In a recent diary I’d written, I’d mentioned that Gary Gensler, who had reportedly turned over a new leaf since selling out the heroic Brooksley Born, at the CFTC was holding a final series of meetings before deciding the really and truly final rules this time. It’s been two years since Dodd-Frank was signed into law by President O’Bomba. You will likely remember that his administration blocked any actual regulatory amendments at every turn; Dodd-Frank was what was left, and even then, the bill said that regulators would come up with some really good rules to ensure full transparency of most some derivatives, and their sale would be put onto clearinghouses that would guarantee…yada, yada.
Here’s Lauren Lister speaking with Alyona about it in December, just for a refresher.
Out front, I need to say that I am a serious fan of irony. When I first read one small bit of news at Bloomberg last week, all I could do was laugh. I’d almost decided not to write it up, but after watching parts of Frontline’s ‘Money, Power and Wall Street‘ last night, I did some burning at the sheer incredulity of the failure to re-regulate Wall Street for real, as in: repeal the CFMA and Glass-Steagall (dream on, eh?)
Of course, it turns out that since the meltdown, derivative sales have actually increased, and figures show that there are about 700 trillion dollars worth of them out around the world. Seven hundred trillion, that is. Demonocracy has great graphics showing the derivatives exposure of the top nine biggest Too Big To Fail, Too Big To Bail banks at $228.72 Trillion. Peek at it, and imagine if all $700 trillion were represented, especially considering that global GDP is about $68 trillion.
My particular favorite Swingin’ Dick, Jamie Dimon is going very bullish on derivatives; guess OBomba, his BFF, told him it was a risk-free idea. Heh.
From Randall Wray via the annual Minsky conference, these words from two attendees:
“First, Joe Stiglitz had a great analogy about derivatives. Recall that part of the reason for the creation and explosion of derivatives was to spread risk. For example, mortgage-backed securities were supposed to make the global financial system safer by spreading US real estate risks all over the world. He then compared that to, say, a deadly flu virus. Would you want to spread the virus all over the world, or quarantine it? Remember Warren Buffet’s statement that all these new financial products are “weapons of mass destruction”–like the 1914 flu virus. And, indeed, just as Stiglitz said, spreading those deadly weapons all over the world ensured that when problems hit, the whole world financial system was infected.
The other observation was by Frank Partnoy, and also addressed the innovations in the financial sector. He said that these innovations mostly exploit information asymmetries in order to:
a) dupe customers (think Goldman Sachs and John Paulson constructing synthetic CDOs sure to blow up, and betting against Goldman’s customers who bought them); and
b) engage in regulatory arbitrage (evade rules, laws, supervisors, etc; ie, move trash into SIVs to evade capital requirements).
So here’s the question: why on earth do we let protected financial institutions—that have Uncle Sam standing behind them to clean up the mess they make—engage in such activities.[?]”
Sorry, I’m wandering around Dobbin’s barn here, and you want to be let in on the joke.
Okay. The regulators at the CFTC have been weighing all these questions about ‘what is a financial entity’, ‘who is a swap dealer’, ‘which end parties should be exempted’ etc. But this bit concerned how big does a bank doing swaps have to be to be regulated in terms of capitalization and be required to sell through the clearinghouses?
Well, they’d been talking about the figure of $100 million of notional value, or the total value of a leveraged position’s assets. But jeez; the Big Banks said it wasn’t fair, and the lobbyists made their case to Gensler and the SEC. You guessed it. Within a few weeks, they announced the new bar:
$8 Billion in swaps a year. And that’s an increase of 7,900 %. Karen Weise writing at Bloomberg said that the argument was that the smaller players shouldn’t be burdened with extra requirements that would ultimately drive up costs for consumers. And that:
“By one estimate, that means 60 percent of swap dealers will now be exempt. Those companies, ranging from banks to energy and agricultural firms, can breathe easier now that they’re exempt. As for what the new rules mean for risk in the market, regulators say they’ll reevaluate in five years, when the threshold defaults down to $3 billion.”
Smaller firms. And loopholes for ‘foreign’ end-users, who knows what all…
Jump, you fuckers; you purveyors of economic terrorism.




20 Comments

But, but, Obama knows these guys! They’re friends of his! They’re just like baseball players! Americans don’t begrudge success! Obama said that so it must be true!
Sarcasm off. Thanks, Wendy. Recc’d.
Barack so desperately wanted something stronger, but the Evil Republicans just wouldn’t let him do it!
The Frontline piece had an excerpt of O’s speech at Cooper Union. They clipped the Tough Talk part; but he really tried threading some needles that just wouldn’t track together in the end. A Pisser to hear, nonetheless, cuz some of it was good.
Hard to know if he passed around wink, winks, like he did with some of his Goldman Sachs friends….
Whinger-in-Chief.
Thanks for reading, vagreen.
Thanks for writing this diary, Wendy. Yet another reason to vote for Jill Stein in November.
Seven hundred trillion is not a number that means much – the Greek “notional value” for all derivatives was several trillion which netted down to about $3 billion at risk and not offset.
It is sort of roulette with a total of 700.003 trillion at risk – that amount being the sum of 350 trillion on red, 350 trillion on black and a side bet of 3 billion that is not offset. Money moves around but for most banks they are nearly matched on both sides of the bet – but as we saw with AIG – if one party refuses to pay its losses we quickly get a mis-match and the gov steps in with a bailout. The need obviously is for reserves so the banks can pay off its losses – but the banks refuse to treat the contracts as insurance.
And I don’t see the new rules treating the contracts as insurance and demanding large reserves for potential losses.
Dunno which non-duopoly candidate I’ll vote for yet, vagreen. Electoral politics seems a bit beside the point these days. ;o)
The number seems to mean a lot to a whale of a lot of people, papau, so I can only try to suss out your reasoning.
And if BofA can move its derivatives to its commercial banking side, and other such antics, I can’t see any big fixes here. As far as capital requirements, the sites that had anything much about the final rules would often say: ‘No specifics given’ on various rules. My computer won’t read pdf’s (adobe problems), and I doubt I could grasp much of it anyway.
Last I looked, the cftc site didn’t have the final rules up, and directed readers to Thomas.loc.
Great diary, and recommended.
I’m guessing this is another bomb waiting to explode?
Ha! I found the rules at the SEC’s website; almost English. Have fun.
Can’t see how it’s not, ID, with all due respect to papau (who knows more than I do). Reich says the next bubble to burst is the student loan bubble, but is this one finished bursting?
One fun bit of news I just saw at Naked Capitalism is that Lloyd Blankfein (brrrr) today called for the Big 5 Banks to be broken up. Wot??? Yves reckoned it was the ‘Why I quit my job a Goldman Sucks’ op-ed that prompted it. ‘Vampire Squid’ might notta helped his/their image, either. ;o)
There are a lot of currents below the sheets…..I ran across this article the other day, and well, I think my hope and dream made it into “truth.” Not sure what to think about it, but it’s one hell of an idea, and also puts out a few other tangents into the whole spectrum that I hadn’t thought about before.
Note, it may be too crazy for some….but I like the idea:
http://divinecosmos.com/start-here/davids-blog/1047-liens
re’c'd of course.
Great post.
Well, it’s at least nice that you get David’s theory might be a li’l bit too whacked for the average bear, lol! Can’t say I subscribe to his point of view, but he seriously lost me dragging Whitney Houston’s death and sarcophagi into the mix. ;o)
Haven’t listened to this yet from washingtonsblog, but it looks interesting as all giddy-up. I love a lot of what he and Carl Hermann post there, even though some of the stuff he links to seems…not very legitimate. Lemme know if you like this some time. Hope does seem to spring infernal here and there.
Thanks for reading, and thanks for the link, chebetts.
Thanks, econobuzz.
Don’t worry Wendy, all us poor little, dumb, buck-toothed, bug-eyed sheep just need a Jackalope to help us realize our lot in life and be glad we don’t live on a fur farm….yet. /s
rec’d as always
LOL! Around here ya can buy Jackalope postcards; tourists never can figger out why they don’t see ‘em along the highways. Of course, some reckon they might get scalped by Indians, too, so…
Fun film, though. ‘Boundin’. ;o)
And thanks for readin’ and rec’in’, my friend. Just about to post one that might qualify as havin’ some ‘boundin’ news…
As Masaccio once asked, “What Did You Think Would Happen?”
One thing I don’t think will happen is that regulators will make sure the New Rules are followed, but you must pardon my cynicism. Oh; maybe not.
Just read today that 84% of all stock trades now are by high-frequency computer. Talk about asymetrical information. Like owning the patterns programmed into slot machines, really.
Jump you fuckers.
Ms. Davis, I can only heartily endorse and concur with your closing remark.
JUMP YOU FUCKERS!
Now that this place is back online again, I also heartily encourage you and all others to read thru the LONG series of the original Deep Capture, it’s masters level education and intro to the banking and financial systems, how they got and are gamed, who gamed them, and the media that boosted them all along, and still does.
Then, there are OTHER exposes to date the site chronicles.
Deep Capture.
I need to do a diary about this place, now that it’s back up again after a lawsuit shut it down (hello Roger Schuller?).
Rcc’d.