In the big budget fight going on right now in Congress, the Tea Party conservatives rightly point out that $61 Billion in spending cuts is just a drop in the bucket compared to the $1.6 Trillion predicted deficit, and they react with a great deal of moral fervor to the suggestion that they ought to compromise on $33 Billion in cuts in order to avoid shutting down the Government. That moral fervor sounds perfectly reasonable to me as long as one agrees that Government spending causes inflation, that we now have a huge deficit, debt problem in the United States that we must solve, or face national insolvency in the not too distant future, and also if the people afire with moral fervor would also apply that to the issue of the wealthy paying their fair share of taxes.
Neo-liberal believers in the power of the bond markets, the idea that Government money must come from taxing or borrowing, and the need for Government to avoid exploding interest rates on the national debt, can try to oppose tea-partiers by saying that it’s better economics not to cut public spending while unemployment is as high as it is right now; but when you agree with the tea party that we have a long-term deficit/debt problem that can destroy the credit of the United States and its access to the bond markets, you’re then on very thin ice, when you oppose this “small down payment” on coping with a very serious problem that both you and the tea party agree we have.
So, when you’re very committed to austerity to solve the long-term problem, are the neo-liberal deficit doves, all you can do in opposition to the goal of drastically cutting Government sending over a period of years, is to argue about the details of discretionary spending cuts, and to find a place to compromise, rather than simply saying that the current tea party campaign to cut deficit spending is just silly, because there is no deficit/debt problem, and so there is no economic need to cut any Government program whose outcomes are accomplishing public purposes.
A big, big advantage of adopting the MMT approach to economics, is that it provides a political basis for going straight at the tea partiers, Hooverites, Peterson cohorts, and deficit hawks. Michelle Bachmann and Mike Pence may stand up in front of a pitiful tea party rally of 100 people in Washington, DC and thunder about how the United States is about to fall off a fiscal cliff and ruin the lives of our children and grandchildren by imposing an intolerable of burden of debt of $45,000 on each of them; and that to forestall that catastrophe, the Government has to stop spending money we don’t have. But an MMT-informed politician can just come right back and say:
I hate to have to tell you this, but you folks don’t have the slightest idea of what you’re talking about. Where do you think money comes from? It comes from the Federal Government. The Federal Government has the constitutional authority to supply as much money to the private sector as is necessary to see to it that our economy is performing well. The Federal Government cannot run out of money unless silly Congressmen become powerful enough to prevent the Government from spending. Then and only then will we see the financial collapse you tea partiers are afraid of.
If the American public listens to your insanity, and the Government does what you want it to do to avoid a financial crisis, that very thing will cause what you fear most – a collapse in the value of the American currency to happen.
So, I, as someone who does understand that the Government is the source of all American Dollars, and always has the capability to create more simply by spending, hereby pledge that I will not vote for one $1 Dollar in spending cuts to programs on grounds that there is a Government deficit, or that the national debt is something we cannot afford. Since the Government can always add money to the private sector by spending, if it chooses to do so, these are nonsense reasons to vote for cuts, and I was not elected to compromise with, or vote for, nonsense. And I will not allow you to continue to hold the voters I represent hostage to your idiocy and inability to understand our fiat currency system and our national monetary sovereignty.
On the other hand, I will be happy to vote for eliminating programs that worsen the condition of the American people, or that kill people for no reason, or that loot the Treasury for the benefit of a few wealthy people. So, if you tea partiers want to cut out some of those programs, I’ll vote with you.
But otherwise, I’ll vote no on your proposals, and if you and your Republican colleagues continue to try to cut programs that I think a majority of the American public want, and this results in the shutdown of our American Government, then f__k the Republican Party, because it will be on you. You will suffer the wrath of the American people in 2012, and no amount of money or propaganda will protect you from it. You’ll be lucky to escape the fate of the Whigs. Oops! I’ll guess you’ll have to explain who the Whigs were to Bachmann, Palin, and the other tea partiers.
Yes, Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) can be a powerful political weapon against tea partiers, Republicans and deficit hawks in both parties, and also deficit dove Democrats who think the Government can become insolvent. This isn’t a reason to believe in MMT. The only reason to believe in it is if you think it’s the best approach to economics available today.
But, conversely, it is a reason to question other economic approaches. It is a reason to question neo-liberalism. It is a reason to refuse to accept it without thoroughly testing it against the evidence and alternative approaches to neo-liberal economics like MMT. And, if you are a progressive, it also is a reason to take the trouble to learn MMT, and to decide for yourself how it compares to other approaches to economics.
In some of the replies to recent posts criticizing Paul Krugman’s remarks on MMT, some have asked what all the fuss is about. They’ve pointed to the areas of agreement between MMT and Krugman’s brand of deficit dove economics, and have noted that both sides seem to agree that more economic stimulus is necessary now and that measures to contain inflation may be needed later.
This is true, but as I’ve pointed out in previous posts and comments I’ve made on this subject, the fuss is about the difference in the world views of deficit hawks and deficit owls, their analyses of whether a risk of insolvency exists, and whether there’s a long-term deficit/debt problem; what this difference means in terms of how fiscal policy should be managed by the Federal Government, what fiscal sustainability means, what fiscal responsibility means, and also, as I’ve emphasized here the content of political communications and appeals that can be used to advocate for progressive economic policies.
Deficit dovism is all about defense against the modern know-nothings and Hooverites. Deficit owlism or MMT is all about a political offense against them relating to what we ought to about the economy and America’s future.
As a real progressive, I’ll take a good offense, anytime! How about you?
(Cross-posted at All Life Is Problem Solving and Fiscal Sustainability).



15 Comments

Thanks letsgetitdone,
keep at it! I still see plenty of well meaning people buying into the idea that the federal government is running out of money.
Things like this:
“I don’t understand why Little Melting Jeff is so mean to our government. His company made $14 billion last year, but they won’t give any of that money to the government. Companies like Little Melting Jeff’s are a big reason why our government doesn’t have enough money.”
http://firedoglake.com/2011/03/31/late-night-pouting-baby-doesnt-understand-why-little-melting-jeff-wont-let-ge-pay-taxes/
Granted, his focus is on corporations not paying taxes but nonsensical statements like “our government doesn’t have enough money” make it into the work.
The way I look at it, if corporate tax havens are allowed to flourish, our economy will suffer badly regardless of good/bad monetary policy. Thus it’s practically a seperate issue entirely.
And anyway, using budget cuts to somehow compensate for corporate tax dodges is nonsensical. It’s a non-solution.
Unless someone can explain to me how firing teachers somehow balances out against GE profits being stashed away offshore. Firing the teachers simply doesn’t fix the harm caused by a GE tax dodge.
this is great! recc’d
We do need to stop the corporate tax dodges as a matter of equity. It undermines citizenship when people (artificial or natrual) don’y pay their fair share of taxes. It’s not about revenue. It’s about justice. I don’t see how society can avoid the question of justice forever. At some point a concern for it will come home to roost, and people will have to pay a bill greater than just mere money.
Glad you like it, ksp. Thanks
Yes, there are many reasons to stop the corporate tax dodge.
Some of the tax dodges are probably illegal but sadly, much of the injustice has been made legal. We’ve got a lot of broken laws to fix.
But will firing teachers and/or cutting their salaries somehow fix the damage caused by corporate tax dodgers? As far as I can tell, it would merely increase the problems in our money system.
What are the downsides to MMT? What happens if MMT supplies to much money to the private sector? How do you know what the right amount is?
Isn’t this the same problem we have with the Federal Reserve right now? Isn’t this what we have already been doing?
No. If Government spend beyond the capacity of the economy to produce goods and services, we will get demand-pull inflation. But this is not MMT. In fact, MMT says that when the ooutcome of deficit spending is likely to cause inflation, that’s when you’ll want to cool the economy by increasing taxes.
What the Fed is doing now has nothing to do with MMT. The Fed is just swapping cash reserves for securities. That kind of trade is probably deflationary rather that inflationary. In any case, however, it doesn’t add to private sector net financial assets because it is not deficit spending. Only deficit spending adds to net financial assets in the private sector.
The Accounting identity is:
Private Sector Balance + Government Balance = Current Account Balance
For may years now, the current account balance of the US has been negative; so if we want the private sector balance to be positive (i.e. if want don’t want the private sector to go further into debt), then there has to be a negative balance, i.e. a Government deficit. If we insist on forcing a positive balance we will only succeed in creating a double-dip recession, or a new debt bubble in the private sector.
It’s important to note that more deficit spending desn’t necessarily mean more public debt. If we stopped debt issuance and just let the Government spend, we’d pay off most of the debt in just a few years. See here: http://my.firedoglake.com/letsgetitdone/2011/03/27/is-the-debt-held-by-the-public-really-debt/ and here: http://my.firedoglake.com/letsgetitdone/2011/03/23/once-again-the-national-debt-is-congresss-fault/
Btw, Randy Wray has a new piece making clear that Government deficits are necessary for private savings here:
http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2011/04/perfect-fiscal-storm-causes.html
I need to devote some study to this.
Initial feelings:
1. Flexible system
2. Sounds great on paper but just like a gold standard politicians don’t allow technocratic control and discipline.
3. Relies upon technocratic control. (Is it good for decisions like this to be placed in the hands of elites?)
I favor a hard currency but for the same above reasons of political influence it is impossible.
MMT sounds like it an extension of the current system under smarter “total control” management. I am not knocking it. That is just what it sounds like.
Moving on to the implementation stage would be the hardest part. You think people are pissed about mandated health care. Explain this to them. If they only knew the current system is highly manipulated as well; for the good of the banks.
The tax argument wrt MMT is fairly subtle. Once someone accepts that federal taxes don’t “fund” the government and that deficits don’t (necessarily) matter it is easy to then say that it follows that taxation is unnecessary.
The answer is the government must have the power to impose obligations on the citizenry in order to direct the flow of goods and services to the public sector when it needs to. So government spending is founded on the power to tax but not on tax receipts per se. It’s not about collecting x number of dollars from Joe taxpayer but the fact that he has obligations to fulfill that must be paid in dollars and is thus compelled to work and be productive.
The problem with the rich is that they try to insulate themselves as much as possible to being subject to to the same oligation as the average worker and in fact do everything they can to manipulate the system so that goods and services flow to them and away from the public sector.
Don’t assume people aren’t reading, Lets. Many like myself may just be economic newbies. I’ve even read the links, and a couple guest posts at Yves Smiths’ place, and the comments…and can’t quite get it all. But I’ll keep on reading.
Thanks for all the trouble you go to, also, to edjycate us. ;o)
It does take time and some investment.
On the technocratic aspect, I don’t think it’s any more so than the practice of economics and policy analysis in Washington right now.
As I stated above, I think that MMT frees up progressives to go after the programs they think will do some good without having tom worry about someone raising the question of whether we can afford it or not.
In an important way that makes things less technocratic because we can debate once again what is worth doing.
Thanks for the comment, Wendy. I really appreciate it. I’ll keep pushing along, with the other MMT people, and do my best to get people to take a good look at the approach.
Or the less well-off in the private sector. Very good points wilvick. Thanks.
cap, you know I’m completely against firing teachers, or Cops, or Firemen, or other public employees. I’m all for getting back all that bonus money that went to people in companies we bailed out and I’m all for orange jump suits for the banksters and the fraudsters. MMT can’t work without a foundation of justice. That’s why Randy Wray and Bill Black are co-authors. Justice is paramount for both.