You all know the bad news from last night: Scott Walker won the recall, pretty much by the predicted margin, and no, turnout was not “recordbreaking” despite the media hype. But do you know the good news?

(Photo by Lena)
Scott Walker no longer has a lockstep legislature to do his bidding.
The Democrats just needed to win one of the elections held in Wisconsin last night to put a huge cramp in Walker’s style, and they did:
In a crucial election that swings control of the state Senate to the Democrats, Racine County appeared to have ousted current state Sen. Van Wanggaard Tuesday.
Former state Sen. John Lehman, D-Racine led state incumbent Republican Sen. Van Wanggaard, with 36,255 votes to Wanggaard’s 35,476 votes, according to unofficial results with all precincts reporting.
Three Republicans won state Senate races Tuesday in Wisconsin, but with Lehman winning Racine County, the Democrats will take control of the Senate and gain the 17-16 majority.
And since the margin of victory is greater than 0.5%, the Republicans don’t get a free recount. So even though Wanggard hasn’t officially conceded yet, the writing’s on the wall: John Lehnman gets his old seat back.
As for why the other elections didn’t turn out for the Dems: People in Wisconsin were apparently, as was hinted at during the days before the election, sick of recall elections, particularly those they thought were being done not for gross and obvious malfeasance (as in ‘indictments already handed down’ malfeasance), but for purely political reasons. They had just had enough and wanted things to go back to ‘normal’. That’s why, as MSNBC and other TV networks kept reporting, the exit polling showed that 53% of those who voted to keep Walker were also Obama supporters. So this was not a bellwether on him, no matter how much the GOP wants to say it is.
Now, because the Republicans did some heavy gerrymandering for the upcoming elections (the gerrymandered boundaries didn’t count for the recalls), Lehman likely won’t keep it come 2014, and there are a few seats that the Republicans may or may not take in November, but from here on out, the Democrats won’t have to fight recall resentment in the populace in order to defend those seats. (And of course with the whiff of actual indictments in the air — indictments that may have been held back due to the prosecutors wanting to avoid being accused of ‘influencing the recall election” — Walker may turn into a boat anchor on the rest of the Wisconsin GOP come this November.)
In essence, we got the national Republicans to spend at least $40 million (and more like $100 million if we could count everything that all the billionaires secretly donated), $40 million that now can’t be spent on Mittens or GOP congressional/ Senate candidates, for an effort that cost the Dems a lot less — and which got Wisconsin a new Democratic-controlled Senate.
UPDATE: More on what I mean by “recall resentment”:
Sixty percent of Wisconsin voters in today’s recall election say recall elections are only appropriate for official misconduct, according to early CBS News exit polls. Twenty-eight percent said they think they are suitable for any reason, while nine percent think they are never appropriate.
My Wisconsin friends had hinted this might happen: Essentially, a lot of them saw this second batch of recalls — which happened fifteen months after the first, when Walker’s betrayals were still fresh in everyone’s mind and people hadn’t got used to having him in power — as more political revenge/payback than a righteous effort to remove a guy unfit for office.



25 Comments

Thanks for dispelling some of my gloom over Walker’s win. I think it’s very significant and important that he’s probably quite limited by a Senate controlled by Democrats.
Nevertheless, there remains a feeling of disappointment that the barn door may have been closed after the horses got away basically destroying public sector unions.
Could Walker be facing indictment or is the legal process so corrupted and corruptible that he will escape the net?
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The public sector unions will only be destroyed if they stop depending on the Democratic Party and start fighting back instead.
There-in lies the real lesson of Wisconsin.
Former member of the
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IVG&ATA
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Exactly Michael. That is what I stated in Bill Perdue’s blog.
Obama and the dems don’t give a rat’s ass about unions. They rely on the venture capitalist obama hypocritically campaign against.
Fuck the dems should the word from every thinking rational person, who of course is liberal/progressive/lefty.
Mason, see here:
http://my.firedoglake.com/phoenix/2012/06/03/the-real-walker-scandal-meet-john-doe/
Thanks for the link, PW.
Interesting story. Rot of that sort usually develops from the top down. I certainly hope Scotty is headed to the slammer.
I asked elsewhere and didn’t get an answer: would the resources expended for the governor’s race have been better spent on the senate races?
I haven’t been here in a while but I wanted to hear what real progressives were thinking and not be bothered with being edited out by ‘moderators’..
Of course Walker benefited because of massive money from the ‘filthy’ rich rightwing conservatives and I accent the word filthy for good reason. They’re dancing and partying over at FOX today but that will come to an end. Now for my rant,’ WHAT the f**ck is WRONG with you poor ass Republican people in Wisconsin. Do you really believe that this lying,deceitful, LOSER is going to be of any help to a pen of pigs let alone to you? You voted for him to remain your governor and now you will get exactly what you bought.
Here’s part of the answer:
My Wisconsin friends had hinted this might happen: Essentially, a lot of them saw this second batch of recalls — which happened fifteen months after the first, when Walker’s betrayals were still fresh in everyone’s mind and people hadn’t got used to having him in power — as more political revenge/payback than a righteous effort to remove a guy unfit for offie.
I’m generally Pro-Union and belong to a Private sector Union but honestly like FDR I think their is an inherently flawed situation with Public Service Unions. They have nobody in many cases to negotiate with because even the people they negotiate with are part of the same system. I’ve seen this over and over again. Walker and the right are very successfully playing the Private sector worker off against the Public, because many of us on the Private side have been abused by Public sector workers who develop an entitlement attitude and knowing in many cases they can’t be fired become unbelievably arrogant and impossible to deal with. Corporatism has two sides unfortunately BIG Public Service Unions are in may of our view one of those sides. Also, sadly everyone knows a teacher, cop and firemen who has wonderful job security, pay, benefits and etc. and they don’t know any banksters who are the real criminals. So the PS worker has been the one to take the heat instead, mostly unjustifiably I might add. However, as I said above not always. Had the Private sector Unions survived this wouldn’t be the case. Another reason is the believe that many PS workers get their jobs through nepotism not skill. Where I live its absolutely true. Generations of families dominate like royalty the best PS jobs. It sucks and people hate it.
I’m not buying that as the reason they voted for Walker. What about all of the reasons to NOT vote for him, that had nothing to do with political payback? Like LYING to the people, like being a target in a criminal investigation, like trying to end labor unions that help poor workers.
To bad that logic didn’t fly with Gray Davis in California.
I think it is dangerous to think that the vote yesterday was an anomaly. If we ignore the fact that in a well publicized election the vote went against public unions, we will not help ourselves for the fall.
Public employees at the local level are paid for by local real estate taxes – not by the Kochs, corporations or federal dollars. As the economic pressures on the normal tax paying homeowner sees their lives under economic pressure, they can easily look at the local employee at DMV, or the teacher taking the summer off, and feeling resentment.
With the GI Bill and tax deductions for mortgage interest, the Democrats used to be in the corner of the homeowner – now, not so much. We used to be in favor of the little guy, now we seem to be only in favor of those who get a check from the government.
I agree with Seaglass above. Public unions negotiating with people they elect is not an arms length transaction and it is beginning to antagonize those folks that become responsible to pay for the deals they cut.
I see bigger trouble ahead.
Senate in Democratic Control….until November 2012.
So Walker doesn’t do anything for six months. It slows the juggernaut but puts additional pressure on peformance in November.
greybeard @12 has a good explanation of the resentment that drives the support for Walker.
And I wonder about how that $100M will be recycled back to the 1% who spent it in the first place. Isn’t it just a giant game of passing the bucks back and forth between them that had the money in the first place? So it is not like the money was spent and is gone, it is just cycled around for the next go round. From media moguls to media moguls, and back again, or something like that.
In response to ‘tjbs’ @ 11. They sure kicked Gray Davis out in California and he hadn’t been involved in any criminal activity or corruption. This had little to do with political revenge. This was getting rid of a bastard that took bread off their tables.
If That LIE was the reason they told pollsters they supported Walker, then the Repubs are even more a bunch of dishonorable liars then I thought
The money was mainly spent for radio, newspaper, TV and internet ads and robocalls and litdrops and such. Most of that money got spent in-state, so it actually benefitted the state economy.
Oh, and remember how Walker was gonna have a special session to ram through his anti-recall bill and his Right To Starve bill and all the rest of the ALEC and Koch legislation on this year’s to-do list?
That’s not going to happen now, not with a Democratic-controlled Senate.
Matt Stoller has this one nailed:
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/06/wisconsin-recap-thanks-to-obama-american-left-lies-in-smoldering-wreckage.html
Geesh Guy, did you forget anyone? If all of those liberal groups are against us we are truly f**ked. Who’s left with any hope? Carefull not to toss the baby along with the dirty water.
The baby’s dead, the bathwater isn’t dirty, it’s bloody, and yes, we are truly fucked until we come up with an alternative to the Veal Penned Dem party and alleged “progressive” groups. I’m hereby coining the term “PINO”, for Progressive In Name Only.
It’s possible this result is the best the Dems could have gotten.
1) It saves money for the Dems & Obama for the more important general election.
2) It’s not a certain thing Obama’s campaigning could have swung voters.
3) It’s not clear anything could have changed the outcome as Walker & Co may have cheated.
4) If Obama had campaigned and Walker won big, then it hurts Obama’s chances for the general election.
5) It cost the Right a ton of money they can’t use elsewhere.
6) That money does help the WI economy and that’s not bad. Redistributing the wealth and all that…
7) Walker may yet go to jail and that would be a big win politically, just when the Republicans are talking about him as a rising star who might speak at their Convention.
So, it’s not all bad. Of course, winning everything would have been nicer.
Against your points:
1. It was important to show that the Right could not destroy institutions of the Progressive left without impunity. The Right will be vastly encouraged by this victory. That was more important than Centrist Hack-Obama vs Centrist Hack-Romney.
2. Money swings votes. That’s why people/corporations *invest* money in elections.
3. This point amounts to saying that no election is worth taking part in because the other side *may or may not* cheat. Unpersuasive.
4. This point is tantamount to saying that Obama should never fight for progressive causes because he may lose the next election. In other words, he should just please the Republicans. In which case, why should one care whether he is reelected?
5. Who the hell thinks the Right is short of money? Right, the Kochs must feel so cash-strapped now they have spent 0.001% of their income.
6. The money from the campaigns go to media corporations. How many extra jobs have they created?
7. So you’re saying it is better to have him win so that he can fall from a greater height on the off-chance a prosecutor finds the balls to take a newly confirmed governor to court? By your thinking we should let the republicans win all elections on the off-chance they get prosecuted.
Sorry. It is all bad.
60% of Wisconsin voters thought that recall elections were inappropriate because that was how they were brainwashed by media buys for months before the Dems. actually picked a candidate. Over and over they heard the same meme. It worked. Good strategy by the Republicans, enabled by unlimited funds.
Actually, John Nichols, who knows Wisconsin politics as well as anyone, told our own David Dayen back in February 2011 that the effort to recall Walker would not succeed:
http://my.firedoglake.com/phoenix/2012/06/07/wisconsin-recall-exit-polls-60-say-recalls-are-only-for-official-misconduct/