support their moves to overthrow the suppressive regime.
I believe that our foreign policy is too stuck on the wrong passage from the Declaration of Inedpendence. Policy today is centered on this clause from the Declaration:
Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient cause
Perhaps Foggy Bottom should spend some time reading how that paragraph begins:
We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. — That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.
Clearly, Mubarak has lost (if he ever had it) the consent of those whom he governs. Likewise for Karzai and al Maliki. A new US foreign policy with the consent of the governed as the primary focus would go a long way toward having a proper response to popular uprisings like the one already completed in Tunisia, the one under way in Egypt, and those that might be beginning in Yemen, Jordan and Syria.
In fact, it is also the failure to take this approach that was the basis for the Bush administration’s utter failure when Hezbollah Hamas (corrected h/t Hannibal in comments) won the democratic elections in Palestine. By refusing to even acknowledge their win, the US emboldened Israel’s brutal stranglehold which continues today under Obama.
h/t: I have seen several people over the past few days make the observation of US foreign policy being mired in the Cold War era and felt the idea needed further fleshing out. I apologize for not remembering and being able to note just those who brought up the concept.




49 Comments

“The problem is the usual one: the lines of power and the lines of morality in Washington fail to intersect when US presidents have to deal with the Middle East. Moral leadership in America ceases to exist when the Arab and Israeli worlds have to be confronted.”
http://www.commondreams.org/view/2011/01/30-1
Got a kick out of this: al Jazeera’s Washington correspondent just matter-of-factly reported how Egypt’s “Islamists” have the same political influence in their country as “fundamentalists” do in the US. HA! Of course, however, the fundamentalists are much more doctrinaire and violent…
Interesting times. The last time we saw anything like this was 1989, which as you may recall also took the policy elite by surprise. These events are like exchange rates or the stock market. Economics tells you that there will be change –anyone with any sense knew that the dollar was way too high in 1984/85, and housing prices too high in 2002/2007– but no one can tell you when the earthquake is going to happen. And so we all wait, and are surprised when it happens, even though we shouldn’t be.
Between Israel and the MIC, I don;t think the United States government has a great deal to do with the shaping of our foreign policy.
Heh. I tweeted earlier today that al Qaeda is to the Muslim Brotherhood as the Tea Party is to the Democratic Party.
I just heard Mubarak reports that about the Muslim Brotherhood, so not sure where this line is manufactured for distribution.
I believe El Baradei has the vision of a new way forward, and I hope we see it soon. The people are ready.
The U.S. cannot bring itself to support a people’s movement precisely because of the aforementioned robber barons controlling foreign policy for their own enrichment. Allowing the people to have a voice forces them to give a cut to the average person, something that does not fit into the scheme of maximizing profits.
checkout justworldnews.org, Helena Cobbans, huge reputation on all things middle east writes an article that explains why the Obama administration is flummoxed. “Obama’s Know Nothings Discuss Egypt”. She is presently in Cario.
If eCAHN shows up, tell her I’m taking tonight in the Mubarak leaves pool. The crowd is picking up steam in Tahrir Square and rumor has it El Baradei is on his way there…
Thanks, that was a good read.
You should sue al Jazeera for copyright violation! :)
It is as simple to understand as this. “We the People….” A Bill of Rights with restrictions on government action. Right to Life Liberty and Pursuit of Happiness? A revolution fought for the right to self determination. Then the Institution of Slavery? The question is will America turn a blind eye to the aspirations of a people for freedom and Liberty, for cheap gas, which ain’t so cheap anymore! A head on collision for America with “Values” we claim to cherish, with the economic realities of leveraged servitude to the modern day East India Tea Corps. Truth hurts…………
As Egypt erupts, Israel is isolated: a victim of its own supreme misjudgement.
Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iran – then Turkey and Jordan, and shortly to be joined by Egypt – all now implacable opponents of Israel’s policies of oppression and state-sponsored assassination.
Operation Cast Lead in which over 900 civilians were killed by Israeli troops, plus the shocking attack and killing of nine passengers upon an aid vessel sailing to Gaza, have ensured a consensus throughout the region that such contempt for human rights together with the continued illegal settlement in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, will no longer be tolerated.
The United States president has unfortunately colluded in this misjudged foreign policy by allowing his administration to be influenced by the Israel lobby into continuing to pour billions of dollars, not only into Israel but also into a despotic regime in Egypt, in order to meet Israel’s demands that 1.6 million Gazans should be kept confined under illegal siege.
Both Netanyahu and Obama had the opportunity for peace but rejected it. They have become yesterday’s men – footnotes in history. The future now belongs to new statesmen, or women, who have more courage. Netanyahu was always an expected failure, whilst Obama has, very sadly, been a completely unexpected one.
Good article, except for this:
Hamas is the one you’re thinking of. Hezbollah is in Lebanon, and not all that similar.
Hamas was elected in Palestine, not Hezbollah.
Moral leadership has NEVER existed in the U.S.
Thanks. Sorry for that. Will fix.
Google has a feature I never knew about until I followed a link……updates Twitter on search, continually!!
http://www.google.com/search?q=egypt&num=100&hl=en&newwindow=1&biw=1133&bih=564&prmd=ivnsum&tbs=mbl%3A1&tbo=u&ei=sL1CTYH7K4HoOaDi3NUB&sa=X&oi=realtime_result_group_more_results_link&ct=title&resnum=6&ved=0CGgQ5QUwBQ
Crap…can’t seem to fix link…but it does work when you click on it
ALL WAR$$$$$ ALL THE TIME
but cut SS
Of course, Fox News blames socialized healthcare and flourescent light bulbs for the uprising.
agreed
obsolete thinking
hopefully dinosaur FOX will soon be obsolete too
Various nations are now telling their citizens in Egypt to get out. With media virtually kicked out, you are about to not witness the brutality of the military crackdown. Governments know what is about to occur.
Spot on. For any popular uprising that succeeds, the first thing on its agenda needs to be the enrollment of its elites in a course on how to act like human beings.
Dr.Ablow= doctor of bullshit
every 100 buck point and shoot camera has HD video capability…therevolution will be televised
He’ll leave as soon as he receives word that his luggage full of confiscated loot has arrived safely at its secret destination.
I don’t think that US policy is flummoxed by Egypt’s uprising at all. Cautious yes, but not flummoxed. From the first, they have been proceeding methodically, but only certain event have appear publicly and all of those public statements hinting strongly to Mubarak (in diplomatese) that it’s time for him to go. But structured so as not to be offensive to Mubarak should he survive.
That plain fact that folks in the West, including the Western jouranlists (as opposed to the local journalists) working for al Jazeera, is that what the US says is irrelevant an potentially harmful to the the popular movement. Silence and ambiguity is the appropriate policy.
Whether Mubarak stays or goes right now is in the hands of the lower ranks of the conscripted military. If ordered to suppress the demonstrators, will they obey?
The U.S. is totally irrelevant in this situation. The critical thing to watch about U.S. policy is U.S. response to a popular coalition government if/when Mubarak leaves. There will be a lot of right-wing concern about Moslem Brotherhood participation in a new Egyptian government. And the AIPAC crew will go into high gear. Will the administration take that line or will it recognize the new government without prejudice. The response to events in this case will be the foreign policy.
Thinking the U.S. has or should have power over this situation is taking a position of American exceptionalism.
If/when Mubarak leaves, pressure will increase on Yemen, Assad in Syria, Abdullah in Jordan, and Bouteflika in Algeria. A successful transition in Egypt will set the stage for similar popular movements in those countries. If these changes occur and roll out like the rapid changes in Eastern Europe, pressure for change will increase in Iran and Saudi Arabia. In all of these cases, the best U.S. policy will be to butt out, except to express to our “allies” the fact that change will come. However unlike Egypt, the U.S. doesn’t have the leverage of a large foreign military aid commitment.
The most significant statement that the U.S. made did not come from President Obama or Secretary of State Clinton but from Robert Gibbs: “The aid package to Egypt is under review.”
Just remember, everyone: The same people who are yammering about the Eeeeeevil Muslim Brotherhood (which by the way 1) hates Al-Qaeda and 2) has not been in the vanguard of the protests, and whose weak efforts to hijack these secular middle-class protesters have been easily turned back by the protesters) are the same ones who lied us into Iraq.
Possibly, though it might be a lot harder to deal with than Tiananmen Square. I heard somewhere that police are starting to stand down, on their own. If the military follows suit, it will be like Iran in 1979.
I don’t think so. Hillary is signaling support for the people and hedged about whether people should leave. The deal is done. It will be El Baradei and/or the army, but they must get rid of that Suleman character. It’s almost over.
Yup…
great point
What’s really interesting, is how the Muslim Brotherhood has said they’re not running this, and don’t want a seat in the new government. They must not be all that popular in Egypt, otherwise they would be pushing for it. Instead, they’re advocating a coalition, including secular.
Duly noted.
I’m sure we can all take great comfort in knowing that the Obama administration is in close consultation with Egyptian billionaires, corporations, and multinationals to help them determine which oppressive future despot will best suit their needs and sustain their profits going forward. They need to quickly install a new dictator and get on with the charade of “free and fair elections” which will be carefully rigged to produce the desired result. Their plans for Egypt are entirely consistent with their plans for the United States.
Siun is liveblogging ElBaradei at the Square
status quo pushers
Exactly.
“Lied into the war with Iraq.” Told us the war would be paid with proceeds from Iraqi oil revenues. That the cost of the war was something America could withstand. All bold faced lies the for the benefit of who? Iraqi citizens? American citizens? Egyptian citizen, or Exxon Mobile, BP, China, Wall street?
A disgusting manifestation of corporate greed, enabled by law bought and paid for by the monied interests Jefferson warned of! Monopolies in commerce and trade??????
US Policy appears to have settled: reports are that Hilary Clinton was on MTP, FNS, This Week, Face the Nation and State of the Union delivering two messages: “transition to democracy” and “free, fair, and credible” elections.
Mubarak has lost US support for his “emergency rule” dictatorship.
Americas foriegn policy is the same now as it been for years…Israel, oil and profit before people. We have not advocated for or been a democracy for a long time.
i have been to egypt and people there have a very secular mindset in the public sphere which the demonstrators showcased by carrying both the crescent and the cross – this does not mean they are not religious but only that religion is not used for sectarian purposes outside the home
“Clearly, Mubarak has lost (if he ever had it) the consent of those whom he governs. Likewise for Karzai and al Maliki.”
juan cole refers to Weber’s distinction between power and authority, the former being derived from firepower and the latter on legitimacy that is based on consent and willingness of the citizenry to obey the commands of those who hold power
mubarak and al maliki are dependent on the US for any power, so was karzai until the US soured on him
interesting that despite mubarak’s use of firepower, he could not assert any authority
What we’re seeing is the classic and constant conundrum of U.S. foreign policy. Should we launch crusades based on our declared principles or do we deal with the world as it is? I think John Quincy Adams came up with the best possible answer.
You’re absolutely right, Margaret!
All of this just looks like unappealing leftovers from the 50s and 60s.
I once knew someone who knew a lot about the Middle East. She spent a lot of time there, and was on some long road trips.
She gave a couple of talks a Friends Meeting for Learning… and I was astounded to learn that when you hold your hand up, as we do to say “stop,” in Iraqi culture that means come ahead. I keep thinking about all of those civilians killed at check points, just because our soldiers were using the wrong hand signals.
No expertise, indeed!
She died a few years ago, and so our great link to that culture has been lost.