To many who have paid attention to the developing climate change crisis, the news that a mass extinction could occur in the world’s oceans shouldn’t come as too much of a surprise. Climate change isn’t just about higher surface temperatures and slightly different precipitation patterns. No, a set of issues is currently unfolding. That set is getting more complex and more pertinent to our daily lives. A preliminary report, issued by the International Programme on the State of the Ocean (IPSO), begins to detail just how dangerous our actions are to the oceans. Among other things, the report’s findings are of critical importance because the panel found that ocean degeneration is already occurring at a much faster rate than has been previously projected.
“The findings are shocking,” Dr. Alex Rogers, IPSO’s scientific director, said in a statement released by the group. “This is a very serious situation demanding unequivocal action at every level. We are looking at consequences for humankind that will impact in our lifetime, and worse, our children’s and generations beyond that.”
Indeed, recent research shows that the ocean’s temperature won’t recover to pre-Industrial Age levels for thousands of years. The same thing goes for acidification and sea level rise. If a mass extinction occurs, sea life won’t recover for hundreds of thousands to millions of years. Since a majority of the world’s population is dependent on sea life for their daily sustenance, a mass extinction would have enormous ramifications for our species for longer than we’ve been a species.
So, what’s the problem? Or better yet, what are the problems? An increase of both hypoxia (low oxygen) and anoxia (lack of oxygen that creates “dead zones”) in the oceans, warming, and acidification are the causal factors of previous mass extinctions. Guess what’s going on today? Record-sized dead zones are occurring across the planet; the oceans have warmed and will continue to do so for at least hundreds of years; and the oceans are acidifying. Both the warming and acidification are likely occurring at rates that are multiple times faster than what occurred naturally in the geologic past.
What needs to be done?
The IPSO report calls for such changes, recommending actions in key areas: immediate reduction of CO2 emissions, coordinated efforts to restore marine ecosystems, and universal implementation of the precautionary principle so “activities proceed only if they are shown not to harm the ocean singly or in combination with other activities.” The panel also calls for the UN to swiftly introduce an “effective governance of the High Seas.”
We hold the fate of global ecosystems in our hands. It is solely up to the decisions of our species whether mass extinctions occur and the planet becomes uninhabitable by modern societies. Will this report join the growing body that have been largely ignored in the past? This report has received more attention in the corporate media than most reports of similar importance. That’s a good thing. But it means little if policymakers continue to drag their feet while enjoying their access to power. That such a frivolous thing could spell the end of today’s ecosystems…




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The air
the water
the land
all being destroyed. in the space of a hundred or so years. by one miserable species.
truly a remarkable event in the billions of years history of the planet.
Ah, but we have the Frankenfish to replace all those useless other thingies out there and who needs all that stuff on the bottom anyway?
You say it’s going faster than they thought? Well everything else seems to be going faster too so why not this? Duh!
But wait! Gotta get those countries in South America and Africa to stop polluting first before the good ol’ U S of A will do anything cuz otherwise it wouldn’t be fair to let all those brown and black people get away with causing some pollution if we can’t do it anymore….
/s
So since the government usually knows these things at least 5 years before they start telling us, do you think this is the reason we can’t get Obama to care about trying to deliver on his promises and make the country better?
Thanks WeatherDem,
Good post as per usual, but I’m partial to the satellite photo’s. Rec’d.
We are just so screwed.
We couldn’t do more damage if it was intentional and we had formulated a master plan. And I don’t think we as a species, are capable of doing the right thing, the necessary things. It may already be too late, without us even having yet begun any substantive changes. The system may have too much momentum built up heading in the wrong direction. Wrong at least from the purview of our continued existence being a desirable outcome. Perhaps it’s not.
In 2007, I spoke to a person from a National Lab in the Midwest doing research on this subject. They projected 100,000 years. So this was already at least suspect 4 years ago.
Well to deflate the hubris a bit, I suspect being hit by a giant meteor to be even more remarkable.
Assuming stability in other aspects of life generating processes like the sun not going nova etc, in 100K years or so what is left of the human race can try to get it right.
This is horrifying. Millions will starve.
How do we get through to the idiots who say “it’s not happening?”
The Last Great Global Warming
Surprising new evidence suggests the pace of the earth’s most abrupt prehistoric warm-up paled in comparison to what we face today. The episode has lessons for our future
speaks volumes as to our climate issues today… but things are happening many times faster than historical records of past global warmings!!
We BE in TROUBLE!!
Nothing to worried sbout, unless you plan on living on the little blue sphere hurding throw space.
Everything is on schedule, please move along.
Unless there is a penis in this story, it will not get the attention of the leaders in Washington.
LOL. and how true.
But but there are BILLIONS of PENISES involved if we All die because it gets to hot, or cold or dry or stormy or or or or!! Yes??
Robert – I couldn’t find any good satellite photos to help the post. ;)
Good point re: damage from intentional master plan. That’s a pretty sobering thought.
The system’s momentum is exactly what I’m most worried about. The magnitude and length of the upcoming crisis is likely to be more astounding than even I think it will be today.
:) You have truly gone off the rails. How funny!
We don’t until after it’s already happened. Ask the Easter Islanders.
Suspected at least 4 years ago, yes. Too little solid research has been done to explore the full ramifications of climate change effects. Although, it could be argued that pinning down the longest-term effects might not really do much for anybody.
That’s a really good point. I have transitioned recently to thinking that the idiots will only accept things when things are truly too terrible to ignore anymore – and maybe not even then if they really believe their ideology.
I recommend reading “Collapse” by Jared Diamond to those who haven’t done so yet. If nothing else, read just the last chapter in a bookstore or library.
Thank you for the informative and timely post. Too bad nothing will be done about it. Not profitable, you know, so to do anything would be anti-business, socialist, and therefore anti-American.
But don’t worry! We’ve got natural gas! Frack! Frack! Frack!
Stop the march to Recarbonaceous Era!
“This report has received more attention in the corporate media than most reports of similar importance.”
For all of our references to cocktail weenies, perhaps the MSM really has a preference for sushi. Hence their sudden interest ; )
It is worth pointing out that scientists on the whole are conservative (in the traditional sense) in their work. As a result, I am not surprised that change is occurring faster than predicted on several fronts as the predictions tend to use conservative assumptions.
I am far less concerned about scientific uncertainty than I am about radicals masquerading as “conservatives” who are willing to risk catastrophic change for personal gain. I have given up on the political class and their economically elite patrons. However, I do have some hope for individual regular people to do their best to mitigate against a future disaster.
It’s on my bookshelf. Scary stuff that makes way too much sense.
Scientific determinism has been disproven so making that kind of prediction has problems. However, they actually did not predict anything, just take the known data and run it backwards to find stasis with respect to a point earlier than the present. I saw only a small part of the paper because I actually would ave needed to be a registered professional to get it complete. So I also did not get all the assumptions other than we quit now and wait.
Gotta have a penis between us to make the grade!
Thank you, weatherdem, rec’d.
Somewhere between 15% and 30% will even hear about this, maybe 30% of those will remember it, maybe 10% of those will do something.
The demographics are wrong. No political “leader” will do anything. There are no votes or money in it.
In 1975 I took a little detour in studying bio into a new subject called population ecology, reading a small book that completely changed my life. Anyone paying attention, slightly educated in this subject and understanding how systems interact, has seen this coming for over a decade.
Now we are beginning to have the data that proves we’re not all that special from every other life form on our planet. Fat lot of good it’ll do us.
This is horrifying. Millions will starve.
How do we get through to the idiots who say “it’s not happening?”
You are correct. Millions are starving now because President Obama, et al., have insisted we burn corn in our daily transportation. Oh, but you had good intentions!
Things are happening many times faster than almost everything in the geologic record. Aside from catastrophic, single-instant disasters, the current rate of forcing and response has no known historical precedent. It’s the scariest scientific experiment ever run. Most unfortunately, there is no control that exists.
The worst part about it is there is more profit to be made in efficient, sustainable living.
The propaganda supporting our current inefficient, dirty lifestyle has proven thus far to be extremely difficult to break through.
Perhaps the most frustrating aspect of the problems associated with scientists’ communication with their societies is explaining succinctly what their projections actually mean.
There is a 50% chance of 2C+ warming of global average annual temperatures by 2100. What’s left unsaid is the bottom 50% ranges from 1-2C but the top 50% ranges from 2C to 7C. That upper half has a whole set of consequences that are many times worse than the consequences of the bottom half.
I agree that this is horrifying.
I have no idea of a viable plan to get through to the idiots. Honestly, I’ve stopped trying. I think my (our) energy is better spent cross-educating each other on how things truly stand right now, how bad things can potentially get, and what we can and need to do to prevent the worst of the bad things from occurring. It might all be for naught in the end, but I have to do something.
Actually, now that I think more about it, there are millions of people across the world that are taking action. The general state of affairs has to change with that kind of effort. Put away despair and take whatever action you can do.
“This is horrifying. Millions will starve.”
Sadly, that’s probably the only solution.
Soylent green, anyone?
As a parent, the only hope I have at this point is that somehow my kids and their kids will find a way to unfuck the mess we’ve left them.
Man destroys all. I think we’re already past the tipping point in population.
The leaders will do nothing. That has been obvious for a long time. Even moreso, now. They are even reporting the natural disasters less than before. Murdered children and penises, that’s the ticket. Time to cancel cable “news.”
Thank you WeatherDem, recommended. This is just all so sad.
I saw this story this morning (missed it originally): “With Climate Change, Americans Have Unique Chance To Avoid The Fate Of The Ancient Maya“.
I don’t think it is going to be possible for 7+ billion selfish, argumentative, jealous and often sadly misinformed human beings to change course. I comfort myself with the idea that within a few million years (only a coffee break for geologists), everything will be more or less back to normal, sans mass human technological civilization.