New polls are out today. You can stick a fork in Romney; he’s done. And he hasn’t even had the opportunity to screw up in a debate yet; which he undoubtedly will.
Six weeks before the election, even Rasmussen, with their notoriously Republican-biased polling, can’t get Romney over 46% in either Ohio or Florida. A new Marist poll, which is historically much more accurate, puts Obama at 50% in Ohio and 49% in Florida. Want links? OK, here’s a link:
Historically, no Republican has ever won without Ohio. Romney won’t win Ohio. The Republican Senate candidate, child-like-looking Josh Mandel, is trailing Senator Hangover(er-Sherrod Brown) by 8 points. No help there. The Republican governor of Ohio, John Kasich, is lying as low as he possibly can. Convention speeches don’t count. When Romney or Ryan shows up in Ohio, Kasich is nowhere to be seen. There’s a reason for that: whatever Kasich is, he’s not stupid.
And the University of New Hampshire came out with a poll with Obama up by five in the only New England state Romney had a prayer in. Even the Wall Street Journal has Obama at 49% in Florida, with Romney several points behind. As I said before, Romney lost any chance at Florida when he picked “Let’s privatize Social Security and Medicare” Paul Ryan as his VP.
Worse for Romney, Rasmussen has him with only a 48-45 advantage in Missouri. Obama doesn’t need Missouri, but he might just get it; perhaps because of the “legitimately raped women don’t get pregnant” GOP Senate candidate. If Romney really flubs the debates, as he probably will, Missouri may turn blue on the M$M maps. Well, maybe. It IS Missouri, after all. I don’t know, but it doesn’t matter.
Here it is for those of you who keep track of these things: Ohio Barbarian says Obama will get at LEAST 288 electoral votes, probably more. He only needs 270. In fact, I think he’ll get 332(throw in Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia). Missouri and North Carolina are possible, but not necessary.
There you go. We’ll see in November if this cynic sees things as they are, instead of how they should be.
Long live the Empire!
And I’m STILL voting for Stewart Alexander.