I am the Afghanistan Blogging Fellow for Brave New Foundation. You can read my work on Firedoglake or at Rethink Afghanistan. The views expressed below are my own.
Something very interesting has been happening with conservatives lately. They’re turning against the war in Afghanistan.
Sure, the majority of Americans have been opposed to the war for some time now, predominantly made up of Democrats and progressives. But there was always that nagging little problem of the Republican base, specifically their ferocious pro-war attitude.
They carry a lot of weight in the public discourse, so their powerful vocal support for the war would often drown out the (vastly more popular) critical voices. But not anymore.
Dan Froomkin reports:
A prominent conservative thinker is calling on Republicans to begin a serious debate about the war in Afghanistan, its costs and what Ronald Reagan would do in the same circumstances.
And while Grover Norquist stopped short of personally calling for a rapid withdrawal, he made it clear Tuesday night that he thinks an honest conversation on the right would inevitably lead to that conclusion.
[...]
Norquist said the question for those who want to reduce government spending is this: “If you don’t take $10 billion out of the occupation of Afghanistan, you’re going to take it out where?”
He said the debate about the war in Afghanistan should include discussion “about the vast expenditures of cash, the vast expenditures of other people lives, and the opportunity cost” of money and effort that could be expended elsewhere.
“It seems to me that it has been more expensive than not. And it has made America weaker than otherwise,” he said.
This was prompted by a survey conducted by the Afghanistan Study Group, which found that conservatives, including self-described “Tea Party Supporters”, are well on the path to opposing the war outright:
Conservatives and Tea Party supporters are worried about the costs of the war in Afghanistan. 71% of conservatives overall, and 67% of conservative Tea Party supporters, indicate worry that the costs will make it more difficult for the United States to reduce the deficit this year and balance the federal budget by the end of this decade. Significant percentages of conservative men (67%) and women (75%) indicate concern about the costs of the war as do conservatives in all age groups. Those in active duty military or veteran households are as worried about the costs of the war (69%) as those in non-military households (72%). 61% of conservatives who believe the war has been worth fighting are worried about the current level of costs.
Two-thirds of conservatives support a reduction in troop levels in Afghanistan. When given a choice between three options, 66% believe we can either reduce the troop levels in Afghanistan, but continue to fight the war effectively (39%) or think we should leave Afghanistan all together, as soon as possible (27%). Just 24% of conservatives believe we should continue to provide the current level of troops to properly execute the war. 64% of Tea Party supporters think we should either reduce troop levels (37%) or leave Afghanistan (27%) while 28% support maintaining current troop levels. Among conservatives who don’t identify with the Tea Party movement, 70% want a reduction (43%) or elimination (27%) of troops while only 18% favoring continuation of the current level.
This is all great, but we shouldn’t get too excited or oversell it. It’s not like Medea Benjamin is about to get her own show on FOX News anytime soon.
But what this shows us is, much like the Democratic base and the public at large, conservatives are starting to add up the facts and are coming to the same conclusion: we’ve got to get out of Afghanistan.
Of course, not everyone in the conservative movement is happy about this. Some of them are looking around and realizing they’re the only ones left who still think we have infinite soldiers and money to throw at whatever brown people we disagree with on any given day. And they’re losing their sh*t about it.
Here’s Max Boot:
If you want any further evidence of conservative support for the war effort in Afghanistan, look no further than Grover Norquist’s laughable effort to organize a “center-right” coalition against the war. Apparently, Grover wants to pull out of Afghanistan as a money-saving measure — a line of argument, which if followed to its natural conclusion, should also have led us to pull out of World War II while Hitler or Tojo were still in power or to end the Civil War while Jefferson Davis still ruled the South. Think of all the millions we could have saved by ending wars prematurely — quite a bonanza, especially if you ignore the rather substantial costs of defeat.
Got that? If you think even one war is too costly, you think all wars evar evar are too costly, especially the ones that Max Boot likes. If you want to end the war in Afghanistan, you want Hitler to win World War II!
He continues:
Norquist seems quite enamored of Ronald Reagan’s pullout from Lebanon after the suicide car-bombing of the Marine barracks in Beirut in 1983. Perhaps he is not aware that this incident was routinely cited — along with the U.S. pullout from Somalia in 1993 — by Osama bin Laden in the 1990s to justify his belief that the U.S. was a “weak horse” that could be attacked with impunity. Note to Grover: Even the great Ronald Reagan was not infallible.
So, basically Ronald Reagan caused 9/11, and that’s kinda Grover Norquist’s fault, y’know, if you think about it.
I told you guys, they’re losing their friggin’ minds.
Somehow I think the conservative base is pretty secure for the war effort, because it understands what Grover does not: that we are locked in an existential struggle against Islamist extremists and that defeat in Afghanistan would have severe consequences for us that make the cost of winning the war seem cheap by comparison. It’s the lack of liberal support for the war effort that we have to worry about.
“Somehow” Max Boot decides that facts aren’t real life because he believes the rest of the conservative movement agrees with his quasi-racist bullshit about existential struggles with Islam. Why? Because he said so. He’s Max Boot, who are you? That’s what I thought.
And how about that line about liberals being the real problem? Either that means 66% of Americans are far left liberals for opposing the war, or Max Boot just wants you to go pick a fight with someone on DailyKos instead of asking serious questions about the war in Afghanistan. I’m betting it’s the latter.
Add it up: If you’re a conservative who questions the war, you want the Japs to beat us in WWII, you caused 9/11, and you want to see the Constitution replaced with Sharia Law. Just like a Liberal! What’s next? First you end the war in Afghanistan, next thing you know, you’re gay marrying Mullah Omar in Red Square.
If that’s the best argument for war they’ve got, I think we’ll be seeing more and more conservatives turning against the war, and eventually, working with us to end it.



51 Comments

Americans have often gone to war in unlikely places. What interests could America possibly have in Lebanon or Somalia or Afghanistan except to end strife and to create peace? Americans are generous and we’ve gone to places where we got hurt and then had to retreat. Were we going to conquer Lebanon and kill all the jihadists? No. Were we going to take over Somalia for it’s riches? No. Are we in Afghanistan to steal all the poppies? No. We pulled back when our efforts were not well received and while it may have appeared to the ill-informed that we were weak or not unified in our purposes it was only a superficial appearance. Maybe that was one of the biggest mistakes bin Laden made. Maybe it was his misunderstanding about American foreign policy which led him to over-reach. America took several punches, including the U.S.S. Cole and just took it. We’re strong enough to hold back when it suits us. That doesn’t mean we’re weak or quite so ignorant as it may sometimes appear in the press.
We’re not perfect, but without America a lot more of the world would be shackled to Communism and desperate poverty and disease. Remember that aside from our polical & military there is an America which produces new technologies and medicines and an economic system which enables many people to live good lives.
How we get it done may be confusing to outsiders, but we’re still here, still kicking and getting the job done.
you forgot the snark tag.
Poppies? No
Uranium, Natural Gas, Copper, minerals, pipelines? YES!
ROTFLOL
I luvs me sum Merica, specially that part that sez there’s no profit init fer me. LOL.
Yep. I forgot all that MIA stuff in my list above as well. You think Obama might tell the repugs we just don’t have the money for any more warz? It would just break their little hearts.
Hans Gruber Norquist is really sticking his neck out this time. He’s taking a huge risk of life and limb going against the Military Industrial Complex. I am shocked that the bathtub drowner is taking such a tack. He seems to be biting the Cheney that feeds him.
It might help if Congress did it’s duty and said “only WE have the Constitutional right to declare war.” But they are so cowardly that they long ago handed that responsibility off.
“Goes” insane?
You seem to be lost. Redstate is located somewhere else on these tubes.
LOL! Especially when Cheney’s wee, tiny, little heart has been replaced by a machine to keep it alive.
Ummm…. Wow! Words just fail. Congratulations. I’m entirely speechless.
well, given that “conservatives” turning against obvious demonstrable ruinous awfulness is now our only hope, i’ll take this as a happy!
Yeah, he’s been there, done that already.
I don’t care how you slice it, just hearing a republican refer to what’s going on in Afghanistan as “an occupation”, is a shocking piece of reality-speak. So is tying it to the deficit, which has been a total no-no, forever, now.
Are they going to try to make this “Obama’s war” in 2012? I mean, after two years, in large measure, it is, but I don’t know how far any of them can go as the anti-war party.
I will too. You have to gird your loins for the oncoming onslaught of Dems not being able to cut the war though. It is okay to put a stop under Obama, but under Bush, OH HELL NO!
For ages and ages.
The Republicans don’t seem to pay any more attention to the people than the Dems do so I’ll wait and see how much good this does.
The MIC is not going to take this lying down. Dyncorp, Halliburton, GE, et al, will surely dig in their heels and raise the stakes.
Taxpayer largesse are belong to the MIC.
OK, so maybe he’s been insane for a while now. Somebody get him another iced latte! ;)
I’m not convinced this has anything to do with Afghanistan except in the context that we are going to have to disengage there to go to war with Iran.
I think you are onto something. They are going to pin the whole goddamn fiasco on Mr. Stupid Bipartisan.
I think they will line up fine with the repugs on it. Remember, they will do anything to make Obama small. If they portray it as he is no commander and can’t cut the mustard they will run him down the path of a yellow belly. It’s all political gaming.
Eww. Now that’s insane. :)
Could be. Another valid point. They do want to create havoc in the ME and they do lick their chops over Iran.
tanbark, they twisted the recession around to be the fault of Obama and the Dems, as well as the bailouts for the banks. They will definitely game the war on him. M. McConnell is probably falling all over himself at this moment trying to get the talking points right.
You are Correct. Ol’ Yeller Nudge can’t wait to be tagged as a weak leader – incompetent CIC.
Norquist is pirouetting on the war so as to aid the Repug Party in an effort to pin the failed wars on Barack Hussein Bipartisan.
It’s the big enchilada as you might say.
What the corporate MSM, doesn’t want anyone to know, but it will be coming to light very soon, is the fact that they have loss control of the Tea Party Movement.
News Flash! the GOP just put their monsters in the house of representatives, the senate, etc.
Orange Man and Mitch McConnell are under the control of the Tea Party, the Tea Party is calling all the shots.
Sarah Palin video on the day of the memorial proves this point. Who is telling Sarah Palin what to do? Me thinks no one. No below avg. campaign manager or agent would allow Sarah to make such stupid moves.
If you listen closely to Sarah she will tell you, that the Blue Bloods like Barabara Bush have been kicked to the back of the GOP BUS.
Progressives set back and enjoy the show, we are all about to watch GOP gone WILD.
We are also about to see some out of this world KABUKI!
“ie the phony Dems led By Obama save Wall Street”
“ie the phony Dems led By OBAMA keep the Bush Wars going”
“ie the phony Dem Led by Obama keep the individual mandate alive”
“ie the phony Dem Leb by Obama make social security private”
the Tea Party and Left are going to be yelling at the same people in 2011,2012
DId you ever think you would see the day when the GOP wants to end wars, and the phony dems led by OBAMA wanting to continue the wars? :)
the GOP UP a Pandora Box of Hell!
play with fire long enough and it will burn you, your bankers, your war machine, your political party, your health insurance companies, me thinks a lot of blue blood GOPERS like Barbara Bush don’t drink Tea anymore.
That’s not at all what the polls are saying, the concerns are over cost, death toll, etc. Nothing about Obama.
However, even if it were true that this was all cynical politicking, I ask…so? We’re not suggesting continuing a brutal, ten year, trillion dollar war just because the Republicans hurt our feelings, are we?
Watch “Restrepo.” I bought the DVD and watched it through twice immediately, aghast. The futility. I recall thinking “we haven’t learned SHIT since ‘nam.”
We proudly and Manfully established a forward firebase “Restrepo” (named for a young troop killed very early on) in the Korengal Valley as a “middle finger salute” to the “Taliban.”
The killed 50 of us and wounded many more. Cats dressed in rags and toting relatively primitive weaponry (none of it airborne).
We then unceremoniously withdrew, still claiming it to have been a “success.”
Yeah, what’s left really is reconstruction and the drones in Pakistan. The MIC needs some more. As Margaret said above, they will focus on Iran. It will be a big shot of MIC needs.
Nobody here suggested that. Not at all. We are all happy to think the war in Afghanistan will end. WE WANT IT TO!
this is not your grand father or blue blood GOP any more!
Karl Rove and others open up a Pandora Box of Horror for the GOP.
the tea party is very nationalistic, anti empire, “Pat Buchanan”
the tea party is anti NAFTA, Free Trade, etc.
this is what happens when you open up Pandora Box
The way things are going, they will have plenty of business right here in the good old USA.
Peasant, I think all they can do is get him for staying, not for creating it.
And while Margaret has a point about them freeing up our military to help with an attack on Iran, no amount of troops will stop the blowback that will happen if one JDAM goes into Iran.
Something like 40% of the transported oil in the world goes through the Straits of Hormuz, and you can bet the Dow Jones (and that’s what the bet will be) that Teheran has some russian and Chinese war toys that will be at or near state-of-the-art. Plus, would anyone like to speculate what the Iraqi Shiites will do if we, or Israel, hit Iran? I don’t think they will restrict themselves to posturing.
You’re ignoring the most dangerous aspect of a war with Iran: Iran has had over twenty years to recover from the Iran-Iraq war. They have four times the area of Iraq and three times the population. We couldn’t beat Iraq into the type of submission that PNAC had in mind even though it went directly from the Iran-Iraq war into the Persian Gulf War 1, into a decade of sanctions and then into our illegal war with them. We can’t win a conventional war with Iran. Period. That won’t stop the MIC from trying though. They won’t care about the price of oil or the stock market because their shares will be doing just fine.
As a charter member of Tea Party Patriots, I say we go back to 9/11 and start over.
End the FED into the bargain.
Wish in one hand…
Anything that build a larger coalition against the war is okay by me.
Hmmm … Part of what would affected is the amazing, newly discovered archeological site of Jiroft (link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S31adtfu8Hw ) now considered to predate Mesopotamian society.
Conservatives are turning against the war because Obama is running it. Once Romney or Thune takes over they’ll be fine with it again.
I know some moderate conservatives whose opposition to the war in Afghanistan dates back to the Bush years and is based both on moral and fiscal concerns. Opposition to the war has been steadily building for years and was over 50% of the public when Bush was still president.
Correction: I did some research to verify my recollections. In July 2008, 51% of Americans said the war in Afghanistan was not going well, but a slight majority–again 51%–said the war was still worth fighting. It wasn’t until Obama escalated the war to no good effect and reports of Karzai’s corruption became widespread that a majority turned against the war. Still, I think you are exaggerating the degree to which people oppose the war just because Obama is the president. Remember that Republican politicians still overwhelmingly support the war.
I entered college in 1979 and considered myself a conservative. I cheered when Reagan entered office ‘cuz Jimmy Carter wuz a wimp, y’know? The joy Republicans took in canceling Midnight Basketball was a real turn-off and the wars in Central America convinced me that Reagan was evil, so I left college in 1982 as a lefty radical (Never did go back to being a conservative, even though I did nine years in the Navy).
In 1983, I didn’t disagree with Reagan leaving Lebanon at all. It looked to me like a hopeless quagmire with very unclear objectives. Would America have done better by staying? Not sure how. Looked to me then and still looks to me now that it just would have been a huge drain on our resources and with no clear end-game. Kinda like Afghanistan today, it just looked like a no-win situation better abandoned than continued.
It’s the end of days. I agree with Grover Norquist.
From what I’ve been reading, I don’t think they’re trying to make it Obama’s war. I think they’re more interested in the cost and in their views are strictly anti-interventionist. Go to Justin Raimondo’s piece “The Tea Party, Foreign Policy, and the Politics of Real Change.”
http://original.antiwar.com/justin/2011/01/11/the-tea-party-foreign-policy-and-the-politics-of-real-change/
Raimondo slaps liberals around a little for their condescending attitude (and I’d say rightly so), but there is much to think about. Worth a read.
You have to remember that Boot is fighting for Israel – not America – as is jen Rubin, Bill Kristol – Norm Podfurious – ect, ect, ect…
bin Laden went of Internet video the day Obama first announced his intention to close Guantanamo. to announce a former Cole bombing terrorist was the head of a new group division al Qaeda of Yemen and Saudi Arabia. Image if Obama had been involved in releasing someone from abu Ghraib, who bin Laden demanded at knifepoint to claim to be an al Qeada leader. Nick Berg was beheaded as Majority Leader Bill Frist was giving a grim report on additional Abu Ghraib photo’s Congress privately viewed and was about to call for bipartisan detention reform.
Bin Laden is determined to bankrupt the US and we can’t do anything about it without realizing the extent he is determined to do it,
http://www.phillyimc.org/en/blaming-al-qaeda-more-doesnt-mean-more-war
How we get it done may be confusing to outsiders, but we’re still here, still killing and getting the job done.
Fixed it for you, those funny two letters mean the same thing don’t they?