
(from Wikimedia.org)
Tomorrow night, Thursday, May 19 (time not yet announced), the President will lay out his administration’s role in the Middle East in an attempt to show that it intends to act as a facilitator, not a meddler, and a few other goodies according to his press secretary and aides.
“The White House is also drawing a great deal of attention to the speech. Carney said Tuesday that the President will make news with the speech with “some specific new ideas about U.S. policy towards the region.”
“I can say safely the president will make news on Thursday when he gives this speech,” Carney said.
To that end, Carney said Obama will talk specifically “about ways that we can best support that positive change … while focusing on our core principles: nonviolence, support for human rights and support for political and economic reform.” (my bolds throughout diary)
(Sounds as though the White House really wants attention drawn to the speech.)
Aides hint he’ll speak about bin Laden’s message having been discarded by most Arab nations, and will extol the virtues of non-violent regime changes. Carney said he will call on Assad of Syria, suggesting there is a limit to international tolerance, and other leaders (Yemen? UAE? Bahrain?) to listen to the demands of their people. He might even talk about a sanction process; 800 protestors have been killed by Assad’s forces in Syria to date.
After meeting with King Abdullah of Jordan on Tuesday, the President said he will call for renewed I/P peace talks, even though for two years his administration has spent a total of three weeks in talks, and George Mitchell has now resigned.
“The atmosphere around the speech is politically charged. Republican presidential candidates are looking for weaknesses in Obama’s foreign policy positions and the White House is making an effort to rally Jewish leaders and other groups to its agenda.
Republicans have been hoping to capitalize on tensions between the president and elements of the Jewish community, a relationship that has been fluctuating since his high-profile speech in Cairo in 2009. Some of Obama’s critics are already referring to this week’s address as the Cairo sequel. Netanyahu will address a joint session of Congress next week as the guest of House Speaker John A. Boehner (R-Ohio).
In a private briefing Tuesday for Jewish religious and other community leaders, four top White House aides portrayed Obama as an unwavering friend of Israel. The four included Daniel B. Shapiro, a national security aide and Obama’s nominee as the next U.S. ambassador to Israel.
Those who attended the meeting said Shapiro described the Islamic militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah, as well as the rulers of Iran, as hardened enemies of Israel. He also spelled out the administration’s opposition to the Palestinian proposal for U.N. recognition of its statehood.”
Now I had no idea that his agenda needed more rallying of Jewish leaders, but he’s the man, so okay. And he’ll address AIPAC on Sunday.
Will he discuss that the War Powers Resolution of 1973 means that US intervention in Libya is about to time out on May 20, and that he is seeking ways to almost legally extend it?
He isn’t likely to tell us where he and his administration stand on Rep. Buck McKeon’s extensions to the National Defense Authorization Act in which is contained more provisions for indefinite detainment of prisoners with essentially no ability to defend themselves, and according to the ACLU:
“Tucked inside the National Defense Authorization Act, being marked up by the House Armed Services Committee this week, is a hugely important provision that hasn’t been getting a lot of attention — a brand new authorization for a worldwide war.
The current authorization of war provided the constitutional authority for the executive branch to go to war in Afghanistan. Subsequently, it has reportedly been invoked by the executive branch much more broadly to also use military force in Yemen and elsewhere, to justify torture and abuse of detainees, to eavesdrop and spy on American citizens without warrants, and to imprison people captured far from any battlefield without charge or trial.
Before Congress this week, the proposed authorization of a worldwide war goes much further, however, allowing war wherever there are terrorism suspects in any country around the world without an expiration date, geographical boundaries or connection to the 9/11 attacks or any other specific harm or threat to the United States. There have been no hearings on the provision, nor has its necessity been explained by Rep. McKeon or anyone else in Congress.”
All agree that Obama didn’t ask for this, but the last I’d read was that he hadn’t decided on a position about it. Thirty-two Democratic House Reps. led by John Conyers oppose it.
What do you think ‘the news’ will be? I could apologize for the red herring about the updated NDAA, but I won’t. Obama has taken advantage of some of these provisions already, and it may reach the floor of the House by the end of the month. (NY Times editorial)
Will he announce the Pentagon’s choice of maybe 5,000 troop draw-down in Afghanistan in July? Or that he has significantly reduced the target number of trained security forces there as a cost-saving measure? (Critics charge that the reduction serves to make Petraeus look better, but I couldn’t possibly say if that’s true; but war cost savings? Oh, never mind.)
(cross-posted at dagblog.com)



56 Comments

Editors, I don’t know how to make the graphic show up on the right; sorry.
No worries.
I’ll fix it but the way to do it is to click on the Visual tag once you’ve put the picture in, then click on the picture itself. There will be a little picture icon that will show up in the upper left hand side.
Click on that and it will open a window that has None, Left, Center, and Right buttons along the bottom of the pic. Click on the Right one and then scroll down to where it says “Update” and click on that.
Easy!
Cheers,
B-
I’ll pass, seen it before. He’ll throw a bone to the Palistinians, threaten the Syrians, ignore the protests in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain all while kissing Israel’s butt.
Boxturtle (ObamaTwister, anyone?)
He “will extol the virtues of non-violent regime changes”? Really? I wonder if that means he would support such action here… (of course I’m being sarcastic)
President Obama, if you really support non-violent regime change and call for such in the Middle East, please support it here at home also in the No Confidence Protest Vote 2012. We would love to have your pledge!
Thank you, Bill. I’ll stick the instructions in my FDL help file…
I think he’ll tell the Palestinians to be good, or something, from the hints from the aides. The gathering of Jewish leaders…oy; he has to schmooze them more???
I usually tape his speeches, watch in small bits later. Then I don’t throw shit at my teevee. ;o)
Yeppers; I liked Carney’s ‘there is a limit to international tolerance’. True, but apparently the limit hasn’t been reached in a lot of places.
I’d like it better if it refered to Israel as well as Syria.
Boxturtle (I’d also like a pony…..)
Sadly, you are perfectly correct.
For the Palestinians, Obama will recommend the same old Likud position that continues the colonzation while throwing banana skins in front of the unwanted peace process, this time the Fatah-Hamas coalition being foremost. Let’s call it the Hamas card.
It is only hoped that the Palestinians will not be fooled again, as they have for the past 20 years, and that they continue their UN and international effort for recognition.
“but war cost savings? Oh, never mind.)”
Ha-ha! Funny but so sad and true.
Wow, that Obamanator kicks into gear when it’s time to campaign. The rest of the time he throws everything out the door to hush up the little kiddies in Congress!
I have to agree with the above commenters on the I/P games. With AIPAC running rampant in Washington and all those leaders present what else would any sane person say in front of them? It is a game for appearances sake, nothing more.
He learned his lesson quickly, Turtle. Remember Campaign Obama saying that the Palestinians were getting a bad shake, and that Israel might need to be reminded of…la la la? Then he had to go in front of AIPAC. Hard to tell, but I think Hillary’s performance was actually worse.
The Times piece dissing the revamped Defense Authorization called AIPAC ‘an important lobby’ or something so benign as to make you laugh out LOUD!
Re-election Obama will be a force to reckon with, I think. At dagblog, a commenter quipped in answer to my questions:
“He’d better kill bin Laden again.” LOL!
I admired the list of American values, too.
He can make as many pretty speeches as he likes what counts is actions. When people in Irak, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, and Egypt which are the 5 countries I have extensive contacts in and wit recall his Cairo speech it’s either with sadness at opportunities lost or anger that they were momentarily deceived by a smooth talking political shyster.
markfromireland
Thanks Wendy for mentioning Mckeon’s efforts to extend the AUMF; people, if you don’t believe in endless war, SPEAK OUT !
Here is the text of the bill:
http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/F?c112:2:./temp/~c112gPMbXO:e618792:
Section 1034
Go here and sign the petition:
https://secure.aclu.org/site/Advocacy?cmd=display&page=UserAction&id=3195&s_subsrc=110511_aumf_bor
rec’d
Oh, and this is still true per my perspective:
All one needs to know about the upcoming Obama oratory:
http://www.truthout.org/bahrain-hearing-state-department-skipped-human-rights-groups-urge-forceful-action/1305465255
http://www.rawstory.com/rawreplay/2011/05/chomsky-u-s-will-try-to-stop-democracy-in-the-middle-east/
Of course, the mealy mouth, puppet Obama will obey his neo-con overlords as usual. So much change so far, what more could there be? Another War Pakistan, Lebanon, Yemen…Lockheed and Blackwater can only keep hoping.
So Gaza gets MORE DRONES!
In other Obama the corporate KochRoach news: Actor Peter Fonda goes Full Metal Captain America on the epic corporate toady. Fonda is co-producer of “The Big Fix”, a film about BP’s pollution of the Gulf. Fonda claims Obama is part of the BP coverup.
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/05/18/peter-fonda-calls-obama-fcking-traitor-over-gulf-spill/
AIPAC: Don’t boo Obama…
Box Turtle, you are right on the mark.
Yes, ubetchaiam. Thank you for sharing those links. Again it all goes back to the old adage: Forget what they say, watch what they do because therein lies the truth of who they really are.
You know they realize that we are fed up when Obama’s foot soldiers have to go out in front of his speech pitching the promise of mystery and excitement forthcoming. It reminds me of Monty Python’s Flying Circus: “and now for something entirely different.” It would be much more interesting if they would feature a contest for the upper class twit of the year. It would be a toss up among Paul Ryan, Rand Paul, Tim Geithner, Alan Simpson, Jeffrey Immelt, Lloyd Blankfein–oh forget it. Once I get into the conceptualization of it I can easily see that we could never get past the logistics of building a stage large enough to contain all the qualifying twits.
Believe it or not, Mark, even the Times piece mentioned with what disdain Obama is seen; of course that’s why so few of them want to be ‘interfered’ with. They know what our ‘help’ has meant in the past and present. Think how the Syrian protestors must have felt to recongnize Huey helicopters strafing them.
Thanks, ubetcha. I’d meant to call my Rep, even though I know he is salivating to vote for McKeon’s ‘additions’. I’ll sign.
Er…you mean he isn’t going to announce what our OBL assassination peace dividend is? I’m so sad.
I do think it was very clear even with the extant coverage during the spill that he and his administration were helping BP lie, especially over the gushed amounts of oil, and then later over the safety and science of the effects on marine life.
Good on Fonda; thanks for the news, Frank!
LOL, Tuttle!
Hmmm…’Qualifying Twits’. Now some on your list would be more Craven than Twittish, Liz Berry. I’ll put my mind to it, but Holder might just be my Twittiest right now. ;o)
Yeah, from what I’ve read at AW dot com, and other places this is gonna be a walk back AGAINST Palistinean statehood, and a full cave in to Zionist expansionism.
We’ll see. ;-)
Yeah ,mine is a souless Rethug but I still harass him as often as possible.
” . . . sadness at opportunities lost or anger that they were momentarily deceived by a smooth talking political shyster.”
Sadly, that’s my feelings since he took office, too.
A horrid presidency, horrid foreign policy, horrid domestic policy.
A scourge to us all. Worst vote I ever cast. For me or the planet.
Mine was swept in during the height of the Tea Movement; he replaced Ken Salazar’s little brother John, who actually was a very decent centrist Dem. He was even helping us in some environmental fights against some very major Texas development companies. There are times when it is true that ranching and fishing interests mesh with environmental and clean water issues.
Hey! He won a Nobel Peace Prize! (And I heard Hillary stole it from him…) ;o)
The English have a more pungent expression for Obama as a result of his antics.
F…..g W….r
This time he will do something?
Well now, Synoia…after reading Nick Turse’s piece from yesterday, it seems it will be a heavy lift for Obama and the Pentagon to change direction from arming the worst dictators and heavies in the region. ‘All I Need Is a Miracle’.
http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/175393/tomgram:_nick_turse,_obama_and_the_mideast_arms_trade/
Obama’s main goal?
I suspect it is to get a standing ovation at AIPAC, which will result in a discernible diminution in 2012 campaign contributions to his GOP opposition, a bigger increase in his. Nothing more, nothing less.
My guess:
1) 20 billion more for Israels rocket defense system.
2) A stern warning to Palestinians not to incite violence upon themselves by Israel.
Well, he’s lost George Soros too.
Soros’ Blog:
U.S. Torture Puts a Stain on Europe
Not that he needed more excuses to go to the wellspring of evil for funding in the first place.
They talk funny.
Yawn. Get America off the world stage.
They Speak English. Unlike the inhabitants of N America, who do not.
Obama confounds most of those guessing at his direction because he simply has a superior tactical style in politics. He waits, while his opponents spend their energy, and then, after it seems over, it isn’t. He did the seemingly dead 3 times health care, in spite of all the lobbies, in a kind of everyone compromises fashion. Satisfied no one. Seemed entirely 100% impossible. Done, and hated, and 1/4th of the population of course thinks it’s “socialism,” having little idea what the word means.
He’s pragmatic. That’s a flaw, but also a strength of course.
This speech isn’t predictable. It could easily be a powerful thing. Why? Because of the moment.
Obama bides his time. Strikes at the right moment. He’s a master at that.
This is quite a moment in the middle east, actually.
I expect he will have some kind of actual effect, seemingly impossible.
I wish what you wrote was true – but to date it is not. He rejected Hillary and others push for the public option and said single payer was off the table before we began – and instead pushed the Dole/GOP?Heritage Romneycare plan but this time with $600 billion in welfare for the insurance companies.. Yes – done – and hated – and it certainly is not socialism.
Tomorrow we will see if Sec of State Hillary’s push for endorsement of the Clinton Taba near agreement that Arafat said he should have signed is the new US position – that would be a “powerful thing”
More likely is the Dennis Ross approach as pushed by his political staff of a pretty speech that has no specifics and no real change that would require the US to push Israel. Much better politics for those “independents” and that GOP vote he seems to be chasing (the left has no place else to go – except perhaps staying home).
you forgot the snark tag, Hal. Hal……
Reference to Taba would not bring the 2012 Obama campaign a penny. It would reduce contributions.
I’ll be surprised if there is anything more than fake hopey changey stuff and references to how social internet tools have empowered people in Egypt, Libya, Syria and Iran – with no references to Bahrein or Palestine. He might mention Yemen, but only to throw people off the scent of his major failures there.
As to how the Iraqis, Afghans and Pakistanis want us to just fucking go away, heh…
Still – hoping to be surprised by words followed by action.
Read this and consider moving to another country: http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/05/guest-post-congress-proposes-bill-to-allow-worldwide-war-including-inside-the-u-s.html
A brigade deployed to America. Just in case the plebes get antsy.
Thanks, Arts; it’s the same bill ubetcha and I wwere referencing: McKeon’s additions to the Defense Authorization Act, meaning No Limit in the WOT. Wow; now some want to codify it. That a Republican would hand it to a Democratic Prez says a lot.
It’s a hard story to read no matter how many times you have, Kisses. I’ve never been to his blog I guess.
The second word IS wanker, isn’t it? ;o) “They speak English…” LOL!
I poked around for op-eds on his coming speech and found a link to the Jerusalem Post. The ever-toxic Caroline Glick’s piece read like Obama really is about to go all out with Palestinian love. Simply incomprehensible.
Staying out of the way of Israeli bullets would be good advice. Have you read about the dogs at the borders? Lord love a duck.
He gets what he goes after; sadly, what he’s after is different than what we need, or what he promised. Unless, of course, a person calls the fin-reg his admministration allowed “the most sweeping regulations since the Great Depression”. True, but the ONLY financial regulations since the Great Depression.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf8vud4Ifjs
The flaw in being pragmatic is that it causes him to aim too low sometimes. The strength is that something happens, instead of nothing.
The way I figure it, FDR was able to do so much *only* because the Great Depression had so hammered the nation for so many years that finally the new president really did have a broad and deep mandate (not only a moderate, medium-sized mandate like Obama). LBJ — kinda the same situation: the death of Kennedy, and the civil right moment morals, together, created enough room, in combination with LBJ’s strongarm tactics, to push through civil rights & Medicare.
Obama is facing a far, far more challenging environment than those two. What he has managed to get through is actually quite impressive, given the facts on the ground. If you imagine Obama should have been more ambitious, you are underestimating the resistance — just an error in assessment.
Having said all of that, real stuff…sure, I’d like Obama to be more idealistic and less pragmatic, as I wrote at length on my blog. I think it is more important to aim at longer term outcomes than near term legislation. It’s more important to engage the debate of ideas and ideals. So I’m in agreement with you there.
Ya know, after I wrote that, an hour later it occurred to me that Obama has given a big-time speech……..in…Cairo….
Hmmm….
Is is very easy for people to underestimate the power of words.
Words, ideas, actually are far more potent than any tangible, present things, as they control the future direction.
Words are powerful, but not always. I am referring here to the Israeli-Palestinian portion of Obama’s speech today. Here are some words spoken four years ago by George Bush at the 2007 Annapolis Peace Conference.
President Bush’s Speech at Annapolis
November 2007
http://www.cfr.org/israel/president-bushs-speech-annapolis-november-2007/p14882
Sorry that it is too l ong to quote. But if you can find anything in Obama’s speech today that was not in Bush’s speech at Annapolis, please call it to my attention, including all of Israel’s favorite propaganda points about security and terrorism. His words were spoken four years ago about an independent, contiguous Palestinian state.
Here we are once again hearing the same words, as Israel continues its unrelenting colonization of the Palestinian territories, with the added proviso that the Palestinians will not get the Jordan Valley.
So words are not always as powerful as we think they are.
Well I said that Obama would not mention the word Palestinian in his speech, and he did. So I get to eat my hat.
But the words I heard were the same words we heard from George Bush at the Annapolis Conference, 2007. Not a wit of difference. It made me wonder if Dennis Ross had written that speech too. Look for yourselves.
http://www.cfr.org/israel/president-bushs-speech-annapolis-november-2007/p14882
Obama did not back away from the pro-Israeli position concerning settlements, face-to-face negotiations, UN support for recognition of a Palestinian state (more Rice apologetics), and obvious appeasement of Netanyahu and AIPAC, which gets the next speech.
Sorry, on this aspect of Obama’s speech, it was a failure. Obama is still Netanyahu’s puppy and will likely remain in that position beyond 2012, at least for a while, if too late.
It’s kinda big that Obama came out, in a big public way here, in support of the 1967 borders.
It will have the effect of opening closed ears in the middle east, and they will then pay attention to the rest of what was said, which included….powerful ideas.
Result: another potent shove in a good direction, and the longer term outcome…uncertain, but better than before probably.