Sebastos

Last active
3 years, 8 months ago
  • Sebastos and PictureOldFatGuy are now friends

    2012-06-11 09:54:07View | Delete
  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 12:06:29View | Delete

    Wrong. See above. A military coup driven by a revolution has very little in common with a military coup originating from the internal dynamics of the military.

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 12:03:46View | Delete

    Incidentally, before I get dinged for superficial and apparent self-contradiction, I would note: there are two very different ways to define the “end” of a revolution against an autocrat: 1. The fall of the top-level autocrat from power; 2. Fundamental social change in the system that created the autocracy. The Egyptian Revolution is over in [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 11:59:33View | Delete

    Actually if you’d bothered to read what he wrote:

    Nonsense. I read every word of the post about the Copts, whose text is short enough to repeat in full here:

    I’m looking at the Egyptian situation and the only thing that can truthfully be said is that nobody knows how it will end. But the Iraki situation [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 10:30:02View | Delete

    All the reports I’ve seen and heard are from either anonymous sources, or reporters using second hand accounts of stories told to them. CBC is reporting, as facts, detail after detail, as the reporter admits to be over 75 kilometers from where stuff is happening from the report. Makes one think most of this is just [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 10:10:55View | Delete

    I agree with these concerns about the no-fly zone. Aircraft are, among other things, a terror weapon, and the wish of some (not all) of the Libyan revolutionaries for outside protection from air attack is understandable. But the whole point of all the bloodshed is to gain the freedom of the Libyan people, and hastening [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 09:44:02View | Delete

    Correct but then you were a professional. Perhaps you could explain the concept of “siege” as I plainly have failed to explain it to those without your experience.

    Spare me the patronizing ad hominem bluff. You would have no trouble explaining your arguments if they were sound. Thus far my theoretical framework has enabled me to analyze, [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 09:15:22View | Delete

    As with many aspects of the case for a protracted civil war, so far we have no actual evidence of the alleged fanatical loyalty – unless simply remaining loyal in the face of atrocities that have led to the defection of so many former ministers, diplomats, and military officers is taken as a sign of [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-03 00:17:19View | Delete

    Indeed – and that very insight will be the charm that breaks the fascist spell.

    And Karl Marx, to whom above all others we owe that insight, will have the last laugh after all.

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-02 23:50:07View | Delete

    Equipment can be captured (despite my remarks about lack of heavy equipment, which remain correct as a generalization, one of Al Jazeera’s videos did show an operating battle tank in revolutionary hands); as I pointed out above, Gaddafi’s equipment will not last forever, so the balance can be redressed in part by reduction of loyalist [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-02 23:36:03View | Delete

    Me too. One solid ground for encouragement about these Jasmine Revolutions – regardless of the outcome of any one of them – is that they give some hope that humanity’s attitudes toward fascist autocracy may genuinely be changing at a very deep level. Compare 2011 to 1848. Tactics that evoke horror now would have been [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-02 23:20:20View | Delete

    And hope for peaceful change must not be allowed to blind us to hard thinking about the other case.

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-02 23:18:39View | Delete

    Oh how I would love to see change occur in a completely peaceful, calm, and rational manner in this world.

    Many of us wish for that, myself included. But it would be a different world if that were the norm.

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-02 23:11:35View | Delete

    I wrote:

    I would find it easier to believe that Gaddafi had a real chance of fighting a protracted civil war if we had even a single well-confirmed report of a major objective previously in revolutionary hands being taken and held by his forces.

    You respond:

    The well confirmed reports (al-Jazeera to give just one example ) that government forces re-took [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Libya: How It Looks At Present by GorillasGuides.

    2011-03-02 20:41:35View | Delete

    This account doesn’t add up.

    Libya is probably in for a relatively lengthy civil war.

    I would find it easier to believe that Gaddafi had a real chance of fighting a protracted civil war if we had even a single well-confirmed report of a major objective previously in revolutionary hands being taken and held by his forces. And [...]

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post SCFL Calls For General Strike If Walker Plan Is Passed! by Bill Egnor.

    2011-03-01 13:28:00View | Delete

    Damn straight. Some memories from my conservative past: back in the day, nothing else the domestic Left could do – not even the use of revolutionary violence – was more feared by the Right than a general strike. All the right-wing propaganda I used to read back then emphasized that a general strike was considered [...]

  • There is one thing that the U.S. and the United Nations could do (if they have not done it already) that would not involve using any foreign combat forces in Libya, and yet would likely be more effective in limiting bloodshed than any large-scale military intervention could be: they should immediately and unequivocally recognize the interim Libyan revolutionary government as the sole legitimate government of Libya, and accordingly withdraw recognition from Gaddafi’s dying regime. Then Gaddafi’s loyalists become simply and solely a gang of crooks; who is going to remain loyal to that? Recognition of the interim Libyan revolutionary government, while purely symbolic in itself, could have enormous concrete beneficial effects in ending the conflict, if it were widely publicized within Libya.

  • At one point, after a defected Libyan ex-minister said Gaddafi had chemical and biological WMD and was capable of using them on his own people, I proposed that the USA should offer the services of an elite commando unit such as the U.S. Army Delta Force for a surprise lightning raid to capture or kill Gaddafi before he could give the order to use WMD. Even then, this was to be done only if the provisional revolutionary government wanted our help, knew where Gaddafi was, and could not do the raid themselves with defected Libyan commandos – and only in order to avoid the possible massacre of a substantial fraction of the entire Libyan population with WMD.

    It now appears that Gaddafi has only mustard gas, not biological weapons, and does not even have effective delivery systems for the mustard gas, so a large-scale massacre using WMD would be impossible. And the interim Libyan government has apparently stated that they do not presently want our help. In my opinion, that’s it, end of story – U.S. intervention should not even be considered further until and unless the interim Libyan government reopens the question. There is no reason to pander to the imperialist fantasies of the U.S. neoconservatives who are presently pushing for intervention.

    I also disagree with those who claim that intervention is inevitable simply because Libya has oil. There was a time when the USA took it as axiomatic that it could interfere in other nations’ affairs to whatever extent its own discretion indicated, unless they had nuclear weapons. That time is past, and I think the Obama administration realizes that. If anything, they would be more likely to fail to intervene out of sheer vacillation, if intervention were warranted.

    The ultimate outcome of the Libyan Revolution is not in serious doubt. The Libyan revolutionaries are fighting for their nation’s freedom. If they think that that freedom will best be achieved by overcoming Gaddafi’s dwindling supply of loyalists entirely with their own resources, I see no reason at present to question their judgment.

  • Sebastos commented on the diary post Let’s Begin Understanding Arabic – العربية – al-ʿarabiyyah by Kelly Canfield.

    2011-02-27 15:25:04View | Delete

    Thanks for posting this, Kelly. I love Arabic script. It reminds me of the flowing Elvish script in The Lord of the Rings . Although it’s said that Tolkien’s Quenya and Sindarin Elvish languages were based on Finnish and Welsh respectively, I suspect the real-world Arabic script has to have been an influence on the Elvish [...]

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