We, who have just endured four of the warmest weeks the eastern two-thirds of the United States has experienced since we started keeping records, have been told repeatedly by media pundits that “you can’t attribute this particular spell of weather to global warming.” This statement, while true in a narrow sense, is false in a broader contextual sense. Worse, such “truths” are confusing and immobilizing. They make it more difficult to gather the impetus for the essential, society-wide behavior shift we need to avoid impending ecological catastrophes.

A meteorologist at work (Photo: KOMUNews / Flickr)
I’ve studied weather and climate as a hobby since I was eight years old. I find this deluge of misinformation particularly frustrating. This is not complex science. Simply put, climate consists of the meteorological conditions (temperature, precipitation, wind, etc.) that prevail in a region. Weather, on the other hand refers to the atmospheric conditions at any given time and place. It follows, unless you can find a place on earth where the weather is usually the same 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, that no given weather is equal to the climate of that place. But it is simultaneously, and infinitely more importantly true, that the prevailing weather in a given location is a manifestation of that region’s climate.
For instance, the climate of my region (interior Southern New England) in the last decade, when compared to the climate of this same area when I first started studying weather in the 1950’s, has more hot days in the summer. Spring warmth comes earlier. This causes the grass to turn green and the trees to leaf out ten days to two weeks earlier. The fall frosts arrive later causing peak colors to appear closer to October 20th than October 10th.
But just as was the case 55 years ago, our weather is variable. So we still have cold and snow. In fact, because our climate has become somewhat wetter, we’ve had a few winters since 2005 with tremendous snowfall totals. But this does not contradict the overall warming trend. The winters with intense snowfall have had a shorter duration, and recently we’ve had more warmer, wetter snows than colder, drier snows. And so, the incredibly warm four weeks we just experienced are most definitely in tune with our current climate.
Many might say: “What do you expect? This kind of in-depth analysis can’t fit into a sound bite.” But those, who like me, habitually watch The Weather Channel (and you may be surprised to learn that there are millions of us), have seen the meteorologists repeatedly provide analyses of other weather-related issues that are just as complicated as the two paragraphs I’ve written above. But instead they, and many other meteorologists on hundreds of local channels, merely repeat the mantra, “you can’t attribute this particular spell of weather to global warming,” before listing the hundreds of record high temperatures set in the last 24 hours.
Rather than shake our heads in cynicism and defeat, I suggest that we complain. It isn’t hard to email or write a letter to your local TV station or to The Weather Channel protesting the inanity I’ve quoted twice above. The television stations tout these reporters as professional meteorologists, and as professionals they should know better.
Denial and inaction are easier than facing the consequences of rapid global warming. At this moment, however, when over a hundred million of us have just experienced horrific heat, more people than ever before should be receptive to the idea that climate change is upon us. While this acknowledgement is not the same as taking corrective action, it is a necessary first step.



8 Comments

Good work. Thank you. Good to see you here.
http://my.firedoglake.com/cranestation/2012/07/19/heat-wave-strains-us-electricity-grid/
Thank you for this post. An important and ongoing discussion. Also, thanks to normanb for directing my attention to this.
“They make it more difficult to gather the impetus for the essential, society-wide behavior shift we need to avoid impending ecological catastrophes.” Oh the irony of this article and so many like it on these sites and on Cable and even at so called Scientific lectures and meetings on this ( no pun intended “hot topic”). The sad truth is that much of the most distressing denial is among folks like Robert here who actually believes that we still have time to change course or slow the coming change down or to save ourselves and our children s future if we just stop putting anymore CO 2 into the air etc. and it goes on and on. Sorry, to burst your bubble Robert and the rest of you that believe these soothing fairy tales and lies, but I have to sadly inform you that unfortunately the climate train has long ago left the station and is now heading downhill at an ever increasing speed and even if we stopped tomorrow morning putting one more oz. of CO 2 into the air it’s already too late to stop the ugly and massive shit storm AKA “the climate catastrophe” right up ahead. What we all should be doing at this late juncture in this unfolding disaster is to be beginning to petition our various Gov’ts to start preparing for the big changes that are already underway as we write these blogs entries. We should be focusing more on the survival of the species now and other species then trying to reign in the polluters, who by the way have no intention of doing anything. In fact they have every intention of stepping down on the pedal and polluting even more. Why? Because, they fig. even if where right they’re rich enough to and their kids are going to be rich enough to, do whatever it takes when the time comes to survive and to HELL with the rest of us. In other words they intend to drive us all off the climate cliff at full speed ahead damn the scientists and damn the rest of us. When the shit finally hits the fan ( sooner then you think) they will use all the power and wealth they are rapidly accumulating and they will dig in ( literally.) I suspect they’ve already started. If you piece together reports coming out all over the Planet the wealthy who are aware of what’s coming are already buying up where they think their best chances for survival might be. They and some of their Gov’ts have also started projects aimed at survival like what the Swedes are doing by creating a frozen bank of as many different species DNA as possible and burying it inside a Mt. in a remote region of Sweden. The Swedes know what’s coming and are beginning to prepare, as are others. This is the BIG one, we’ve really done it to ourselves this time. Industrializing the Planet on the premise you could use the atmosphere and the Oceans as dumps for your waste energy and materials forever was a BIG mistake. Even Malthus knew two hundred yrs. ago that what we were doing ( breeding without any controls) had it limits and he was right. Like a vast army of locusts were now stripping bear the planets resources and were heating the atmosphere rapidly as we go to levels it hasn’t been in millions of yrs. Articles and posts like these are as much part of the massive denial out here as the people who think Climate change isn’t happening at all because Al Gore is fat. I have enough of them. Go ahead folks buy your electric cars and put solar panels on your roofs, it’s NOT going to stop what’s already baked into the system. It’s not going to sop up the huge amounts of CO2 among other gases already in the Atmosphere and it’s not going to stop the enormous releases of ancient soon to be no longer frozen Methane the planet is already starting to Fart forth to get the f*ck rid of the pestilence called man. As were all told from the time were young IGNORANCE OF THE LAW is no defense and this rule applies doubly to Natural law folks. The truth is that had their been some big RED light that the Planet was equipped with that went off when we’d reached the carrying capacity of the planets atmosphere for CO2 etc. it would have gone off decades ago. Unfortunately, it’s not equipped with such a device and so comes the deluge as the French say.
My dear sir, thank you for being here. As we say here in Ontario, we don’t have climate, we have weather. That said, we have had less snow cover in winter, earlier warming, less melt and now warmer temps and much less rain that usual (ie, ‘climate’).
WRT global warming and who will take the first steps to stop it, I am reminded of the Indian monkey trap. A small hole, just large enough for a monkey to put its paw in, is made in the shell of a coconut and some rice is put inside. The coconut is tethered to a tree. A monkeuy happens by, attempts to remove the rice and finds that it cannot withdraw its paw without releasing the rice.
The usual procedure is to set out the traps and then collect the monkeys at leisure. They just don’t want to let go of the rice — sound like any other species we know?
Malthus:
Humanity is self-domesticated. The cynical use of Malthus and such has promoted a culture of the lie. This perverts the domestication process and, when allied with deceptions about Divines, guarantees the exploitation of new trauma.
Man still falling.
“Man still falling” Maybe, that should read “man still failing.” Whatever, none of this matters , check out the latest nos. of world CO 2 emissions, which increased in 2011 by 3%! That’s the no. we should be focused on now. The fools running everything are signing our death warrants and we are doing what about it?
I received a weather poster while at the Big E fair in 1977. It was produced by the local Pioneer Valley (MA) weatherman, Hilton Kaderly (sp?). The poster has 365 columns, with four temperatures in each column (record high, average high, average low and record low).
I live in CA now, but the poster is on a wall in my Dad’s bedroom. Every time I visit, l look at the days’ temp’s and compare it to Hilton’s numbers. Most days the temp is either a record or between the average high and record high.
It has been obvious to me for quite a while that things are getting hotter.