• Arthur Fullerton commented on the blog post Occupy Wall Street and the Ghost of Democracy

    2011-10-15 06:20:39View | Delete

    Great Post.

    The big threat to representative democracy is not OWS and people protesting in the streets, but the organized forces of plutocracy that currently control both parties. The next six months will likely tell the tale. Will OWS shrivel away as the fall chill turns to winter cold? Or will the snows of winter be like Valley Forge and forge the beginnings of a new nation.

    The key for George Washington was drilling and preparation through the long cold bitter months. The key to civil rights protests was the months of preparation and training in nonviolent action. The same was true for Gandhi. In all three instances change took decades.

    This is not going to be either quick or easy.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post The Confidence Fairy and Faith Based Economics by Bill Egnor.

    2011-08-09 11:16:02View | Delete

    Certainty and confidence do matter in business, but not in the sense that Washington usually means. Do you notice how deregulation is never portrayed as increasing uncertainty? Yet a regulated industry is much more certain of what the rules it will be operating under will be. No, Washington wants to socialize the risk of losses [...]

  • Sorry, I am not offering investment advice. Just stating that the S&P downgrade has the effect of reducing the value of all the securities in a money market mutual funds portfolio — potentially by an amount larger than the pathetic yield on the paper at the same time it may trigger redemptions forcing them to sell securities at a loss and thereby reducing the net asset value of the portfolio below a dollar for dollar level. Remember what almost happened when L. Bros. went under? Several MMF threatened to break the buck. Treasuries and all debts tied to treasuries much bigger deal. Fed backstop will potentially be required to prevent this.

  • Because of S&P action, Money Markets may break the buck on Monday without Fed backstop. Basic savings account better choice for safety.

  • Arthur Fullerton wrote a new diary post: What Doesn’t Create Jobs

    2011-08-05 05:21:28View | Delete

    Two weeks ago I wrote ( What Happened to the Jobs? ) about where the economy lost jobs in the Great Recession showing that most of the jobs lost were in frontline non supervisory manufacturing, construction, or government. In this post I want to look at what doesn’t create jobs. There are lots of ideas floating around [...]

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post 1937 by bobschacht.

    2011-08-03 23:41:43View | Delete

    Oh and recommended, a good discussion to bring up, thanks for posting.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post 1937 by bobschacht.

    2011-08-03 23:30:56View | Delete

    My fear is that we aren’t in 1937, but 1931 — three years after the initial crash and teetering on the edge of a long downhill slide with no expansionary fiscal policy to stop the downdraft, but instead a locked in fiscal contraction of 1.8 to 2 percent to speed the decline. Last time (In [...]

  • Actually it may correlate with stock market returns which statistically are significantly higher (16.5%) under Democratic administrations than Republican ones. Pedro Santa-Clara and Rossen Valkanov published the results of their work in “The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market,” which was featured in The Journal of Finance in October of 2003. It makes sense that better economic conditions as represented by stock market returns would lead to lower suicide rates.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the blog post The Never-Ending Pivot Is a 360 Back to the Deficit

    2011-08-03 09:45:39View | Delete

    Of course, if the pain gets bad enough we can always turn to “The Leader” (whoever that might be at the moment) and abandon the whole idea of representative government — substituting a popularly based military dictatorship for the dysfunctional Congress. A cynic would almost think that was the point all along.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the blog post The Shame Sets In

    2011-08-03 08:56:53View | Delete

    Meanwhile, Congress is off on Summer vacation, inviting 74,000 workers on FAA contracts out to play without pay, Larry Summers plays cya, little Timmy is stuck in the well, and its time for another empty rhetorical pivot to jobs. Unemployment is on track to be above 9% on election day, but apparently the progressive base will turn out for the President because they have no where else to go (if they don’t turn out we can blame the loss on the left for staying home).

  • Arthur Fullerton wrote a new diary post: Without a Vision the People Perish

    2011-08-02 01:18:21View | Delete

    Thumbnail The wisdom of Proverbs 29:18 holds that without a vision the people perish, but happy is he who follows the law. When I was a child in 1st grade going to public school in a small town in rural southeast Arkansas, I got beat up nearly every day at recess by the older bigger kids [...]

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the blog post The Anarcho-Rightists

    2011-07-31 12:49:43View | Delete

    Another word for government is civilization. Anti-government equals anti-civilization. I’m sorry, but I happen to like clean hot and cold running water, sanitary sewer systems, safe food, safe streets, emergency responders, paved roads, secure ways to save, hospitals, schools, and the internet. I like the idea of living in a society where no one goes hungry, where no one sleeps in the street, where no one has to choose between paying for heat or paying for medicine. I prefer living in the 21st Century to the 18th Century and I don’t believe I am alone. Want to see a state where the people have thrown off the shackles of the government — go to Somalia.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post This is hilarious. (awkward silence on C-Span over SS) by athena1.

    2011-07-29 21:13:42View | Delete

    Beautiful. Math, on TV.

    Where X (SS income)is greater than Y (SS expense) = Z (egg on the reporter’s face)

    Recommended highly!

  • Arthur Fullerton wrote a new diary post: In God We Trust

    2011-07-29 20:21:52View | Delete

    Thumbnail In the United States our currency now carries the phrase “In God We Trust”. It wasn’t always so. The first time this phrase was placed on a coin of the US was in 1864 during the Civil War. The phrase was officially adopted in 1956 as the motto of the USA in our struggle with [...]

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post DADT: Are We There Yet? by Teddy Partridge.

    2011-07-22 14:58:13View | Delete

    All GLBT active service members need to listen to my friend Tom Carpenter and wait for final repeal before serving openly. I have a feeling this could still take months. Even though repeal has passed the Congress already, it wouldn’t shock me if the Republicans didn’t demand a halt to “study” the question till after [...]

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the blog post State of the Debt Ceiling Debate

    2011-07-22 08:07:36View | Delete

    A phony crisis cooked up to gut Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid…. and still President Obama runs unopposed in the primaries.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the blog post The Day Senate Democrats Got Angry

    2011-07-22 07:50:44View | Delete

    Until someone in the Senate steps up and challenges the President in the primaries, then he is free to continue treating them like mushrooms — keep ‘em in the dark and throw dung on ‘em.

    Nothing else really matters to the White House. Unless they have a primary opponent they really don’t care about the Democrats on the Hill or out in country. We must find an opponent to challenge him. Something always beats nothing and right now we have nothing so he runs unopposed.

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post What Happened to the Jobs? by Arthur Fullerton.

    2011-07-21 17:54:22View | Delete

    Thanks Larue I wasn’t aiming to let anyone off the hook or answer the who or why questions. My aim was to spell out where the job losses had come from and whether we could expect the economy to just naturally bounce back like it did in earlier recessions. Basically we lost jobs for three [...]

  • Arthur Fullerton commented on the diary post In Defense of My President by Brandon Duran.

    2011-07-21 17:11:23View | Delete

    Hi Brandon, Welcome to the Lake. I appreciate what you are saying and I agree that it was very brave of the President to take on the Clinton machine and run in 2007. When he won in Iowa and spoke that night I cried and sent him as much money as I legally could. I [...]

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