Six months ago today, a titanic earthquake rocked Japan and launched a catastrophic tsunami that topped 130 feet in some places. 20,000 people died or are still missing (16,000 dead, 4,000 missing). Today, while Americans mourn the deaths of 3,000 killed in the 9/11 attacks, the people of Japan are still struggling to comprehend the greatest challenge to their nation since World War II. It will take years to recover. Take a minute to look through this moving slide show.
If Eric Cantor or Ron Paul were Japanese politicians, would they really be able to yell “F*ck you!” to the people they were elected to represent? I can’t help but call out these two particularly callous bastards on a day like today.
The earthquake was one of the five largest in recorded history, but the damage it caused was small compared to the destruction wrought by the tsunami. Whole towns were washed away with little or no warning, and one nuclear power station in particular – Fukushima I — was undone by the flood. In time, we will come to understand why other nuclear power stations in the area made it through the catastrophic natural disasters without melting down. In time, we will also come to understand the response of TEPCO and Japanese government to warnings about the vulnerability of Fukushima I to tsunamis in particular and to poor management in general. A longer time will pass before we understand the response of TEPCO, Japan and the world to the accidents themselves. Today is a day to remember the lives lost six months ago and perhaps also to write down what meaning there seems to be today.
From my perspective, the chain of meltdowns in an advanced industrial country, the widespread release of radiation, the evacuations completed (and the evacuations still to come) together portend big changes in how humanity is responding to the combined challenges of increasing energy demand, anthropogenic global warming, rapacious capitalism, and weak governments with powerful militaries.
Italy, Germany and Japan have each forsworn nuclear power in the last six months. Germany will run its existing plants for a few years and then decommission them without replacing them. Italians voted overwhelmingly never to allow nuclear power in Italy. The new government of Japan is on a path like that of Germany, committing to building no new nuclear power plants but running existing plants that are deemed safe by local governments. One year ago, 30% of Japan’s energy supply was nuclear. With only 18 of 54 nuclear power plants running today, and with several fossil fuel plants also damaged by the earthquake, Japan is operating with an astonishing 40% reduction in energy generation capacity. Great sacrifices are being made every day by the people of Japan as a result. How will this enormous societal tension be resolved? Will the government take responsibility for the safety of its people when the threats emanate from the fat cats that pay them to look the other way?
The chain of events unfolding in Japan since March 11, 2011, has all the drama and elements of the great challenges facing humanity globally. I’m watching to see what happens when the whole mess is supercharged by a major nuclear accident.
Responsibility is about who cleans up the mess, not about who takes the risk. Risk-takers today are celebrated and rewarded for their follies even after calamities they contributed to or caused outright occur. How can it be that TEPCO still exists? Why shouldn’t their shareholders have been wiped out?How can it be that Goldman Sachs still has its corporate charter? What about AIG? The great oil companies are not only thriving after Deepwater Horizon, they are thriving while “paying” negative taxes in the US, offshoring their profits, and cutting jobs in America.
Most national politicians today are weak-minded and without morals. In the face of unprecedented failures around the globe, politicians assign responsibility to the weak and the unfortunate [Evacuating cities! Cutting the safety net in the middle of a global depression!? Recruiting the poor to fight stupid wars that make us less secure?! Cutting veterans' benefits!? Austerity for the Spanish!?] while celebrating the Giants of Misery with ridiculous monikers like “job creators”. WTF? The Giants of Misery (aka MOTU) are obviously NOT creating jobs. They are common thieves and racists ["We'll create jobs when the president stops being black."] who need to grow up or go to jail.
Today is of course also a significant ten-year anniversary. The US responded to an attack by a small terrorist group headquartered in Afghanistan (and possibly also Pakistan at the time) by killing tens of thousands of innocent Iraqis, waging the longest (still running) war in US history, dropping freedom bombs from unmanned aircraft on weddings and warriors alike, and running roughshod over decades of established civil rights laws and crystal clear Geneva conventions. How can it be that Dick Cheney is not in jail? How can it be that Don Rumsfeld was on TV this morning instead of in a cell block? How did a fool like G W Bush ever even get to be President of the United States?
/rant



41 Comments

(((lobster!!))) reccd. Thank you for the perspective, and color me black helicopter but I think elections are rigged. If you do not have a lot of money, it matters not in the least who you vote to represent you.
Astonishing, spreading and totally correct. Best thing I’ve read in weeks. Highly recommended, and thanks again for maintaining the vigil.
Righteous rant!
Recommended.
Thank you!
Recommended
From “Rebuilt Ground Zero Billed as National Symbol, But Costly Construction Projects Outsourced Overseas” (DemocracyNow.Org, Sept. 7, 2011):
Indian writer and activist Arundhati Roy has spared and spares no criticisms of Obama and the US and what they are doing to India, Pakistan and Afghanistan.
Thank you, lobster, for continuing to write about the tragedy in Japan. People have the attention spans of gnats and the MSM must drop big stories and move on to what they perceive as an even bigger story. I think Japan is a huge story and a lesson to us all. Again, thank you for your attention to it.
The FDL community is one that I value and to which I am happy to contribute in the small way that I can. Thanks, folks.
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What an amazing turnaround this is. Six months and one day ago, Japan was a country dedicated to nuclear power for the long term.
Many fear that the government story is still leaving out important details.
The appropriate time scale to think about the government’s release of key information (such as the degree of damage from the earthquake vs. the tsunami) is the time it takes to get old plants back on line. So far, none have been switched on. After the momentum has shifted back and the plants are coming back online, it wouldn’t be as damaging to admit to additional failures. Fait accompli, and all that.
Contamination NW of the power plant due to rain on March 15.
As was pointed out here at the Lake in real time, it was known that people should not be out in the rain around the time of a nuclear accident. What is odd about the report above is that the government did not warn people at that time to stay indoors or evacuate, depending on details.
I am still curious about the source of the plume that was rained out. There is a question of a second meltdown in reactor three, but this report talks about reactor two being the source. In the long term, this needs to be figured out.
Wow! Great post Lobster! Rec’D! Twice!
Think that’s the first time I’ve heard you speak to this topic sans the cold clear light of the evidentiary rules of science dictating the scope of your statements.
You were clearly speaking from the heart, and just as clearly you are pissed off. The truth will set ya free brother! Loved it.
Thanks again for the dedication to this topic; has made me a better informed citizen.
Anti-nuclear protest song produced by Rankin Taxi, considered one of the forefathers of hip-hop in Japan, and Dub Ainu Band:
“You Can’t See It, and You Can’t Smell It Either”
Greetings lobster, thank you.
Always happy to see your posts.
I have say that I think the ‘leadership’ of the world is insane and many of the rest of the population are getting there with them.
(((lobster!!))) reccd.
Since the accident at the Fukushima plant, this song has seen a come back since its initial release in the 1980s:
“Summertime Blues” – RC Succession
Obamanibly, Fool You Twice (FYT). FYT BACK!
Here’s a Japanese site with a time-lapse map;
http://ex-skf.blogspot.com/2011/08/map-of-cesium-137-deposition-across.html
Lobster,
Excellent post. Thank you.
And Bill Keller thinks the aftermath of 9/11, which is still being invented, was a mistake on par with taking someone else’s parking space, a matter of too much testosterone and a “natural”, inherent unwillingness of guys to stop acting stupid, apologize for their mistakes, accept the gravity of them, and clean up after themselves. Ordinarily, I’d recommend that the once intellectual Keller read Hannah Arendt, but he’s more committed to denial of the facts and his own part in them than Robert McNamara and Dick Cheney.
Thank dawG that’s a simulation versus a mapping of the actual field data which is one of the reasons UAVs (drones) were supposedly created in the first place (e.g. “NASA’s Global Hawk Pacific – GloPac UAV Atmospheric Research“)– not for bombing people.
Here’s a bit on Oregon’s shameful participation in the drone biz:
{ snip }
{ snip }
(excerpt from “Light During Wartime” (Wweek.Com, by Cory Pein, Sept. 7, 2011)
Heh, pretty funny post here.
He’s channelling Fred Hiatt of the WaPo:
http://firedoglake.com/2011/09/10/late-night-in-which-fred-hiatt-is-invited-to-preach-his-neocon-sermons-in-fallujah/
Thanks for the reminder/update. . . but ho-hum , I’ve got a football game to watch, while munching on my GE popcorn and sipping a beer. I need to be studying hard which Repub can best represent me . . . that’s a hard decision, so don’t want to rush it. I’ve got more than a year to study politics, and since the half-life of a nuclear accident is brief (hey, it’s call half-life for a reason, isn’t it?), why clutter my brain with this sort of trivia . . . I’m sure that like evolution, the “science” isn’t in, yet, on nuclear disasters.
Again, thanks for keeping those of us who are truly concerned about the planet . . . and its ability to sustain future generations . . . up-to-date.
Switzerland is also planning to phase out their nuclear power plants.
Fukushima is still releasing radiation and do we know how much of what has already been released? Just like the BP Gulf Gusher, Fukushima has disappeared from the news but the consequences will reverberate for decades.
We do not know, but the current estimates are in the range of 0.5-1 EBq in I-131 equivalent measure. That is a big number, but still considerably smaller than the amount released from Chernobyl high into the atmosphere.
There is known to be considerable uncertainty in the Fukushima numbers in particular because of the hard-to-quantify amount of radiation that was released (and continues to be released) into the ocean and into the local groundwater.
Also, there is no internationally agreed-upon standard for “scoring” the risk of radiation released into water in a nuclear accident, perhaps because “no one could have predicted that” would happen. What that means is that there will be an ongoing argument for the next several years about how severe this accident really was, because the harms from the releases that did not go into the atmosphere are even harder to quantify than the stuff that already generates controversy.
Reuters Reuters Top News
Japan city on border of nuclear no-go zone fights for survival reut.rs/nh3NJ6
1 minute ago
Twitter
Here is the link from Crane-Station in clickable form.
Lobster,
Many thanks! Good to hear from you again on this subject. I am dismayed by the dearth of ongoing Fukushima coverage in the prog-blogosphere.
Would you consider doing a WEEKLY FUKUSHIMA UPDATE, perhaps in collaboration with other FDL diarists who wrote about it regularly in the first couple of months? Y
Great post lobster! I heartily concur.
I will post more frequently, piehole. Gregg Levine’s posts are very good and when I see one of them up, I tend to lay back for a few days unless something startling has leaked out, or some new repercussion has become visible.
I am interested in what this means for Japan: the country, the people, their politics, and their economy, in part because I think that story will be replayed in some fashion all around the world. However, I find that I do not know enough of the non-technical material (Japanese politics and culture, especially) to get through to a day-to-day understanding. I’m left trying to discern what is happening on a month-to-month timescale.
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As interested as I am in the Fukushima accidents, the biggest disaster news of the last month has to be Paul and Cantor running their mouths about FEMA and helping one’s neighbors (or not). If the Democrats can’t run them out of office purely on that shocking lack of human compassion, then the Democratic Party should just fold up and go home.
How did Eric Cantor get away with saying he would deny authorizing emergency disaster relief funding a couple of weeks before Sept 11? How did Ron Paul not get his balls cut off and fed to him on TV for saying that there is no moral role for the federal government to help Americans in a major emergency?
Lobster, thanks for linking to that darkly amusing item.
I have been searching the internet, high and low since March 11th, and found the best sources for continually breaking Fukushima news to be two blogs that were also recently recommended by nuclear expert Arnie Gundersen of Fairewinds Associates:
~ EX-SKF. This former econo blog aggregates news and provides commentary on items from both English-language and Japanese print media and electronic sources, including press conferences and press releases from TEPCO and the government of Japan.
~ ENE News. This is an aggreator site (sans commentary), reportedly run by Stuart Smith who also runs Florida Oil Spill Law which has been operating since the onset of the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico last year.
I wish you would post more frequently, and, when I first read this reply and you said “I’ll post more frequently, piehole…” I thought you broke character, had a few belts and called someone a name!
But then I saw piehole’s comment:)
And, really, honestly, this isn’t me.
Lobster,
I respect your sense of urgency about what is happening politically in our own ‘homeland’ — and I sincerely appreciate all that you have to say on the domestic front.
However, with regard to the matter of Fukushima, you have a degree of expertise and unique qualifications that illuminate and elevate the debate in a way that comparatively few others can. Please know the extraordinary importance of what you and your cohort have contributed herein.
lobster -
one of the great things about some internet weblogs, FDL is one of these,
is that when a really important event happens, not the week-to-week stuff, not even the month-to-month stuff,
but something really extraordinary happens in the world,
then people who have knowledge that the rest of us don’t, begin to share their knowledge.
that is what happened in the extraordinarily disastrous event of the march earthquake and tsunami in japan.
extraordinarily disastrous AND, in hindsight, an extraordinarily important object lesson/warning to nuclear-power-using nations.
at fdl, LOBSTER was the knowledgeable expert who just showed up and who guided our commentary and our understanding of what might be happening at the reactors site in japan.
when i think of the power of the internet to inform those who desperately want to be informed,
i shall always remember your comments and, then, your posts here at FDL.
you were highly informed but extremely tolerant of those of us who were not, i.e., most of us.
further, your comments over time begin to elicit trust and comments from others with special knowledge of the events in japan, e.g., the wonderfully named japanese-speaking commenter “millie seivert”.
all in all, the fdl reporting, begun by scarecrow and other fdl regulars, and greatly augmented by your knowledge and that of some others,
stands today in my mind as the premier example of the extraordinary access that the internet and weblogs like fdl give to those experts whose knowledge would never see the light of day when filtered by the nytimes, abc, wspoop, nbc, faux news, etc.
your reporting/teaching were a landmark event in highly knowledgable internet coverage of disasters with a major technical component.
thank you for being the leader you were!!
amen
amen
and
well-said.
it’s nice to see a person with your highly-specialized knowledge who also has a political conscience and the nerve to speak out.
the north anna quake wasn’t that “big”,
but
as the u.s. geological survey guy said
“these rocks are ‘old and cold’ and they transmit earthquake movement a lot further than rocks in california.
I’m a member here at FDL for the same reason, orion. The assembled knowledge is fantastic and the experts that step out from time to time are terrific. I will never forget the Plame series led by Marcy, Jane and Christy, especially the live-blogging. Wow! That was really an amazing time here at FDL.
Six months ago, there were several of us posting on Fukushima, particularly in the comment threads. It was a very satisfying conversation to be a part of, in a very difficult time. I won’t take credit for their insights and breadth of knowledge, but I do thank you for your kind words.
It isn’t often that a physicist gets a chance to contribute as an expert. Unfortunately, it is usually something awful when the chance presents itself.
I’ve been pretty impressed with EX-SKF. I know less about ENE News, though I have chased down stories that I saw there first more than once.
If Eric Cantor or Ron Paul were Japanese politicians, would they really be able to yell “F*ck you!” to the people they were elected to represent?
No, Japanese politicians wouldn’t be able yell “F*ck you!” but they imply the same by speaking mostly only among themselves, except when campaigning, when they drive around in vans with loudspeakers and announce “We have a big problem. I will work very hard. Be kind to me.”
Hardly anyone here cares who the prime minister is unless he has nice hair, loves Elvis or has a wife who believes she has travelled to remote galaxies.
The politicians here have achieved what American politicians have long hoped for: the complete apathy of the electorate.
(I have been living in Sendai for about 20 years.)
“Lobster” for President!
You’ve won my vote.
Thank you for all your updates. Quite eye opening.
I remember those vans from when I lived there…28 years ago! I can’t believe that’s still going on. It seemed weird and anachronistic even then.