Japanese officials announced early Wednesda they have managed to stop the serious leak of water with high radiation levels that had been flowing into the Pacific Ocean from the pit and sea-water intakes near Unit 2.
That was the good news. The bad news is what’s still unsolved and may be getting worse.
[Update: David Dayen reports Congressman Markey claims NRC officials told him some portion of the core in Unit 2 has "probably" melted through the reactor vessel, into the containment floor. That would be very bad news if confirmed.]
[Update II: The NRC disputes this interpretation even though Markey received an e-mail from an NRC staffer saying some NRC experts had speculated there might have been a reactor vessel breach]
The bad news, compiled by the New York Times, listed the very serious threats still facing the Fukushima Daiichi Units 1-4, as the Japanese stuggle with what are, as lobster points out, the potential for four simultaneous INES level 7 accidents. Be sure to read lobster’s post on how the situation at any of these Units could be credibly rated in the same category as Chernobyl.
From the New York Times:
United States government engineers sent to help with the crisis in Japan are warning that the troubled nuclear plant there is facing a wide array of fresh threats that could persist indefinitely, and that in some cases are expected to increase as a result of the very measures being taken to keep the plant stable, according to a confidential assessment prepared by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
Among the new threats that were cited in the assessment, dated March 26, are the mounting stresses placed on the containment structures as they fill with radioactive cooling water, making them more vulnerable to rupture in one of the aftershocks rattling the site after the earthquake and tsunami of March 11. The document also cites the possibility of explosions inside the containment structures due to the release of hydrogen and oxygen from seawater pumped into the reactors, and offers new details on how semimolten fuel rods and salt buildup are impeding the flow of fresh water meant to cool the nuclear cores.
Paraphrasing the Times’ list of serious causes for concern:
– Continuing potential for exposure of the cores in Units 1-3, all of which have suffered varying degrees of “meltdown” from loss of cooling water, leaving the possibility of further fuel rod cladding breakdown and release of radioactive materials, plus hydrogen gas. Hence the need for injecting nitrogen gas to inhibit explosions and boron to prevent recriticality.
– Continuing potential for further hydrogen explosions that could damage/breach containment and/or cause further radiation releases into the environment.
– Growing concern about the non-spent fuel stored in Unit 4′s storage pool, which is outside containment and thus open to the outside environment and has already suffered fire/explosion after the pool’s cooling water was partially or fully lost for some period.
– Concern that earlier explosions, especially from Unit 4′s exposed spent fuel storage pool, could have spewed radioactive materials up to a mile away.
– Growing concerns about possible containment vulnerability at Units 1-3 from the weight of massive water injections already made into the containment structures. These structures surrounding the reactor vessel are not designed to hold that much water, increasing the potential for containment breach in the event of further quakes.
– Concerns about the ability to continue, without fail, essential fresh water injections indefinitely, with no near-term solution yet available for how to get beyond this stage.
– Growing concerns about sea-water salt deposition on fuel assemblies, restricting water flow around them and thus reducing any water’s ability to carry away heat.
Because slumping fuel and salt from seawater that had been used as a coolant is probably blocking circulation pathways, the water flow in No. 1 “is severely restricted and likely blocked.” Inside the core itself, “there is likely no water level,” the assessment says, adding that as a result, “it is difficult to determine how much cooling is getting to the fuel.” Similar problems exist in No. 2 and No. 3, although the blockage is probably less severe, the assessment says.
It’s good that TEPCO was able to stop the flow of contaminated water into the Pacific Ocean, though radiation levels remain high as of Wednesday night. It’s at least better for workers who must function outside the reactor buildings. Still, radiation levels inside the reactor buildings are so high they’re literally off the scale.
Stopping the sea leak won’t change the decision to dump other supposedly less contaminated water from storage areas directly into the ocean, to make room for pumping out somewhat worse contaminated water from each unit’s turbine buildings and outside trenches. But I wonder what stopping the leak to the sea means.
After failing to stop the leak with concrete, shredded paper and other mixtures, they apparently succeeded with liquid glass — sodium silicate.
On Tuesday, the plant operator drilled a hole into a layer of gravel around the pit, and poured a hardening agent called liquid glass, or sodium silicate, to stop the leak of highly radioactive water into the sea.
TEPCO says the flow was confirmed to have stopped on Wednesday morning, and that there has since been no change in the water level in the pit and the nearby turbine building.
But where was the water coming from? And if the flow to the sea has been stopped, where is that water going or pooling now?
Sources:
NHK World
Kyodo News
Hi-res photos
IAEA Updates
Union of Concerned Scientists



55 Comments

This is not good.
If 1-4 become to hot to work, 5&6 are toast too, no?
It time to stand down every last one of these suicide machines until we stop and clean-up this G lobal E xtinction, Japanese mess that, of course, was to big to fail.
David Dayen has a post on Reactor #2 in FDL News – congressional testimony this morning relaying that it is probable #2 has melted through containment. Lobster’s point about reclassification should itself be glowing red at this point. Yet all I heard on the radio was that the flow of radioactivity into the sea has stopped.
I agree that every nuclear power plant needs to be mothballed. Gee, they stopped flying nitrogen dirigibles after one little accident -have we all lost our minds?
I expect the plutocracy through the corporate media to begin informing the public that exposure to high levels of radiation will turn every man, woman and child into Super Heroes.
Japanese protestors and students have been arrested for demonstrating in front of TEPCO. They were demanding an end to using nuclear power in Japan. Japanese farmers are also starting to organize around the issue of crop contamination. And here in America we have the corporate govts unwavering support for all things nuclear.
The situation is not under control, as the NYTimes article points out, and probably never will be. We will have increased radiation bio-accumulating in the Pacific region however.
Hydrogen (filled zeppelins)-the same gas currently causing problems. Nitrogen is the primary gaseous component in air.
Gentle correction. It was hydrogen that blew up the Hindenberg.
GE, the utility, the government regulator and the entire nuclear industry demonstrated how easily they disregard safety by building and then operating these reactors for 40 years on top of an earthquake prone area.
And their disaster plan involves guessing what will fix the situation – a large cloth draped over the reactors, resin sprayed, sawdust or just let it all drain into the ocean – it worked for BP.
We had this information last week, didn’t we? Although unconfirmed.
Thanks Scarecrow. This has got to be beating you down mentally. I sure appreciate all your reporting and the massive amount of time you have put in on this horror.
Thanks again.
Japanese officials announced early Wednesda they have managed to stop the serious leak of water with high radiation levels that had been flowing into the Pacific Ocean from the pit and sea-water intakes near Unit 2.
So they still don’t know for sure so people or robots with cameras have not inspected the whole plant yet because its to radioactive but the Japanese are still not covering the plant with Concrete? They can’t really be thinking they can get any of the reactor plants up and running if there is a single reactor with hot fuel nearby to hot to send people inside the entire plant.
They can’t be thinking they can have fire hoses cool those plants forever.
At least not with hurricane season approaching.
I’m no fireman but even a near miss with a hurricane can bring in 40 mph or more winds for hours how much wind does it take to throw off the aim of a firehose?
How much wind does it take to blow people over will Japan need to call in Sumo wrestlers to hold the firehoses in a hurricane.
Can even a Sumo stand his ground if a hurricane makes a direct hit?
Ditto. Again, the most concise summary of information on the net on this subject.
Yeah. I don’t have any report to suggest this is something that just happened. Recall that for Unit 2, the explosion was not outside the containment structure but inside, and they early on suspected this probably damaged the torus or some part of the containment. They did not say then that the reactor vessel was breached, though some speculated at the time that might have happened.
The NRC uses computer simulation models of accident sequences
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/03/science/03meltdown.html?exprod=myyahoo
From knowing temperatures/pressures and what radioactive materials are released, plus hydrogen, etc, they can draw inferences about what’s happening in the core. I assume that’s where this report is coming from. And this likely happened a couple weeks ago, not recently, though whether it’s continuing is another question.
TCU, you keep talking about covering the plant with concrete. Doing this eliminates the ability to monitor the situation and cool the fuel. It’s not an option at this point. Bury this place now and you’re guaranteeing re-criticality in every place possible on site.
Unit 1 water cover for the rods (unclear if in the reactor or in the pool – but I believe in the reactor) may still not be restore per NRC.
Japan (TEPCO) still refuses to ask for international help – or to release all data.
Rereading the comments before congress, it would seem that Markey may have just been repeating what he read in the same articles as us last week. NYTimes IIRC.
Now those police water spray trucks can return to their intended use, spraying anti-nuke demonstrators with, Hot Water.
I am far more concerned about humans’ ability to learn the right lessons than our ability to follow the details of these catastrophes.
Can you imagine if the Paul Ryan Tea-Administration were in charge of the Japanese response? We could give the plant workers vouchers toward the purchase of personal geiger counters, or something.
From lobster’s post;
“Right now, Fukushima is formally classified as being comparable to Three Mile Island. This is ridiculous. It is now well past the time when the Fukushima accidents should be reclassified as level 7, “Major accidents.””
From your post;
“The bad news, compiled by the New York Times, listed the very serious threats still facing the Fukushima Daiichi Units 1-4, as the Japanese struggle with what are, as lobster points out, the potential for four simultaneous INES level 7 accidents.”
What lobster pointed out, is not the potential for a INES level 7 accident, but that the actual situation, right now, is 4, count ‘em 4 INES level 7 accidents which world leaders are conniving to soft-pedal.
It’s long past the time to be using words like, ‘potential’, or ‘allegedly’ to describe what has happened.
There is an intelligent question that I have yet to hear anyone voice;
What plan does TEPCO have in place for retrieving the nuclear materials that have melted through the containment vessel/s, and what progress, if any has been made in implementing that plan.
The reason this question is important is that the only honest answer is that there is no plan because the whole myth of safe nuclear power rests on accepting the fallacy that a melt down and breach of containment would never occur.
The cat’s out of the bag, the worst has happened, it’s not a potential problem, it’s an unbelievable reality X4.
Japan is getting help from serveral countries, including US, France, and the IAEA.
Tangential:
I picked up a dead tree NYT this morning and there in the biz section was an article wherein Boeing admitted that the metal fatigue in 737s is occurring a full 1/3 earlier than they thought. Supposed to last without incident 60,000 takeoffs & landings; turns out it’s occurring at 40,000 TOs & landings.
“Regulators are struggling…”
Who coulda anticipated.
Many thanks to you and lobster for keeping up on this and for pointing out that what we have here is not a failure to communicate – it is that. What we have is several high-level disasters, not a single disaster. They just happen to be sitting next to each other. That alone suggests a 7 rating.
I don’t see where that list from the Times includes the degradation of stainless steel pipes, containers, valves, etc., due to chlorine contamination from weeks of using unfiltered seawater as an emergency coolant.
As I understand it, among other consequences, that weakens the SS and makes it brittle and prone to rupture. That would make it impossible to maintain cooling system pressures for very long, because of the risks of an uncontrolled rupture and loss of coolant and/or release of radioactive materials anywhere along the cooling system.
Obviously, a large rupture or several failures along a cooling line or in a containment vessel would also lead to massive loss of coolant and exposure of nuclear materials.
Those would seem to be an enormous risk and an enormous problem to solve at each of these several disasters.
And reduce tooth decay. What’s not to like?
“What plan does TEPCO have in place for retrieving the nuclear materials that have melted through the containment vessel/s, and what progress, if any has been made in implementing that plan.”
Time for another shiny object to distract.
The vouchers would be good for half off the current retail price, plus sales tax.
“What plan does TEPCO have in place for retrieving the nuclear materials that have melted through the containment vessel/s, and what progress, if any has been made in implementing that plan.”
Fuel up the Lear Jet and get the passports in order?
We have to take time out worrying about global warming to worry about radioactive fish.
Now would be a good time for Michael Rennie to step out of his saucer and set things straight.
As you both note, nitrogen is inert, slow to oxidize or combine with other elements; that’s the first hydrogen does.
David Dayen has an election update post up: Kloppenburg Takes Razor-Thin Lead of 224 Votes with One Precinct Left UPDATE: Now 235
I don’t think there is a plan except cooling. If the containment breach events stay localized and they can effectively cool the material, they can just continue to cool until it’s safe to handle. You know, in 4 or 5 years.
As the Tokyo police were assaulting the protestors before arrest, the cops held up a sign that read “interference with a governmental official in the execution of his duties.” I guess that’s what TEPCO and Kan mean about transparency.
The NYT story also says they’re mixing boron in the water to help absorb neutrons and prevent recriticality.
It’s not going to help much anymore.
See, once a reactor melts, it forms what amounts to a lump of lava. You can no longer get water or boron INSIDE the lump, you can just spray the surface. All the critical points will be inside the lump. So you can water the outer shell all you want, you won’t be doing anything to stop the recriticality. And as the outer shell cools, it becomes even harder and actually provides insulation and neutron reflection to the critical areas inside.
We could have a melt that sustains itself for decades.
Boxturtle (Assuming it doesn’t just dissolve the floor it’s currently upon)
5 & 6 are already toast. But if it becomes too hot to work at the site, we could have melts in their fuel pools as well.
Boxturtle (Really, it’s already too hot to work there. Those workers are samuri!)
There is no evidence in what I’ve read that there is any possibility to cool the fuel.
In order to cool the fuel, you need some control over that fuel and there is very little evidence that TEPCO has any control over the fuel at this point, in fact all evidence is to the contrary.
The reason TEPCO is focusing on fixing water leaks, is that fixing leaks is possible and the results can be verified to the satisfaction of the MSM.
We’re in uncharted territory and it looks to me as if we are looking at the possibility of something like an eternal nuclear geyser/hot springs marking the spot where the nuclear power industry died, that is unless the Japanese/we get lucky and the nuclear mess really does burn down to the center of the earth.
Even if we do have that kind of luck, a tragically large part of a beautiful country has been rendered foul and dangerous to inhabit.
Oxygen in air when it comes in contact with Hydrogen will cause explosion/oxidation/combustion due to lower LEL (lower explosive limit) of H2. Addition of Nitrogen (or any inert or non reactive gases) is to ensure an extremely dilute concentration of hydrogen in the mixture to prevent ignition.
I haven’t seen analysis this bleak. I was under the impression that there was still a chance to cool the fuel in the various units (albeit an extremely remote chance)
Reading what you say, I understand that it’s true. I think it’s time we all admit that there just isn’t a way to get enough water on all of this fuel quickly enough or for long enough to have any real effect.
DING!**3
Any critical mass that has burned through containment is not going to stop when it hits the concrete floor, it’s going to continue to burn through what ever it encounters.
Think of pouring water down a deep hole with an unbelievably hot mass at the bottom, when the water arrives it’s instantly turned to steam which results in an explosion, and or a poisoned geyser.
They have to contain it some how to cool it, they’ve lost the battle if they’ve lost containment, and all indications are they’ve lost containment.
So theoretically melt will continue until the mass reaches a point within the earth where the temperate is comparable to the surrounding environment and the mass is neutralized?
“Boxturtle (Assuming it doesn’t just dissolve the floor it’s currently upon)”
I wouldn’t bet any significant amount on the fuel mass still sitting on that floor, I would guess it’s gone through multiple floors more or less like a hot knife through butter.
They just cannot bring themselves to admit it yet.
From upstairs, so it doesn’t get lost.
KrisAinCA April 6th, 2011 at 10:01 am «
So theoretically melt will continue until the mass reaches a point within the earth where the temperate is comparable to the surrounding environment and the mass is neutralized?
And pressure….I believe that this is what is happening at Chernobyl and Hanford, and maybe TMI, too.
Any groundwater it comes in contact with will be vaporized and contaminated with radioactivity.
Well, it would only be neutralized to the extent that it was far removed from the surface, so in that sense we be safer because it was so far away, but between now, and the time that it reaches that point, it will probably continue to spew a radioactive steam plume as water finds its way down the hole.
We could pray that in some way the mass gets distributed/divided underground in such a way that its mass is spread out to the point that it becomes un-critical, but the weight of the fuel probably means there isn’t much chance that it might divide itself accidently.
We’re probably left hoping that it burrows its way down very fast and somehow the hole it leaves behind can be sealed.
It would obviously be very bad if it turned into a poisonous geyser that lasted for years, think Old Faithful, only deadly.
In support of the idea that’s it’s sitting on the floor, consider the design of that floor. It’s NOT just a flat concrete pad.
Criticality depends upon the shape of the critical areas, among other things. The WORST thing you could do with a melt is form it into a perfect sphere, the best thing would be to let it spread out flat like a sheet of paper.
The floor is actually shaped to encourage the melt to spread out flat. I think the shape is a highly flattened pyramid with the point directly under the center of the reactor vessel. Until now, it’s never been tested except maybe in simulations. And the simulations themselves are suspect since we’ve never had a sample of fresh liquid corium to test.
Given that they’re already saying the groundwater is massively contaminated (they’re saying it’s the source for the hot water in unit 5), it’s quite possible it’s already melted through the concrete. But there are other possible sources.
Boxturtle (Recriticality says the melt didn’t spread out much)
That’s one theory. Another is that the melt will react with the compounds in the earth and essentially dissolve.
My theory: If the melt hits ground, it will burrow until it is beneath the water table, somewhere around 200ft. Then it will produce massive amounts of radioactive steam without burrowing much further.
Boxturtle (I suspect somewhere there’s math that would tell me it don’t work that way)
Do we know if the floor is boronated concrete? I can’t seem to find an answer to that anywhere on the interwebs.
Think of all the powerful interests ‘accidently’ aligned against telling us the truth;
TEPCO for obvious reasons.
The Japanese gov’t which among other reasons is in bed with TEPCO.
The international nuclear energy industry that was just getting ready to launch a renaissance in reactor building.
GE who designed the plant and may fear liability.
The list goes on and on, and as I pointed out, we’re all trying so hard to give these guys a chance at making things better, and praying for their success, that we can hardly face what we know has happened.
We haven’t really absorbed the size/cost of the Chernobyl event; this one will take years also, but whereas Russia is a very large place, Japan is a relatively small island and the portion that has been/will be rendered uninhabitable is relatively large, and next to the ocean …
It’s heartbreaking to consider how bleak the situation is, and it’s no wonder no one wants to be the one to explain it.
Let’s face it, we are meatsacks of doom. We had no business messing with the atom. We played GOD, and lost. Not that I’m much of a GOD fan mind you. Been following this story obsessively since the get-go. Nuclear is a nightmare. I knew that when no nukes was around in the 1980′s. Did they listen? NO! Too bad we are going to have to live with our insanity and the grandchildren will too. Screw the debt-this is an unpayable debt.
That’s an pithy portrait of the “We vill continue to wrrrreck the place and there is no other plan!” folks. :-)
So many koans, so little time, d00d …
Dunno, but not sure it matters. Boron operates like a swiffer, not a magnet. If a neutron happens to hit boron, it will likely be neutralized. But the boron does not attract neutrons.
So assuming the melt is sitting on boronated concrete, only those neutrons that go downward will impact the boron and only after they’ve managed to escape the melt without hitting something fissionable. At that time they’re not going to contribute to criticality.
Boxturtle (And the melt is mostly U-238, one of the best neutron reflectors there is)
The last line of defense is that 30 foot thick concrete floor. That is a lot of concrete–but will it be enough? Looks like we’re going to find out.
If the melt keeps experiencing ‘localized incidents of isolated criticality’, it will eventually burn through the concrete.
Boxturtle (seems weird to me to talk about burning concrete)
Dr. Murphy posted this on another thread. I think it belongs here as well. They seem to be backtracking on Rep. Markey’s statement.
http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/stock-market-news-story.aspx?storyid=201104061352dowjonesdjonline000545&title=conflicting-details-emerge-about-status-of-japanese-nuclear-reactor
Boxturtle (So we’re back to no offical confirmation)
thanks for the heads up. I’ll add an update and link.
I think what is being overlooked is that the core assembly from reactor#4 is out of containment completely. It has burned melted and exploded ejecting core materal a mile from the reactor. They seem to have no idea what weird science is occuring at the bottom of the fuel pool or they are not willing to talk about it.