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Median Electoral Vote Estimator by Princeton's Sam Wang indicates Ro-Mentum stalled out 3 weeks ago
It’s already starting: The Romney camp, as well as surrogates like Haley Barbour and Karl Rove, are pushing the excuse for Romney’s loss on Hurricane Sandy, which they claim stalled out the otherwise-unstoppable Mittmentum.
What they don’t mention is what Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium mentioned again today: Romney’s momentum stalled out three weeks ago.
Keep this bookmarked to throw in the face of anyone who dares say “And he would have won, too, if it weren’t for that meddling storm.”
That is all.
29 Comments
So Sandy was God’s wrath againt Mittens? Actually, I can buy that narrative.
That iced it, but he was already playing the Bad Guy on Championship Wrestling:
“Corporations are people, my friend.”
“I enjoy firing people who do things for me.”
“46%…”
“I’m not concerned about the very poor.”
“…So, we put the dog on top of the car…”
He obviously was pissing off the ladies , even on Olympus. :)
Please, let us forget and soon…;)
EvilDrPuma beat me toit.
Defeated by the very global warming they denied. So sad.
Too bad. The American people really did want more tax cuts for the filthy rich. Well, they still might get those cuts for the filthy rich from Obama and Democrats.
I thought they were now just refusing to take responsibility for causing any of it.
I seldom watch TV, but yesterday evening, I watched FOX’s election eve coverage.
The only FOX commentator I watched (actually listened to, as I was correcting papers and exams) who even gave Obama a chance of winning was Bill O’Reilly. Pretty much all the rest are predicting, as Newt Gingrich described it, “A Romney landslide.”
There isn’t going to be a Romney landslide, unless there is some very serious criminal fuckery afoot in Ohio and elsewhere. Obama is most likely going to squeak through with 290 or more electoral votes. He won’t have coat-tails, though, and the House will remain pretty solid GOP, while the Senate will remain Blue Dog Democrat-controlled.
What struck me, watching or listening to FOX was how total that network is working non-stop as a free political advertisement for the far right. I’ve known that for years, but seldom subject myself to actually experiencing that immersion.
The most disgusting thing, when I actually watched, was seeing the constant play of Obama speaking, with people of color in the background cheering him, compared to the throngs of white people cheering Romney. It is intentional, and it is blatantly racist. And – they just don’t care that it is, because it is wedded and welded to the network’s business model.
I voted last week. For Jill Stein. Now – off to work until late tonight.
Thanks for the reminder; I don’t watch either. What tripe, if that’s the word.
What kills me is the media lying their asses off as they keep pushing this dead even bullshit.
Romney lost last year, it’s just that nobody bothered to tell him.
I see Nate Silver has Obama’s odds of winning at 92%.
Somebody needs to inform the media, oh, wait, then they would have to get off their dead asses and actually find something to report on.
We can’t have that now, can we?
These lunatics will stop at nothing. Let’s just hope that if Obama can pull it out, his dealings with them over the past four years will lead him to confront them, instead of
“reaching out” to them.
As someone posted a while back; sorry I can’t remember whom it was:
“A courageous, principled stand can generate popular support like nothing else.”
Or, words to that effect. And it’s a bright, shining, truth.
See that drop after the 1st debate?
That’s where Obama the grand bargainer turned up. One might hope (though not realistically expect) that he and his administration and advisers might have learned something from that.
Such as? That Bullies don’t play fair? etc. Interested in your “take.”
In a sense, the Republicans may be correct. The storm may have placed the election out of cheating range. Maybe.
There is no justice, but there is irony. ;-)
We can hope!
chuckles todd and mojoe megaphonying the blame it all on Sandy with Barbour.
And Haley Barbour describing himself as a country lawyer is pure bullpucky.
The one line shut up:
“So you are saying that God wanted Obama to be President again?”
Or believing that he has a meaningful opinion about anything;
he quit this race verrrry early, iirc.
So, Mittens can’t weather a storm? Weak tea.
I called it early for Obama bc I didn’t see any downside to the 1% to having Obama remain in office. It’s easier for an incumbent Admin to continue carrying water for the 1%, and if Obama is *slightly* *marginally* “better” on some social issues? Well, the 1% could care less about that, really. Gay marriage? Why not? Abortion? Sure. The ONLY reason that the corp-owned propoganda wurlitzer makes a big deal out of those issues is: divide & conquer.
After the first debate, I wondered a little, but imo (no Nate Silver here; just going on my gut): Obama “wins” but by certaily not by any landslide, so he’ll be “forced” to be Mr. Bipartisany yet again.
Get ready for great gnashing of Tea Party teeth. My family is on the verge of (truly) needing to be locked up on the padded room… defies logic, but then again, as Mr. Teller points out: RMoney is WHITE, and Obama be BLACK. gasp! shriek….
If Romney should win this farce of a race, Canada’s borders will remain open to the disenfranchised .. what a sad state of affairs this whole election has been .. from the blatant disregard of women’s rights to determine their own health care, to Citizen’s United to the very image/record of the GOP candidate .. if “god” is watching, let us hope he can keep a thumb on the scales ..
Keeping to the theme of a storm likely made worse by global warming as a factor in the election, on behalf of which fossil fuel proponent would a deity place a thumb on the scale? Wouldn’t Jill Stein seem like the logical choice?
Maybe this had something to do with Mitt’s fall from grace. Thanks to fatster for the link.
http://grist.org/politics/the-most-brutal-ad-youll-see-this-election/#.UJfNcc7rXTo.twitter
Logic and the “American Political/Electoral” system seems almost oxymoronic .. Obama is the better of two marginal choices, in a country whose rudder is held tightly in the fist of Corporate interests .. only total collapse, a “revolution” or an invasion from Chine (or outer space) will turn the American ship around .. (an unbiased Northern opinion)
The Southern Strategy is very much alive and well, and not just in the south.
In Minnesota, efforts to fight the voter suppression “Voter ID” amendment floundered when the main message of the opponents of the amendment was that it would disenfranchise minorities. When the county clerks started speaking out about how much it would cost, and how it would take a sledgehammer to already-stressed local budgets (many rural counties, already lacking in many services we city people take for granted, wouldn’t be able to fix or plow roads or hire cops or do a thousand other necessary things because they’d be forced to pay for this unfunded mandate), that’s when people started to care.
Indeed.
They could report on the craptastic job LIPA is doing of restoring service or even communicating with local elected officials who are trying to get answers for their constituents.
They could report on the amazing job that Occupy Sandy is doing and the thousands of meals they have distributed and put the Red Cross to shame.
Was it $23 million that concert raised and it was sent to the underwhelming Red Cross to squander on overhead, if given to Occupy Sandy it could have been a force multiplier.