Demian

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  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 23:17:07View | Delete

    Here’s a pretty colorful BBC piece with lots of links:

    Ukraine war pulls in foreign fighters

    Unsurprisingly, while it mentions that Europeans who fight on the side of the junta are right wingers, it doesn’t mention that the West Point graduate who was killed came from a Ukrainian fascist background.

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 23:09:22View | Delete

    Ukrainian fascists are worse than Nazis. The Nazis didn’t use artillery and air strikes against their own people. There was a limit to their barbarism.

    I couldn’t believe it when the Kiev junta started shelling Ukrainian cities. From there, they went on to Grad rockets, and finally Tochka ballistic missiles.

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 19:10:04View | Delete

    Interesting op-ed in the NY Times on the former Ukraine. It says that NATO faces a choice: risk getting into a shooting war with Russia (which of course would be totally crazy), or tell Kiev to end its invasion of Novorossia.

    No question, this path involves enormous risks. Russia will throw its might into Ukraine. American and [...]

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 18:34:10View | Delete

    What’s to stop him from using the same excuse against the Baltic states?

    The Baltic statelets being members of NATO? Your Russophobia appears to be so intense that it prevents you from applying elementary logic.

    Also, eastern Ukraine is called Novorossia now. And Russia is not going to take control of it.

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 16:37:02View | Delete

    after the random bombing of civilian structures in the east, there are many more recruits to the rebel side

    The head of the DPR remarked at the beginning of this week that the number of recruits had increased fourfold in the past few days. It appears that the explanation for why they did not show up [...]

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 16:01:32View | Delete

    Well, the Western press is already doing it, but of course, it makes this all about Putin :

    MOSCOW — As European leaders delayed new sanctions against Russia over its role in the Ukraine conflict, Russian President Vladimir Putin called for talks that included the issue of “statehood” in eastern Ukraine, speaking in an interview that aired [...]

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 15:38:32View | Delete

    The position of the most prominent Russian language blogger on Novorossia is that the plan is to divide Ukraine. The longer Kiev puts of negotiations about that, the better for Novorossia.

    Colonel Cassad: Emergent Statehood

    I wonder how long it is going to take the Western press to catch up to this new reality.

  • Demian commented on the diary post How China Views the Ukraine Conflict by fairleft.

    2014-08-31 15:25:33View | Delete

    I worked on articles about the Ukrainian crisis for a while, but finally gave up. Even if you get a change in, eventually someone is going to restore the Ukie POV. Nobody who is not paid to do this has the time to constantly monitor articles for Ukie POV edits. Just one example of the [...]

  • From a comment at MoA by remembererringgiap:

    nato in this sense is doing what the nazis have done before them , overestimated their own capacities, & underestimated those of the east i will not live in a world where people are treated as subhumans & that is exactly what nato is doing, if the russians are subhuman, then so [...]

  • PS – the Russians lost the Cold War

    Are you Polish?

    Also, if the EU is so much better than the US, why has Europe allowed NATO to continue existing, since its reason for existing ended, with Russia “losing” the Cold War?

  • I ran across a story recently which claimed that the Soldiers’ Mothers organization is part of Putin’s government! Western journalists cannot restrain their impulse to make up lies.

    And this whole story is just the usual Western propaganda technique of accusing the enemy of what you are doing. There are plenty of Uke that are officially unaccounted for, whereas in actuality in many cases their bodies were buried somewhere by the junta.

    Stories about that appeared in the Russian press weeks before the Western press started running stories about the oldiers’ Mothers organization.

  • Note that this is the second explicit denial of Ukrainian sovereignty by Putin (the first being the humanitarian convoy). Russians really do play chess.

    Uke soldiers who escape to Russia and are then send back to Ukieland are a problem for the junta. How many “deserters” can it prosecute? On the other hand, if it leaves them alone, others may be encouraged to resist the draft (which the NY Times reported today has just been initiated, even though it has been going on since the start of the war). If it sends these men back into battle, they will tell new conscripts what is really happening in Novorossia.

  • President of Russia Vladimir Putin addressed Novorossiya militia

    I call on the militia groups to open a humanitarian corridor for Ukrainian service members who have been surrounded, so as to avoid any needless loss of life, giving them the opportunity to leave the combat area unimpeded and reunite with their families, to return them to their mothers, wives and children, and to quickly provide medical assistance to those who were injured in the course of the military operation.

  • I know the US, too. I’m single bilingual. But I have little doubt that you know the US better than I do.

    As for the Ukraine and Ukrainians, I don’t know them at all. I just know what Russians think of them. So I “know” the US a lot better than I know the Ukraine.

    As for n’est pas: it’s не правда ли, “isn’t that true/the truth?” (ne pravda li?).

    On a completely irrelevant note, I used to think that Russian is defective because it doesn’t have articles, but I don’t believe that anymore, because Russia has been able to preserve its civilization, whereas western Europe hasn’t.

  • I’m just guessing here, but it could be that Putin and Lavrov didn’t think that the Ukrainian military would actually go through with it, because of the old Soviet idea that Ukrainians and Russians are brothers.

    I personally did not expect the Ukes to use artillery against Novorossians. And my only basis for believing that Putin and Lavrov didn’t expect that either is that I assume that the three of us think alike lol. (Also, that Lavrov was visibly shaken in that interview, IMO.)

    In retrospect, it was predictable that the junta would do this, since it is following the American way of war, which the US acquired from the Civil War and then the Indian Wars: weaken the enemy by killing his civilians and destroying his infrastructure.

  • I don’t look at BBC reports (my Unix box can only play YouTube videos, and not in a browser), but this map from Wikipedia should answer your question. According to Wikipedia, the light green area is “the maximum envisaged territorial control of Novorossiya”. (As a side note, there was a controversy at Wikipedia about whether to call Novorossiya Novorossiya or New Russia. Unsurprisingly, the pro-junta editors wanted the latter, but fortunately, they lost. I can’t decide whether the name should include a “y”, though.)

    This is a war, and Westerners are not used to having wars on their own turf. Speculation about which side will win is inevitable. A Novorossian leader said yesterday that battle spirit is 10:1 in the rebels’ favor. And now Colonel Cassad, whose blog is really the best Russian resource for understanding the war, has started dropping hints that Russia is offering substantial military aid to the freedom fighters. (Russia is just going to continue officially denying it, and both Western media and Western officials appear to have figured out this game by now and more or less resigned themselves to it.) A collapse of the Uke military may now be beginning, and if that happens, Novorossia will get the light green regions on the map. The only way it won’t is if a military deadlock develops. But remember: the Ukrainians are fighting for a lie – that there is such a thing as a Ukrainian people or nation – whereas Novorossians are fighting for their freedom and liberty.

    Because of its sorry state under Yeltsin, since the breakup of the USSR, Russia allowed the Ukraine to turn into a breeding ground for virulent Russophobia. Thus, to quote that blogger, what remains of the Ukraine needs to be turned into an “economically barren no mans land”, in order to so demoralize its residents that their rabid, mad nationalism gradually dies out.

    I think very few Russians, including Putin, believed that Kiev would launch a war against eastern Ukrainians. When the shelling began, Sergei Lavrov gave an interview to RT, and he was visibly shaken.

  • And here’s the conclusion of a blog post from the Anglosphere which may be even easier to understand:

    All these moves combined mean a few things. Firstly, it appears that although there are peace or cease fire talks ongoing, they are likely for show at best. Secondly it means that Ukraine will cease to function as a country. Its already desperate financial position will be crippled by the loss of one half of the country – the most resource rich part. Thirdly it means that Ukraine will become landlocked and essentially a new “pocket – like” area. If NATO were to move into this area, they would be surrounded on three sides by Russia, Novorossyia, and Belarus. It would be indefensible. Therefore, Ukraine, or what’s left of it, turns into an economically barren no mans land between East and West.

  • Colonel Cassad is easy to understand. (Much of the material put up at the Saker today are copy-pastes from his blog.

    Currently, we are witnessing epic and even historic events. Government army and punitive battalions are suffering a catastrophic defeat to the south of Donetsk. Even a short time ago the republics were in dire straits: the DPR was actually hanging by a thin supply thread – which the government attempted to cut near Shahtersk and Krasnyi Luch; the summit of Saur-Mogila was abandoned, and Bolotov’s counteroffensive didn’t bring decisive successes. Many thought that the self-defense militia forces were on the ropes and about to break, which would lead to the collapse of Novorossiya and military victory for the fascist junta. However, the militia managed to withstand the most severe blows, the ones junta dealt with all forces available to it, over the first half of August.

    This is a translation from Russian, but I think it is entirely comprehensible. (I did not give a link, because the English language Colonel Cassad blog gets blocked by FDL: if you link to it, your comment gets blocked. Typical American freedom of information.)

    Poroshenko’s statement was just the usual Ukrainian bloviating.

    To get back to the Saker, I haven’t seen any sitreps from “juan” lately. I never considered him to be a reliable source: we were never told anything about where he gets his information, and his English is surprisingly good for someone who was supposedly in the Ukrainian infantry.

  • For pesky, an article from the pro-junta Kyiv Post:

    “I hope it is incompetence, but on the front lines peoples are talking about betrayal,” [a Uke battalion commander] said in a press conference at the Ukraine Crisis Media Center on Aug. 27.

    For instance, Shilov said that his unit had been ordered to take the village of Pesky in Donetsk Oblast only to be ordered to abandon it, and then to take it again.

  • I still don’t think that’s a good reason to deny Ukrainians their own agency

    Ukrainians have no agency, because they are zombies enthralled by the delusion that there is such a thing as a Ukrainian nation or a Ukrainian people. There are no such things. Unfortunately, the only way to make “Ukrainians” understand that is to make them lose a war.

    And keep in mind that Kiev started this war, with prodding from USG. Eastern Ukrainians were willing to settle for federalization, but instead of giving them federalization (how can that be such a bad thing if that is what Americans and Germans have?), Kiev started killing them.

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