This is going to be a short post. I want to warn the public option advocates to beware of empty victories. If the Democrats had been serious about public insurance they would have at least entertained the idea of expanding the behemoth government administered health care program that is Medicare.

As I see it, the ground has shifted under the feet of PO advocates. What started out as reform with government involvement via a large public insurance program opened to all takers, has morphed into reform via a small federal regulatory role. The public option has been a useful distraction for Democrats who do not want the feds to intervene in health care via program. The 800 pound gorilla in the room no one talks about, including PO advocates, is Medicare. By keeping public option advocates distracted on passing a "public option", the Democrats have managed to completely change the primary method and underlying rallying call among their base for reform.

Obama said in his recent speech:

“To my progressive friends, I would remind you that for decades the driving force behind reform has been to end insurance company abuses and make coverage affordable to those without it,”

But that is not true. Nearly all public option advocates see a public insurance program open to all takers as a compromise on single payer. Polls consistently show that the vast majority of democrats support Medicare for All. The driving force behind reform for Democrats has long been government administered universal health care. By avoiding any discussion of single payer, or improved and enhanced Medicare for All, the Democrats have managed to completely alter the course of reform.

I think the hobbled public option will pass. Public option advocates will claim victory, but as they see the program unfold as a new and small safety net program within the larger reform package, with mandated private insurance, and a stronger, more entrenched medical industrial industry, I think that victory will feel hollow.

I would argue here is how the public option kabuki is being played:

1)Start out with reform as big government program for all takers, but leave the 800 pound gorilla(Improved and Enhanced Medicare for All) off the table.

2)Slowly morph big government program reform to small regulatory government role reform, while shrinking role of the public option.

3)Act as though you have dropped the public option so everyone clings desperately to it and forgets about the 800 pound gorilla.

4)Pass small regulatory role for feds with the hobbled PO so liberals will think they won.