As the diplomatic tussle between the United States and Pakistan over US demands for the release of Raymond Davis continues, it is interesting to note that their are varying reports of what Davis had in his possession (photos here) at the time he was arrested after shooting dead two Pakistanis on the streets of Lahore on January 27. Varying reports mention a GPS tracker, a GPS navigation system or a phone tracker, along with a telescope and digital cameras said to have photos of “sensitive” locations. In a very interesting development, we learn from multiple sources that on Thursday Pakistan successfully test-fired its Hatf VII cruise missile, which it also calls “Babur”. When the Express Tribune first reported that Davis’ victims were from the intelligence community (which ISI has since denied and threatened the paper with legal action), the Washington Post followed up by mentioning that Davis was trailed and confronted because he had “crossed a red line“. Was gathering information on the impending test firing of the Babur missile that red line?
Pakistan has a history of developing missiles intended to be used with their nuclear weapons. This report (caution, it is old and dates from 1999 and quotes material from the Rumsfeld Commision) is interesting for where it states that M-11 missiles from China were seen:
The Rumsfeld Commission confirmed that complete M-11 missiles were sent to Pakistan from China. Pakistan has reportedly received more than 30 M-11s, which have been observed in boxes at Pakistan’s Sargodha Air Force Base west of Lahore. Intelligence officials believe Chinese M11s have probably been in Pakistan since November 1992, when China was “reconsidering” its stance on missile exports after the sale of U.S. F-16 aircraft to Taiwan. Since then, Pakistan has been constructing maintenance facilities, launchers and storage sheds for the missiles, all with Chinese help. China and Pakistan deny these reports.
Pakistan calls the M-11 the Hatf-III. The missile has a range of more than 300 km and a payload of 500 kg. It is a two-stage, solid-propelled missile capable of carrying nuclear warheads. The missile was reportedly test-fired in July 1997.
Of importance is the fact that the missiles were said to be at an air base west of Lahore. Now for the description of the sensitive photos Davis took:
“During the course of investigation, police retrieved photographs of some sensitive areas and defence installations from Davis’ camera,” a source told The Express Tribune requesting anonymity. “Photos of the strategic Balahisar Fort, the headquarters of the paramilitary Frontier Corps in Peshawar and of Pakistan Army’s bunkers on the Eastern border with India were found in the camera,” the source added.
So, just a few weeks after Davis may have provoked Pakistan intelligence into a confrontation with him, perhaps over sensitive photos he may have been observed taking in the Lahore area, Pakistan test-fires a missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead:
Pakistan Thursday successfully tested a nuclear-capable cruise missile with a range of up to 600 km, a military official said.
The Hatf-VII missile, also called Babur after the 16th-century Muslim ruler who founded the Mughal Empire, was fired from an undisclosed location, said Major General Athar Abbas, a military spokesman.
This story goes on to mention that the nuclear-capable Hatf V, with a range of 1300 km was tested in December. And the story points out that most of Pakistan’s missiles “are deployed toward India”, which means that the Lahore area, on the Indian border, is a likely site.
It will be very interesting to see if the US comments on the test-firing.



22 Comments

Jim
Have you mapped out the committees represented by the CODELs?
I was curious why Bud McKeon went, but if it’s missiles, it’d make more sense. I was originally thinking Reyes as HPSCI, but he’s also on HASC.
The second committee was definitely House Armed Services, but I think they were there so that McKeon could deliver the direct threat that the House could cut off the billions in military funding for Pakistan if Davis isn’t released.
Issa’s group was initially billed as a trip for trade, but the description from the Pakistani press that I quoted in that post described two aides from Issa’s Oversight Committee, but also the Chief Counsel for the majortiy.
Jim,
Interesting theory you’ve come up with. I’ve been wondering why members of congressional committees have been traveling to Pakistan and meeting with members of the Pakistan government. I can’t think of another time when that has happened. Usually the State Department handles negotiations like this and we the people never hear about it. If that doesn’t work, then an ex-president or significant public figure is enlisted to assist. In the Davis case, however, House Republicans jumped on this early and that constitutes a bunch of bright colored warning flags all by itself.
My conclusion: Whatever happened was extremely important to both countries. Pakistan appears determined to publicize and make an issue out of whatever Davis was up to and the U.S. doesn’t want that to happen.
I should have added that those photographs of the items that Davis had in his possession indicate he was a spy and not a diplomat. I wonder why he killed the two ISI agents but failed to get away.
Thanks Jim for keeping us up on this.
Yep, Thanks Jim for the update.
Let me remind you that when Loo Hoo and I interviewed Issa’s Deputy Staff Boot Licker, in response to CHS encouraging us to speak to representatives, this elitist wannabe answered my question of Why is doing this? with, He’s just another bored millionaire. So, no surprise, really. It’s what it’s all about. Not ALL of them, but just most. I think.
ISI has been independent of the Army for some time – and the Army has been independent of the gov like forever.
Indeed ISI works more closely with al-Qaeda (warning them of the Clinton attack a few hours before it was to take place) and the Taliban (recall the recent coming out of the hills and taking territory closer and closer to the capital (within 60 miles)) than they do with the US.
Indeed the $20 billion “Atoms for Peace” money that Ike had the CIA give to Pakistan via under-Sec of Commerce General Olmstead – as told to me by Olmstead – financed – and along with our technical help – built the Pak first atom bomb. The help from China was well after this. We gave them the bomb because the CIA wanted a blocker to the Indian atom bomb as India was seen as more pro-Russian because the refused to be 100 percent pro-American.
Now that CIA decision has come back to bite us.
Now a spy who is taking land photos must mean those “secret” west coast spy sat launches a few months back must have not gone well – of course we did use a contractor this time as per the GOP belief system about government workers Guess it must be time to give them another contract.
But for ISI to attack him over the photo means ISI is at war with the US – which brings us back to al-Qaeda, doesn’t it?
…Pakistan test-fires a missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead…
F*ck me…! We’re ungodly obsessed with Iran, and, meanwhile, Pakistan has nukes and now the ability to deliver them…! Wtf…! *gah*
There are way too many double standards going on. By that I mean we had sanctions against both India and Pakistan before the Bush regime stepped in and went to war with Afghanistan’s Al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden. The early line in the sand was drawn when Bush said you are either with us or against us. That put Bush’s eventual bosom buddy Pervez Musharraf on the spot so he decided, “Uh, I guess I’ve got a choice. Go along with Bush or get bombed.”
When Osama bin Laden escaped into the mountains of Tora Bora Bush lost interest in the Afghanistan war, eventually Musharraf went into exile in England and the current Pakistan head, President Asif Ali Zardari, is seen as weak and ineffective while that country’s military generals are the ones really in charge.
So, here we are demanding that Iran abandon their nuclear programs while condoning Israel’s, worried over Pakistan’s nuclear build-up but recently the U.S. sold both India and Pakistan modern aircraft and sophisticated weapons.
The fact is, Pakistan is far more dangerous than any country in the Middle East including Egypt. But, none of this has anything to do with supporting civil rights and liberties since Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak has been a dictator for 30 years enjoying U.S. aid and support under both Democrat and Republican presidents.
Who do we really support in the Middle East, the opium-infested, corrupt Hamid Karzai-run Afghanistan, the increasingly corrupt and Iran-friendly Shiite Nouri Al Maliki Iraq, India in their ongoing squabble between Pakistan over who controls Kashmir, Saudi Arabia whose country provided 15 of the 19 hijacker-bombers of the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on September 11? Hey, we need the oil.
When Egypt is yesterday’s news will we still care who is in charge of that country? Or will we obsess over whether Lindsey Lohan goes to jail and will Sarah Palin go postal over Rick Santorum?
Coming soon to The View: Hosni Mubarak explains all. Or will Oprah get him first? Oh, the humanity!
I also wonder a bit about whether he was checking out info re: their new nuclear reactor:
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/Pak-builds-new-reactor-to-add-more-bombs-to-N-kitty/articleshow/7472901.cms
Khushab, Pakistan isn’t that far from Lahore and the fact that this info is coming out now and is being sourced to American experts makes it seem possible and it could be a combo.
And this whole thing has Obama (who hasn’t been doing much about the Iranian hitchhikers by comparison) so up in arms he has nis Nat Sec advisor delivering threats
http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/obama-advisor-delivered-presidential-threat-pakistan-detained-american/story?id=12885558
I imagine that it is not important now, but might in the future be relevant, that such a missile could reach Tel Aviv. Just speculating. Lot’s of stuff to keep one up at night.
Thanks, Mary. That makes lots of sense.
Isn’t it sad when our ODNI says “We’re not Clairvoyant”…?
This is very interesting, and I’d love to talk about this more after Raymond is freed.
Mr. Davis has been remanded in judicial custody for 14 days. The next hearing will be on February 25.
Most of the time was taken up by the defence lawyer on the issue of immunity. The judge said that the issue of immunity had been taken up by a higher court.
Mr. Davis was now being sent to the high-security Kot Lakhpat jail in the eastern city.
Updated:
Before Kot Lakhpat jail, Mr. Davis is being held at a police training center in Lahore under a kind of house arrest, where he is isolated from Pakistani prisoners, according to a senior Pakistani police investigator.
Dr. Fahhar-u-Zamana, who conducted the post-mortem examination, said one victim, Faizan Haider, had five bullets in his body, including two in his back. The other victim, Muhammad Fahim, had four bullets in his body, including one in his brain and one in his back.
There is no excuses for shots in the back since a passager is sitting on the back of the motorcycle and they can pointing a gun behind their back at Mr. Davis. Just like the movies of cowboy is riding a horse is shooting behind their back, right?
The Lahore police said Mr. Haider and Mr. Fahim were armed and carrying stolen cellphones when they were shot.
Mr. Davis arrived in Pakistan in late (October) 2009, according to his visa application from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. That document described his rank as “administrative and technical staff.”
His first assignment was apparently in Peshawar, a city on the edge of the tribal areas. A Pakistani who worked in the house where Mr. Davis stayed remembered him as a generous tipper who left several hundred dollars for each of the staff members when he left last year.
Last I looked, Pakistan fights against “official” US review of its many atomic facilities – be they reactors for “peaceful” purposes, or missile delivery systems – indeed we officially do not know the location of some facilities we know to exist – I will let others work on the logic of that last one.
I have given up on trying to find logic in the CIA’s master plan, concluding there was no master plan and that indeed areas inside work against other areas at will, but noting that the CIA is a government independent in everything but doing its own tax collections.
Iran went underground for its latest atomic work so as to avoid the sat photo taking- and I believe Pakistan has done the same -so a guy with a camera seems so James Bond 1960 that it does not compute.
But I am retired – back to breakfast.
“Mr. Davis was now being sent to the high-security Kot Lakhpat jail in the eastern city.”
probably a fine place.
I hope the USA is keeping track of nuclear weapons in Pakistan. I hope they know where these things are at all times. I hope they have a foolproof method of going in and permanently disabling/dismantling them.
talk about insanity.
the number one immediate threat to life on the planet. Nuclear weapons.
I guess we’ll never know, but I have read that the CIA didn’t help Khan/Pakistan get nuclear weapons, but knew about the effort, and did nothing to stop it, when it might have been able to do so. I think the technology was Danish/German. Maybe.
I wonder what kind of greeting “Mr. Davis” will get if and when he returns to the USA.
There is no report or witness testimony that says the two attackers stayed on the motorcycle when the attack commenced. Shooting an individual in the back during a firefight, even when it is up close, is not uncommon. Most people instinctively turn their back toward danger, and this only requires a fraction of a second. This can also occur while the assailant is returning fire toward the defender. Many individuals who are committing crimes and are fired upon will turn to run while in a semi-twisted posture in order to continue firing on the defender. This causes bullets fired from the defenders gun, if the defender is firing in a sufficiently rapid manner, to strike the attacker in the front, side, and back, even while the crook is falling to the ground.
This is how the two cowards that decided to attack a man ended up getting shot in the back.
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